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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 21, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Minnesota Wild 0, Dallas Stars 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.

DAL winsMIN wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:18Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper
  3. P1 2:41Shot by Benn, saved by Kuemper
  4. P1 2:57Shot by Benn, saved by Kuemper
  5. P1 3:49Shot by Chiasson, saved by Kuemper
  6. P1 6:00Shot by Fiddler, saved by Kuemper
  7. P1 6:37Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Cole, Fiddler, Rome · MIN Veilleux, Suter, Mitchell, Haula, Brodin

  8. P1 6:37Veilleux: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Cole, Fiddler, Rome · MIN Veilleux, Suter, Mitchell, Haula, Brodin

  9. P1 8:08Shot by Niederreiter, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  10. P1 8:51Shot by Peverley, saved by Kuemper
  11. P1 10:03Shot by Peverley, saved by Kuemper
  12. P1 10:26Shot by Dillon, saved by Kuemper
  13. P1 10:54Mitchell: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · MIN Ballard, Mitchell, Haula, Prosser, Zucker

  14. P1 11:12Shot by Chiasson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  15. P1 12:22Shot by Seguin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  16. P1 13:18Goal by Fiddler (Goligoski, Roussel)+22 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Garbutt · MIN Heatley, Pominville, Ballard, Stoner, Coyle

  17. P1 15:36Shot by Veilleux, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 15:53Fontaine: Delaying game (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin · MIN Cooke, Brodziak, Scandella, Prosser, Fontaine

  19. P1 16:45Goal by Cole (Goligoski, Benn)5v4+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Goligoski, Benn, Chiasson, Seguin · MIN Veilleux, Suter, Mitchell, Prosser

  20. P1 19:30Shot by Pominville, saved by Lehtonen
  21. P1 19:36Niederreiter: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin, Nichushkin · MIN Pominville, Suter, Granlund, Niederreiter, Brodin

  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:39Shot by Seguin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  25. P2 1:11Shot by Suter, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  26. P2 1:31Shot by Eakin, saved by Kuemper5v4
  27. P2 1:41Shot by Eakin, saved by Kuemper
  28. P2 4:44Shot by Fontaine, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 5:38Shot by Heatley, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 6:14Shot by Benn, saved by Kuemper
  31. P2 6:57Shot by Whitney, saved by Kuemper
  32. P2 7:02Shot by Dillon, saved by Kuemper
  33. P2 8:06Shot by Fontaine, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 8:07Roussel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Fiddler, Roussel, Dillon, Garbutt · MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Scandella, Fontaine

  35. P2 11:20Fontaine: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Benn, Dillon, Seguin, Nichushkin · MIN Cooke, Suter, Brodziak, Fontaine, Brodin

  36. P2 11:57Shot by Goligoski, saved by Kuemper5v4
  37. P2 13:18Goal by Whitney (Gonchar, Eakin)5v4+7 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Horcoff, Rome, Eakin · MIN Cooke, Mitchell, Scandella, Prosser

  38. P2 14:59Shot by Benn, saved by Kuemper
  39. P2 15:07Shot by Coyle, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 15:48Granlund: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Gonchar, Rome, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · MIN Pominville, Stoner, Prosser, Granlund, Niederreiter

  41. P2 16:55Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  42. P2 17:53Shot by Eakin, saved by Kuemper
  43. P2 18:14Shot by Roussel, saved by Kuemper
  44. P2 18:35Shot by Fiddler, saved by Kuemper
  45. P2 19:04Niederreiter: Abuse of officials (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Benn, Eakin, Dillon · MIN Heatley, Scandella, Prosser, Zucker, Coyle

  46. P2 19:22Shot by Benn, saved by Kuemper5v4
  47. P2 19:42Shot by Chiasson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  48. P2 19:48Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper5v4
  49. P2 19:57Shot by Chiasson, saved by Kuemper5v4
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 1:44Shot by Cole, saved by Kuemper
  53. P3 3:08Shot by Daley, saved by Kuemper
  54. P3 4:15Shot by Veilleux, saved by Lehtonen
  55. P3 5:15Shot by Whitney, saved by Kuemper
  56. P3 6:24Shot by Peverley, saved by Kuemper
  57. P3 9:11Benn: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Benn, Dillon · MIN Pominville, Scandella, Haula, Prosser, Niederreiter

  58. P3 10:13Shot by Peverley, saved by Kuemper4v5
  59. P3 10:34Shot by Brodin, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  60. P3 11:22Kuemper: Penalty shot throwing object at puck (0 min)

    On ice: DAL Rome, Peverley, Benn, Benn, Dillon · MIN Ballard, Zucker, Coyle, Fontaine, Brodin

  61. P3 11:22Goal by Benn, unassistedother+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Rome, Peverley, Benn, Benn, Dillon · MIN Ballard, Zucker, Coyle, Fontaine, Brodin

  62. P3 11:31Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 11:37Shot by Brodziak, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 12:29Shot by Stoner, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 12:30Shot by Veilleux, saved by Lehtonen
  66. P3 14:00Shot by Whitney, saved by Kuemper
  67. P3 14:01Fiddler: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Benn, Dillon · MIN Heatley, Ballard, Stoner, Zucker, Coyle

  68. P3 14:01Stoner: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Benn, Dillon · MIN Heatley, Ballard, Stoner, Zucker, Coyle

  69. P3 14:01Stoner: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Benn, Dillon · MIN Heatley, Ballard, Stoner, Zucker, Coyle

  70. P3 14:01Fiddler: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Cole, Fiddler, Benn, Dillon · MIN Heatley, Ballard, Stoner, Zucker, Coyle

  71. P3 14:10Shot by Cooke, saved by Lehtonen
  72. P3 14:54Mitchell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Daley, Goligoski, Peverley, Chiasson · MIN Suter, Mitchell, Granlund, Niederreiter, Brodin

  73. P3 14:57Shot by Goligoski, saved by Kuemper5v4
  74. P3 18:25Shot by Granlund, saved by Lehtonen
  75. P3 18:32Shot by Suter, saved by Lehtonen
  76. P3 19:06Gonchar: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Whitney, Gonchar, Cole, Rome, Eakin · MIN Pominville, Ballard, Scandella, Granlund, Niederreiter, Fontaine

  77. P3 0:00Period end
  78. P3 0:00Final