Wed, Jan 22, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Detroit Red Wings 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 211 | 110 | 19 | 05 | 2 | 435 |
| DET | 212 | 211 | 06 | 02 | 3 | 531 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:41CHIMarian HossaAssists: Jonathan Toews, Johnny Oduya · Tip-in, 0.12 xG1–0
- P1 10:26CHIAndrew ShawAssists: Patrick Kane, Brandon Saad · Backhand, 0.25 xG2–0
- P1 11:14DETTomas TatarAssists: Brendan Smith, Tomas Jurco · Wrist, 0.40 xG2–1
- P1 17:40DETPatrick EavesAssists: Justin Abdelkader, Henrik Zetterberg · Wrist, 0.04 xG2–2
- P2 5:03CHIPatrick SharpPPAssists: Duncan Keith, Patrick Kane · Slap, 0.04 xG3–2
- P2 6:20DETKyle QuinceyAssists: Gustav Nyquist, Henrik Zetterberg · Snap, 0.07 xG3–3
- P2 11:14DETGustav NyquistAssists: Henrik Zetterberg, Justin Abdelkader · Wrist, 0.20 xG3–4
- P3 5:12CHIMarcus KrugerUnassisted · Wrist, 0.06 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. DET Tomas Tatar stopped
- 2. CHI Jonathan Toews scored
- 3. DET Patrick Eaves scored
- 4. CHI Patrick Sharp scored
- 5. DET Todd Bertuzzi scored
- 6. CHI Patrick Kane stopped
- 7. DET Henrik Zetterberg stopped
- 8. CHI Marian Hossa stopped
- 9. DET Tomas Jurco stopped
- 10. CHI Marcus Kruger stopped
- 11. DET Darren Helm scored
- 12. CHI Andrew Shaw stopped
Penalties (8)
- P2 4:57DETDrew Miller: Interference2 min · PPG
- P2 16:28CHIBrandon Saad: Hooking2 min
- P2 16:28CHIBrandon Saad: Slashing2 min
- P2 19:10DETDaniel Cleary: Interference2 min
- P3 2:30DETKyle Quincey: Tripping2 min
- P3 5:22DETDanny DeKeyser: Interference2 min
- P3 7:03CHIMarian Hossa: Cross checking2 min
- P3 14:53CHIDuncan Keith: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Zetterberg
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestKane – Shaw – Saad12:06
xG 0.76–0.19 (80%)attempts 10–7goals 1–0
- Handzus – Bickell – Versteeg6:58
xG 0.24–0.22 (52%)attempts 10–6goals 0–1
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews11:57
xG 0.44–1.01 (30%)attempts 12–11goals 0–1
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig9:01
xG 0.06–0.65 (8%)attempts 1–9goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestKostka – Leddy12:59
xG 0.75–0.12 (86%)attempts 12–8goals 1–0
- Keith – Seabrook14:46
xG 0.61–0.72 (46%)attempts 16–12goals 0–1
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson14:43
xG 0.25–1.36 (16%)attempts 7–21goals 2–3
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Sheahan – Jurco10:16
xG 0.64–0.02 (96%)attempts 12–2goals 1–0
- Zetterberg – Abdelkader – Nyquist11:33
xG 0.72–0.43 (62%)attempts 10–12goals 2–0
- Eaves – Miller – Glendening12:14
xG 0.26–0.10 (73%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Bertuzzi – Cleary – Helm6:18
xG 0.28–0.73 (28%)attempts 7–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- bestKronwall – Ericsson12:48
xG 0.87–0.50 (64%)attempts 15–14goals 1–0
- Smith – Lashoff13:34
xG 0.62–0.25 (71%)attempts 11–8goals 1–1
- Ericsson – DeKeyser2:02
xG 0.37–0.06 (86%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 68% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).