Tue, Jan 28, 2014·Scottrade Center, St. Louis
New Jersey Devils 0, St. Louis Blues 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NJD | 08 | 010 | 05 | 023 |
| STL | 19 | 05 | 211 | 325 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:25STLAlexander SteenGWGAssists: Jaden Schwartz, David Backes · Wrist, 0.10 xG0–1
- P3 9:42STLBrenden MorrowPPAssists: Jay Bouwmeester, Patrik Berglund · Deflected, 0.13 xG0–2
- P3 17:52STLMaxim LapierreENAssists: Magnus Paajarvi, Patrik Berglund · Backhand, 0.56 xG0–3
Penalties (15)
- P1 0:09STLRoman Polak: High sticking2 min
- P1 17:12NJDAnton Volchenkov: Hooking2 min
- P2 15:55NJDRyane Clowe: Hooking2 min
- P2 17:50STLAlex Pietrangelo: Tripping2 min
- P3 1:21STLT.J. Oshie: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:00NJDBryce Salvador: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 14:11NJDDamien Brunner: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:52NJDRyane Clowe: Fighting5 min
- P3 17:52STLRoman Polak: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:10NJDSteve Bernier: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:10NJDSteve Bernier: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:10STLMaxim Lapierre: Misconduct10 min
- P3 19:10STLMaxim Lapierre: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:10STLChris Stewart: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:10STLChris Stewart: Misconduct10 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Gionta won the faceoff against Lapierre
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
New Jersey Devils
Forward lines
- bestJagr – Zajac – Josefson4:34
xG 0.23–0.03 (90%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Ryder – Clowe – Henrique9:05
xG 0.21–0.09 (70%)attempts 8–6goals 0–0
- Bernier – Gionta – Carter8:34
xG 0.16–0.13 (54%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
- Jagr – Elias – Zajac6:24
xG 0.16–0.36 (30%)attempts 9–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFayne – Greene11:24
xG 0.42–0.22 (65%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Salvador – Zidlicky11:50
xG 0.12–0.28 (30%)attempts 6–9goals 0–0
- Zidlicky – Gelinas3:27
xG 0.00–0.21 (0%)attempts 0–4goals 0–0
St. Louis Blues
Forward lines
- bestRoy – Sobotka – Tarasenko8:09
xG 0.62–0.06 (92%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Steen – Backes – Schwartz12:33
xG 0.59–0.23 (72%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
- Oshie – Berglund – Paajarvi8:12
xG 0.34–0.23 (60%)attempts 8–7goals 0–0
- Morrow – Lapierre – Stewart9:25
xG 0.15–0.32 (32%)attempts 4–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBouwmeester – Pietrangelo14:40
xG 0.82–0.45 (64%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
- Jackman – Shattenkirk12:53
xG 0.49–0.14 (78%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Polak – Cole11:19
xG 0.20–0.26 (43%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
STL's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line STL is favoured, below it NJD. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 74% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (STL − NJD), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).