Mon, Feb 3, 2014·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit
Vancouver Canucks 0, Detroit Red Wings 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 82% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 08 | 013 | 03 | 024 |
| DET | 07 | 113 | 110 | 230 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 1:08DETJustin AbdelkaderGWGAssists: Henrik Zetterberg, Gustav Nyquist · Wrist, 0.02 xG0–1
- P3 19:44DETJustin AbdelkaderENAssists: Niklas Kronwall · Wrist, 0.63 xG0–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:34DETTomas Jurco: Holding2 min
- P1 14:37DETDaniel Alfredsson: Cross checking2 min
- P2 4:41DETJakub Kindl: Penalty shot holding on breakaway0 min
- P2 8:19DETJustin Abdelkader: High sticking2 min
- P2 11:18VANJason Garrison: Hooking2 min
- P2 11:18VANZack Kassian: Holding2 min
- P3 5:29DETTomas Tatar: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:23DETGustav Nyquist: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 16:46DETJonathan Ericsson: Roughing2 min
- P3 16:46VANRyan Kesler: Roughing2 min
- P3 19:21VANAlexandre Burrows: Cross checking2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kesler won the faceoff against Sheahan
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestBooth – Hansen – Dalpe4:22
xG 0.27–0.08 (76%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Sestito – Schroeder – Lain3:11
xG 0.20–0.05 (80%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Burrows5:13
xG 0.06–0.03 (66%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Sedin – Sedin – Booth2:52
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 1–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Garrison12:09
xG 0.41–0.31 (57%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Hamhuis – Stanton15:19
xG 0.10–0.16 (39%)attempts 6–7goals 0–1
- Sauve – Corrado10:56
xG 0.38–0.45 (46%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
Detroit Red Wings
Forward lines
- bestTatar – Sheahan – Jurco13:32
xG 0.39–0.05 (88%)attempts 11–4goals 0–0
- Zetterberg – Abdelkader – Nyquist14:12
xG 0.37–0.17 (68%)attempts 10–4goals 1–0
- Eaves – Miller – Glendening4:14
xG 0.13–0.09 (59%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Alfredsson – Helm – Andersson9:03
xG 0.03–0.65 (5%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestQuincey – DeKeyser16:19
xG 0.64–0.21 (75%)attempts 17–4goals 0–0
- Kronwall – Ericsson14:43
xG 0.19–0.09 (68%)attempts 8–3goals 1–0
- Kindl – DeKeyser2:24
xG 0.09–0.00 (99%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
DET's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line DET is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 82% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (DET − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).