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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 6, 2014·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Buffalo Sabres 2, Ottawa Senators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.

OTT winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:36Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 2:20Shot by Ceci, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 4:13Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  6. P1 4:18Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  7. P1 4:49D'Agostini: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Methot, Ryan, Gryba, Turris · BUF Tallinder, Ott, D'Agostini, McBain, Hodgson

  8. P1 7:30Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 7:33Neil: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Gryba, Smith · BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Sulzer, Varone

  10. P1 10:37Shot by Ellis, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 10:44Shot by Ellis, saved by Anderson
  12. P1 11:16Shot by Ryan, saved by Enroth
  13. P1 11:31Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 12:08Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  15. P1 12:54Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 14:20Shot by Cowen, saved by Enroth
  17. P1 15:48Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Anderson
  18. P1 15:53Methot: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Gryba, Smith · BUF Ott, D'Agostini, Weber, Hodgson, Ruhwedel

  19. P1 16:24Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson4v5
  20. P1 19:22Shot by Cowen, saved by Enroth
  21. P1 19:24Shot by Neil, saved by Enroth
  22. P1 19:43Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:19Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  26. P2 0:56Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  27. P2 1:03Shot by Leino, saved by Anderson
  28. P2 1:50Shot by Flynn, saved by Anderson
  29. P2 2:20Shot by Flynn, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 3:12Goal by Karlsson (Da Costa, Conacher)+22 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Condra, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher, Da Costa · BUF Tallinder, Konopka, Ellis, McBain, Scott

  31. P2 3:23Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  32. P2 3:43Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 3:49Shot by Gryba, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 4:34Shot by Ryan, saved by Enroth
  35. P2 5:21Shot by Ryan, saved by Enroth
  36. P2 5:27Shot by Flynn, saved by Anderson
  37. P2 5:37Shot by Varone, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 5:36Shot by Flynn, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 5:38Varone: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch, Ceci · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Varone, Flynn, Girgensons

  40. P2 5:55Turris: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Spezza, MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Flynn, Girgensons

  41. P2 7:12Shot by Ruhwedel, saved by Anderson4v4
  42. P2 9:22Scott: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Ryan, Gryba, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Conacher, Da Costa · BUF Tallinder, Konopka, Ellis, Sulzer, Stafford

  43. P2 10:29Shot by MacArthur, saved by Enroth5v4
  44. P2 11:13Michalek: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · BUF Tallinder, Ott, McBain, Flynn

  45. P2 12:01Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson4v5
  46. P2 12:07Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson4v5
  47. P2 13:03Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Anderson4v5
  48. P2 13:56Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  49. P2 14:22Shot by Ryan, saved by Enroth
  50. P2 15:26Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Enroth
  51. P2 15:59Shot by Flynn, saved by Anderson
  52. P2 16:31Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  53. P2 16:51Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  54. P2 18:29Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:10Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Zibanejad)+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Methot, Gryba, Zibanejad · BUF Tallinder, Ott, D'Agostini, McBain, Hodgson

  58. P3 0:23Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  59. P3 2:12Shot by Konopka, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 3:39Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 4:04Shot by Spezza, saved by Enroth
  62. P3 4:11Shot by Michalek, saved by Enroth
  63. P3 5:11Ryan: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Neil, Greening, Smith, Wiercioch, Ceci · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Flynn, Girgensons, Ruhwedel

  64. P3 6:05Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth4v5
  65. P3 6:54Karlsson: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen · BUF D'Agostini, McBain, Leino, Girgensons, Ruhwedel

  66. P3 8:10Shot by Hodgson, saved by Anderson4v5
  67. P3 9:26Shot by Sulzer, saved by Anderson
  68. P3 9:56Shot by Gryba, saved by Enroth
  69. P3 10:22Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson
  70. P3 10:24Shot by Stafford, saved by Anderson
  71. P3 10:25Goal by Ennis (Stafford, Leino)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Spezza, Michalek, Gryba, Wiercioch, Zibanejad · BUF Tallinder, Stafford, McBain, Leino, Ennis

  72. P3 11:13Shot by Da Costa, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 11:21Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Anderson
  74. P3 12:32Shot by Greening, saved by Enroth
  75. P3 13:57Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  76. P3 14:37Shot by Conacher, saved by Enroth
  77. P3 15:46Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Anderson
  78. P3 15:46Goal by Stafford (Ehrhoff)+40 pts WP

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen · BUF Ehrhoff, Sulzer, Stafford, Leino, Ennis

  79. P3 17:53Shot by Karlsson, saved by Enroth
  80. P3 18:00Shot by Ryan, saved by Enroth
  81. P3 19:37Goal by Michalek (Spezza, Neil)+49 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Cowen · BUF Weber, McBain, Leino, Flynn, Girgensons

  82. P3 19:44Condra: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: OTT MacArthur, Condra, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen · BUF Ott, Ehrhoff, Stafford, McBain, Leino, Ennis

  83. P3 19:58Shot by Ennis, saved by Anderson4v6
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. P3 0:00Final