Fri, Feb 7, 2014·Jobing.com Arena, Glendale
Chicago Blackhawks 0, Phoenix Coyotes 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 07 | 014 | 09 | 030 |
| PHX | 110 | 114 | 02 | 226 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:09PHXKeith YandlePPGWGAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.03 xG0–1
- P2 18:29PHXRadim VrbataPPAssists: Mike Ribeiro, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–2
Penalties (9)
- P1 1:01CHIBrandon Bollig: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 2:25CHIBryan Bickell: Illegal stick2 min
- P2 3:27PHXJeff Halpern: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:46CHIBrandon Saad: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
- P2 17:46CHIMichal Rozsival: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 10:35CHIKris Versteeg: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:07PHXShane Doan: Interference2 min
- P3 19:54CHIJonathan Toews: Cross checking2 min
- P3 19:54PHXZbynek Michalek: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Vermette
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- Bickell – Shaw – Saad3:16
xG 0.39–0.37 (51%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig3:58
xG 0.02–0.03 (36%)attempts 2–5goals 0–0
- Hossa – Sharp – Toews12:55
xG 0.38–0.41 (48%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Regin – Versteeg – Saad8:04
xG 0.13–0.20 (39%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestRozsival – Hjalmarsson17:06
xG 0.56–0.19 (75%)attempts 19–10goals 0–0
- Keith – Seabrook15:56
xG 0.63–0.34 (65%)attempts 16–8goals 0–0
- Brookbank – Leddy12:15
xG 0.14–0.79 (15%)attempts 6–18goals 0–0
Phoenix Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestHalpern – Moss – Chipchura8:45
xG 0.54–0.18 (75%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker12:16
xG 0.31–0.17 (64%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
- Bissonnette – Kennedy – Klinkhammer3:42
xG 0.05–0.06 (44%)attempts 4–2goals 0–0
- Doan – Ribeiro – Vrbata13:17
xG 0.22–0.59 (27%)attempts 8–16goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Stone8:57
xG 0.38–0.24 (62%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
- Michalek – Yandle2:02
xG 0.11–0.04 (75%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson14:47
xG 0.33–0.34 (49%)attempts 9–12goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
PHX's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line PHX is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Phoenix Coyotes win this game 65% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (PHX − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).