Fri, Feb 7, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Columbus Blue Jackets 2, San Jose Sharks 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 09 | 18 | 14 | 221 |
| SJS | 213 | 015 | 119 | 347 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:23SJSJohn McCarthyAssists: James Sheppard · Deflected, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 8:13SJSPatrick MarleauAssists: Scott Hannan · Slap, 0.09 xG0–2
- P2 0:18CBJRyan JohansenUnassisted · Wrist, 0.05 xG1–2
- P3 5:11SJSTommy WingelsGWGAssists: Jason Demers, Marc-Edouard Vlasic · Backhand, 0.45 xG1–3
- P3 10:45CBJBoone JennerAssists: Nathan Horton, Ryan Johansen · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–3
Penalties (9)
- P1 5:21SJSAdam Burish: Boarding2 min
- P1 16:39SJSPatrick Marleau: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:28CBJJack Johnson: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 3:28CBJJack Johnson: Slashing2 min
- P2 6:29SJSMartin Havlat: Interference2 min
- P2 8:57CBJJames Wisniewski: Cross checking2 min
- P2 15:26CBJDavid Savard: Interference2 min
- P2 17:44SJSBracken Kearns: Tripping2 min
- P3 14:45CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Cross checking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Johansen won the faceoff against Thornton
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestHorton – Johansen – Jenner8:11
xG 0.53–0.32 (63%)attempts 13–11goals 2–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov7:29
xG 0.18–0.36 (34%)attempts 4–10goals 0–0
- Horton – Foligno – Johansen2:15
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Letestu – Tropp5:45
xG 0.15–0.49 (24%)attempts 6–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Tyutin – Johnson11:43
xG 0.50–0.59 (46%)attempts 17–13goals 2–1
- Wisniewski – Murray12:41
xG 0.16–0.51 (24%)attempts 3–19goals 0–0
- Nikitin – Savard12:53
xG 0.28–1.42 (17%)attempts 8–18goals 0–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestHavlat – Pavelski – Wingels8:13
xG 1.35–0.16 (89%)attempts 16–2goals 1–0
- Kearns – Sheppard – McCarthy9:33
xG 0.70–0.23 (75%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Burish – Brown – Desjardins7:05
xG 0.15–0.17 (46%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Demers9:08
xG 1.42–0.05 (96%)attempts 14–1goals 1–0
- Hannan – Demers2:04
xG 0.16–0.01 (93%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Stuart – Braun8:20
xG 0.18–0.15 (54%)attempts 9–7goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 83% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).