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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 8, 2014·TD Garden, Boston

Ottawa Senators 2, Boston Bruins 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 72% of the time.

BOS winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:49Shot by Marchand, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 2:36Shot by Neil, saved by Johnson
  4. P1 4:00Shot by Turris, saved by Johnson
  5. P1 4:23Shot by Boychuk, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 6:01Shot by Warsofsky, saved by Anderson
  7. P1 6:33Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 8:51Shot by Karlsson, saved by Johnson
  9. P1 9:15Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 10:26Condra: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Krejci, Marchand, Warsofsky, Smith, Miller · OTT MacArthur, Methot, Condra, Turris, Karlsson

  11. P1 11:19Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson5v4
  12. P1 11:36Goal by Bergeron (Soderberg, Eriksson)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Eriksson, Bergeron, Soderberg, Smith, Hamilton · OTT Michalek, Greening, Karlsson, Cowen

  13. P1 12:52Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 13:01Shot by Kassian, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 15:42Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  16. P1 16:26Goal by Kelly (Warsofsky, Eriksson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Eriksson, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Miller · OTT Neil, Kassian, Smith, Wiercioch, Ceci

  17. P1 17:18Miller: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Campbell, Paille, Warsofsky, Miller · OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Gryba, Smith

  18. P1 17:18Smith: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Campbell, Paille, Warsofsky, Miller · OTT Neil, Methot, Greening, Gryba, Smith

  19. P1 18:10Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  20. P1 18:44Kelly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Eriksson, Soderberg, Bartkowski, Hamilton · OTT MacArthur, Methot, Gryba, Condra, Turris

  21. P1 19:03Shot by Wiercioch, saved by Johnson4v5
  22. P1 19:08Shot by Neil, saved by Johnson4v5
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:28Shot by Karlsson, saved by Johnson4v5
  26. P2 0:56Michalek: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Krejci, Marchand, Hamilton, Krug · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen

  27. P2 1:25Shot by Turris, saved by Johnson5v4
  28. P2 1:54Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson5v4
  29. P2 3:13Shot by Campbell, saved by Anderson
  30. P2 3:27Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson
  31. P2 4:55Goal by Bergeron (Marchand, Hamilton)+7 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Warsofsky, Smith, Miller · OTT Neil, Condra, Smith, Karlsson, Cowen

  32. P2 5:41Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Johnson5v6
  33. P2 5:42Kelly: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Eriksson, Soderberg, Bartkowski, Hamilton · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Greening, Gryba, Wiercioch, Zibanejad

  34. P2 6:17Shot by Ryan, saved by Johnson4v5
  35. P2 6:35Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson4v5
  36. P2 7:09Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson4v5
  37. P2 8:31Shot by Boychuk, saved by Anderson
  38. P2 9:03Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  39. P2 10:06Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson
  40. P2 10:18Shot by Kelly, saved by Anderson
  41. P2 10:32Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  42. P2 11:05Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  43. P2 11:15Conacher: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Iginla, Krejci, Lucic, Bartkowski, Hamilton · OTT Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  44. P2 12:09Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson5v4
  45. P2 12:15Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson5v4
  46. P2 14:30Shot by Thornton, saved by Anderson
  47. P2 11:10Shot by Lucic, saved by Anderson
  48. P2 16:26Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson
  49. P2 17:02Shot by Soderberg, saved by Anderson
  50. P2 17:15Goal by Ryan (Turris, Conacher)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Campbell, Paille, Bartkowski, Hamilton · OTT Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  51. P2 17:43Shot by Greening, saved by Johnson
  52. P2 17:52Shot by Smith, saved by Johnson
  53. P2 18:18Goal by Iginla (Krejci, Krug)+6 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Iginla, Boychuk, Krejci, Lucic, Krug · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Gryba, Cowen, Zibanejad

  54. P2 18:49Shot by Bergeron, saved by Anderson
  55. P2 19:00Shot by Ceci, saved by Johnson
  56. P2 19:03Shot by Gryba, saved by Johnson
  57. P2 19:13Shot by Bartkowski, saved by Anderson
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:30Shot by Krug, saved by Anderson
  61. P3 1:33Shot by Smith, saved by Anderson
  62. P3 3:20Shot by Boychuk, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 3:25Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson
  64. P3 3:31Shot by Iginla, saved by Anderson
  65. P3 3:35Goal by Lucic (Iginla, Krejci)+2 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Iginla, Boychuk, Krejci, Lucic, Krug · OTT Ryan, Turris, Cowen, Conacher, Ceci

  66. P3 4:44Shot by Eriksson, saved by Lehner
  67. P3 6:08Shot by Ceci, saved by Johnson
  68. P3 6:32Shot by Krug, saved by Lehner
  69. P3 6:44Shot by Boychuk, saved by Lehner
  70. P3 7:27Shot by Lucic, saved by Lehner
  71. P3 8:08Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson
  72. P3 8:26Goal by Marchand (Smith, Bergeron)0 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Bergeron, Marchand, Bartkowski, Smith, Hamilton · OTT Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Cowen, Zibanejad

  73. P3 8:57Conacher: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Kelly, Campbell, Boychuk, Lucic, Krug · OTT Methot, Ryan, Gryba, Turris, Conacher

  74. P3 10:23Shot by Ceci, saved by Johnson5v4
  75. P3 12:33Shot by Zibanejad, saved by Johnson
  76. P3 14:06Campbell: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BOS Thornton, Campbell, Warsofsky, Smith, Miller · OTT Ryan, Turris, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  77. P3 14:48Shot by Spezza, saved by Johnson4v5
  78. P3 15:05Goal by Wiercioch (Karlsson, Spezza)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Boychuk, Eriksson, Bartkowski · OTT Neil, Spezza, Michalek, Karlsson, Wiercioch

  79. P3 16:24Shot by Conacher, saved by Johnson
  80. P3 16:53Goal by Soderberg (Smith, Marchand)0 pts WP

    On ice: BOS Kelly, Soderberg, Warsofsky, Smith, Miller · OTT Spezza, Condra, Karlsson, Cowen, Conacher

  81. P3 19:00Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehner
  82. P3 19:08Shot by Hamilton, saved by Lehner
  83. P3 19:17Shot by Soderberg, saved by Lehner
  84. P3 19:59Shot by Neil, saved by Johnson
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final