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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 8, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 68% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  4. P1 4:02Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 4:38Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  6. P1 4:42Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  7. P1 4:37Shot by Barberio, saved by Howard
  8. P1 5:12Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 7:02Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 8:25Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 9:10Shot by Lashoff, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 9:21Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  13. P1 9:31Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  14. P1 9:54Kronwall: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Barberio · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Andersson, Glendening

  15. P1 10:11Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard5v4
  16. P1 11:03Shot by Carle, saved by Howard5v4
  17. P1 11:17Shot by Malone, saved by Howard5v4
  18. P1 13:43Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  19. P1 13:54Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 15:11Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 16:34Shot by Jurco, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 16:46Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bishop
  23. P1 17:18Goal by Alfredsson (Datsyuk)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Malone, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Gudas · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Quincey, Helm, DeKeyser

  24. P1 18:02Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop
  25. P1 18:19Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  26. P1 19:02Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:20Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  30. P2 0:40Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop
  31. P2 0:55Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  32. P2 1:09Jurco: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Pyatt, Purcell, Gudas, Palat · DET Quincey, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser

  33. P2 1:42Shot by Palat, saved by Howard5v4
  34. P2 1:44Goal by Palat (St. Louis, Hedman)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL St. Louis, Purcell, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Lashoff

  35. P2 2:16Shot by Salo, saved by Howard
  36. P2 2:14Shot by Thompson, saved by Howard
  37. P2 5:02Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 5:31Shot by Palat, saved by Howard
  39. P2 6:12Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 8:31Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 9:00Thompson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Malone, Crombeen, Thompson, Hedman · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Lashoff

  42. P2 9:09Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop4v5
  43. P2 10:17Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop4v5
  44. P2 10:22Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P2 10:27Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop4v5
  46. P2 11:04Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 11:19Goal by Jurco (Sheahan, DeKeyser)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Crombeen, Thompson, Barberio · DET Ericsson, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco, DeKeyser

  48. P2 14:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Howard
  49. P2 15:10Carle: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Malone, Carle, Crombeen, Thompson, Gudas · DET Smith, Lashoff, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco

  50. P2 17:14Goal by Pyatt (Salo, Brown)+22 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Carle, Pyatt, Hedman, Brown · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  51. P2 17:32Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard
  52. P2 18:24Shot by Alfredsson, saved by Bishop
  53. P2 19:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howard
  54. P2 19:53Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:36Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 3:16Shot by Johnson, saved by Howard
  59. P3 4:05Shot by Salo, saved by Howard
  60. P3 5:55Purcell: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Carle, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Gudas · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm

  61. P3 6:25Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop4v5
  62. P3 7:17Shot by Hedman, saved by Howard4v5
  63. P3 8:28Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 9:26Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 14:17Shot by Brown, saved by Howard
  66. P3 15:09Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 16:49Goal by Killorn (Purcell, Pyatt)+42 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Pyatt, Purcell, Killorn, Hedman · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm

  68. P3 18:24Lashoff: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Hedman, Kucherov, Namestnikov, Brown · DET Smith, Lashoff, Tatar, Sheahan, Jurco

  69. P3 18:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Howardother
  70. P3 18:57Goal by Palat (Johnson, Salo)5v6+5 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, St. Louis, Johnson, Hedman, Palat · DET Alfredsson, Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  71. P3 19:44Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bishop
  72. P3 19:55Shot by Jurco, saved by Bishop
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final