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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 4, 2014·MTS Centre, Winnipeg

New York Islanders 3, Winnipeg Jets 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 65% of the time.

WPG winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:10Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Pavelec
  3. P1 2:31Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Halischuk, Trouba · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Strait, Martin, Cizikas

  4. P1 2:31Thorburn: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Halischuk, Trouba · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Strait, Martin, Cizikas

  5. P1 4:42Shot by McDonald, saved by Pavelec
  6. P1 5:14Shot by Hamonic, saved by Pavelec
  7. P1 6:33Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson
  8. P1 7:19Shot by McDonald, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 8:11Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson
  10. P1 8:38Shot by Frolik, saved by Nilsson
  11. P1 9:22Shot by Hamonic, saved by Pavelec
  12. P1 10:57Goal by Ladd (Little)+20 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Ladd, Little, Frolik, Bogosian · NYI Nielsen, Okposo, Grabner, Hamonic, de Haan

  13. P1 11:14Shot by Nielsen, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 13:07Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Pavelec
  15. P1 14:52Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson
  16. P1 15:01Shot by Little, saved by Nilsson
  17. P1 15:07Boulton: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Wheeler, Setoguchi, Scheifele, Trouba · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Strait, Martin, Cizikas

  18. P1 15:07Boulton: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Wheeler, Setoguchi, Scheifele, Trouba · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Strait, Martin, Cizikas

  19. P1 15:07Stuart: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Wheeler, Setoguchi, Scheifele, Trouba · NYI Boulton, Carkner, Strait, Martin, Cizikas

  20. P1 15:13Shot by Wheeler, saved by Nilsson5v4
  21. P1 16:51Shot by Kane, saved by Nilsson5v4
  22. P1 17:11Shot by Ladd, saved by Nilsson
  23. P1 17:21Shot by McDonald, saved by Pavelec
  24. P1 17:25Shot by de Haan, saved by Pavelec
  25. P1 17:30Goal by McDonald (Strome, Lee)+21 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Ladd, Little, Frolik, Bogosian, Trouba · NYI Visnovsky, McDonald, de Haan, Lee, Strome

  26. P1 18:57Shot by Nelson, saved by Pavelec
  27. P1 19:26Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  28. P1 19:30Strome: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Enstrom, Wheeler, Setoguchi, Bogosian, Scheifele · NYI Visnovsky, McDonald, de Haan, Lee, Strome

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P1 19:28Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:07Shot by Trouba, saved by Nilsson5v4
  33. P2 1:31Shot by Lee, saved by Pavelec
  34. P2 1:33Goal by Lee (Grabner)+17 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Frolik, Bogosian, Kane, Scheifele, Trouba · NYI Grabner, Strait, Hickey, Lee, Strome

  35. P2 3:28Shot by Wheeler, saved by Nilsson
  36. P2 4:51Shot by Frolik, saved by Nilsson
  37. P2 4:58Shot by Enstrom, saved by Nilsson
  38. P2 5:02Shot by Scheifele, saved by Nilsson
  39. P2 6:03Shot by Nelson, saved by Pavelec
  40. P2 6:39Shot by Grabner, saved by Pavelec
  41. P2 8:12Shot by Bailey, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 8:21Shot by Wheeler, saved by Nilsson
  43. P2 9:37Shot by Ladd, saved by Nilsson
  44. P2 10:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Nilsson
  45. P2 10:48Shot by Jokinen, saved by Nilsson
  46. P2 11:18de Haan: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Pardy, Ellerby, Kane, Scheifele · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  47. P2 12:46Shot by Kane, saved by Nilsson5v4
  48. P2 15:06Shot by Little, saved by Nilsson
  49. P2 15:18Shot by Slater, saved by Nilsson
  50. P2 16:18Lee: High sticking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: WPG Jokinen, Wheeler, Pardy, Setoguchi, Frolik, Ellerby · NYI Visnovsky, Clutterbuck, Hickey, Lee, Nelson

  51. P2 16:22Shot by Ladd, saved by Nilsson5v4
  52. P2 17:11Shot by Enstrom, saved by Nilsson5v4
  53. P2 18:23Shot by Jokinen, saved by Nilsson
  54. P2 19:12Shot by Strome, saved by Pavelec
  55. P2 19:23Shot by Martin, saved by Pavelec
  56. P2 19:52Shot by Little, saved by Nilsson
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P2 17:12Shot by Little, saved by Nilsson5v4
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:35Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 3:11Shot by Kane, saved by Nilsson
  62. P3 3:19Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson
  63. P3 3:29Enstrom: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Slater, Enstrom, Setoguchi, Frolik, Bogosian · NYI Clutterbuck, Bailey, Hamonic, de Haan, Nelson

  64. P3 4:22Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson4v5
  65. P3 4:42Shot by Hamonic, saved by Pavelec4v5
  66. P3 4:53Shot by Hamonic, saved by Pavelec4v5
  67. P3 6:24Shot by Martin, saved by Pavelec
  68. P3 6:34Shot by Bogosian, saved by Nilsson
  69. P3 9:08Shot by Clutterbuck, saved by Pavelec
  70. P3 13:59Hamonic: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Trouba · NYI McDonald, Hamonic, de Haan, Lee, Strome

  71. P3 13:59Little: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Trouba · NYI McDonald, Hamonic, de Haan, Lee, Strome

  72. P3 14:53Goal by Ladd (Jokinen)4v4+35 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Jokinen, Stuart, Ladd, Bogosian · NYI Grabner, Strait, Bailey, de Haan

  73. P3 15:03Shot by Stuart, saved by Nilsson4v4
  74. P3 15:06Shot by Wheeler, saved by Nilsson4v4
  75. P3 15:14Shot by Wheeler, saved by Nilsson4v4
  76. P3 15:58Shot by Jokinen, saved by Nilsson4v4
  77. P3 17:04Nilsson: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: WPG Slater, Enstrom, Setoguchi, Frolik, Bogosian · NYI McDonald, Bailey, Hamonic, de Haan, Strome

  78. P3 17:28Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Nilsson5v4
  79. P3 19:35Shot by Little, saved by Nilsson
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 1:52Shot by Jokinen, saved by Nilsson4v4
  83. OT 3:02Shot by Okposo, saved by Pavelec4v4
  84. OT 3:53Goal by Grabner (Clutterbuck)4v4+49 pts WP

    On ice: WPG Wheeler, Bogosian, Kane, Trouba · NYI Clutterbuck, Grabner, Hamonic, de Haan

  85. OT 3:53Period end
  86. OT 3:53Final