Thu, Mar 6, 2014·United Center, Chicago
Columbus Blue Jackets 1, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBJ | 18 | 07 | 08 | 123 |
| CHI | 27 | 315 | 111 | 633 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 4:12CHIBrandon BolligAssists: Marcus Kruger · Backhand, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 7:56CBJRyan JohansenAssists: Cam Atkinson, Dalton Prout · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–1
- P1 16:44CHIAndrew ShawGWGAssists: Sheldon Brookbank, Nick Leddy · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–2
- P2 8:00CHIJonathan ToewsAssists: Brandon Saad, Brent Seabrook · Wrist, 0.27 xG1–3
- P2 12:29CHIBryan BickellAssists: Kris Versteeg, Marcus Kruger · Wrist, 0.35 xG1–4
- P2 17:44CHIAndrew ShawAssists: Brent Seabrook, Duncan Keith · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–5
- P3 3:04CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp · Slap, 0.04 xG1–6
Penalties (8)
- P1 13:10CBJNick Schultz: Interference2 min
- P1 13:20CHIJonathan Toews: Hooking2 min
- P2 18:34CBJBrandon Dubinsky: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:42CBJNathan Horton: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P3 6:29CHIKris Versteeg: Holding2 min
- P3 9:57CBJJames Wisniewski: Interference2 min
- P3 11:15CHIDuncan Keith: High sticking2 min
- P3 18:29CHIJohnny Oduya: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Anisimov won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestUmberger – Foligno – Johansen3:11
xG 0.16–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Umberger – Foligno – Anisimov8:32
xG 0.14–0.04 (76%)attempts 5–3goals 0–0
- Horton – Letestu – Jenner3:05
xG 0.19–0.14 (58%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- MacKenzie – Horton – Jenner2:33
xG 0.02–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestProut – Savard2:43
xG 0.21–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 0–0
- Wisniewski – Nikitin6:06
xG 0.28–0.09 (76%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Schultz – Prout7:00
xG 0.31–0.18 (63%)attempts 3–4goals 1–1
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestToews – Shaw – Saad11:08
xG 1.03–0.28 (79%)attempts 15–3goals 2–0
- Handzus – Sharp – Kane11:15
xG 0.65–0.34 (66%)attempts 13–9goals 0–0
- Smith – Kruger – Bollig10:59
xG 0.27–0.13 (67%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Bickell – Regin – Versteeg8:30
xG 0.06–0.38 (13%)attempts 3–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Seabrook15:05
xG 0.95–0.36 (72%)attempts 17–6goals 3–0
- Brookbank – Leddy16:00
xG 0.81–0.35 (70%)attempts 15–10goals 1–0
- Oduya – Hjalmarsson15:36
xG 0.40–0.50 (44%)attempts 9–11goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it CBJ. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − CBJ), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).