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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 9, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York

Detroit Red Wings 0, New York Rangers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 52% of the time.

NYR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:04Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  3. P1 1:09Shot by Klein, saved by Howard
  4. P1 1:26Shot by Klein, saved by Howard
  5. P1 2:07Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lundqvist
  6. P1 5:05Shot by Andersson, saved by Lundqvist
  7. P1 5:14Goal by Boyle (Moore, Moore)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Klein, Carcillo, Moore · DET Alfredsson, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Lashoff

  8. P1 7:31Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  9. P1 7:48Shot by Stralman, saved by Howard
  10. P1 8:39Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard
  11. P1 9:03Shot by Staal, saved by Howard
  12. P1 9:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  13. P1 9:52Shot by Hagelin, saved by Howard
  14. P1 10:00Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist
  15. P1 10:24Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  16. P1 10:26Shot by Andersson, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 12:11Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  18. P1 12:30Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lundqvist
  19. P1 13:36Shot by Moore, saved by Howard
  20. P1 14:43Shot by Kreider, saved by Howard
  21. P1 14:59McDonagh: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · DET Legwand, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Nyquist

  22. P1 16:23Franzen: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Moore, Klein, Stralman · DET Bertuzzi, Alfredsson, Kronwall, Franzen, Nyquist

  23. P1 16:24Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Howard4v4
  24. P1 16:46Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Lundqvist4v4
  25. P1 19:33Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P1 19:53Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lundqvist
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:28Kreider: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · DET Legwand, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Nyquist

  30. P2 0:35Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  31. P2 1:25Shot by Franzen, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  32. P2 2:45Shot by Moore, saved by Howard
  33. P2 5:23Shot by Quincey, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 6:51Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  35. P2 8:05Shot by Richards, saved by Howard
  36. P2 8:16Quincey: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Richards, Klein, Hagelin, Moore · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Glendening, DeKeyser

  37. P2 8:32Shot by Brassard, saved by Howard5v4
  38. P2 9:20Shot by Pouliot, saved by Howard5v4
  39. P2 10:02Shot by Girardi, saved by Howard5v4
  40. P2 11:08Carcillo: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYR Moore, Boyle, Carcillo, Staal, Stralman · DET Alfredsson, Quincey, Franzen, Smith, Sheahan

  41. P2 11:39Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lundqvist4v5
  42. P2 12:13Shot by Stepan, saved by Howard4v5
  43. P2 13:40Shot by Miller, saved by Lundqvist
  44. P2 17:47Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  45. P2 18:39Shot by McDonagh, saved by Howard
  46. P2 19:03Shot by McDonagh, saved by Howard
  47. P2 19:50Shot by Pouliot, saved by Howard
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:14Goal by Kreider (McDonagh, Stepan)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · DET Legwand, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Nyquist

  51. P3 0:49Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lundqvist
  52. P3 1:57Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Lundqvist
  53. P3 3:03Shot by Ericsson, saved by Lundqvist
  54. P3 3:26Shot by Tatar, saved by Lundqvist
  55. P3 5:31Shot by Nash, saved by Howard
  56. P3 6:23Shot by St. Louis, saved by Howard
  57. P3 6:35Shot by Nyquist, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 7:05Shot by Moore, saved by Howard
  59. P3 7:34Howard: Roughing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYR St. Louis, Richards, Klein, Brassard, Moore, Zuccarello · DET Legwand, Kronwall, Ericsson, Nyquist, Tatar

  60. P3 9:09Shot by Nash, saved by Howard5v4
  61. P3 10:24Shot by Smith, saved by Lundqvist
  62. P3 10:40Shot by Carcillo, saved by Howard
  63. P3 11:17Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Lundqvist
  64. P3 11:32Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lundqvist
  65. P3 12:11Goal by Kreider (Stepan, McDonagh)+3 pts WP

    On ice: NYR Nash, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider · DET Bertuzzi, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Nyquist

  66. P3 12:57Shot by Moore, saved by Howard
  67. P3 13:52Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Howard
  68. P3 15:31Shot by Richards, saved by Howard
  69. P3 16:03Shot by Kronwall, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 16:36Shot by Jurco, saved by Lundqvist
  71. P3 16:51Shot by Lashoff, saved by Lundqvist
  72. P3 19:12Shot by Sheahan, saved by Lundqvist
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final