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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 11, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Nashville Predators 4, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.

BUF winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Josi, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 0:55Shot by Foligno, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 1:34Cullen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, D'Agostini, McBain, Hodgson, Foligno · NSH Cullen, Fisher, Spaling, Del Zotto, Ellis

  5. P1 1:56Shot by Stafford, saved by Hutton5v4
  6. P1 2:07Shot by Hodgson, saved by Hutton5v4
  7. P1 2:09Goal by Stafford (Hodgson, Ennis)5v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis · NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi

  8. P1 4:38Fisher: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, McBain, Hodgson, Ennis, Conacher · NSH Fisher, Weber, Stalberg, Spaling, Josi

  9. P1 5:22Shot by D'Agostini, saved by Hutton5v4
  10. P1 7:44Shot by Wilson, saved by Enroth
  11. P1 10:34Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 13:50Shot by Ellis, saved by Hutton
  13. P1 15:11Shot by Nystrom, saved by Enroth
  14. P1 15:40Conacher: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, McBain, Ennis, Conacher · NSH Nystrom, Hornqvist, Wilson, Ekholm, Jones

  15. P1 16:23Shot by Weber, saved by Enroth4v5
  16. P1 17:10Goal by Spaling (Weber, Josi)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Ellis, Stafford, Ruhwedel · NSH Cullen, Weber, Spaling, Josi, Smith

  17. P1 18:33Shot by Josi, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 19:00Shot by Hodgson, saved by Hutton
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 3:33Goal by Weber (Wilson, Smith)+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Konopka, Ellis, Weber, Scott, Myers · NSH Nystrom, Weber, Wilson, Josi, Smith

  22. P2 5:32Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Enroth
  23. P2 5:48Shot by Nystrom, saved by Enroth
  24. P2 6:25Shot by Foligno, saved by Hutton
  25. P2 7:51Goal by Smith (Wilson, Bourque)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Tallinder, Stafford, McBain, Ennis, Conacher · NSH Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis, Smith, Bourque

  26. P2 8:41Shot by Myers, saved by Hutton
  27. P2 9:20Gaustad: Instigator (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Scott, Ruhwedel · NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones

  28. P2 9:20Gaustad: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Scott, Ruhwedel · NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones

  29. P2 9:20Konopka: Fighting (5 min)5v3

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Scott, Ruhwedel · NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones

  30. P2 9:20Gaustad: Misconduct (10 min)4v3

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Konopka, Ellis, Scott, Ruhwedel · NSH Gaustad, Stalberg, Ekholm, Bourque, Jones

  31. P2 9:35Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton5v4
  32. P2 10:06Shot by Hodgson, saved by Hutton5v4
  33. P2 11:52Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Hutton
  34. P2 12:24Clune: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, McBain, Ennis, Conacher · NSH Fisher, Weber, Clune, Josi, Smith

  35. P2 13:42Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton5v4
  36. P2 14:01Shot by Stafford, saved by Hutton5v4
  37. P2 15:54Shot by Flynn, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 18:01Shot by Myers, saved by Hutton
  39. P2 18:17Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hutton
  40. P2 19:36Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 19:49Shot by Hodgson, saved by Hutton
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:21Shot by Fisher, saved by Enroth
  45. P3 2:52Shot by Ennis, saved by Hutton
  46. P3 2:57Shot by Weber, saved by Hutton
  47. P3 3:05Shot by Stafford, saved by Hutton
  48. P3 3:52Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hutton
  49. P3 4:03Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Hutton
  50. P3 6:13Shot by Fisher, saved by Enroth
  51. P3 7:35Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  52. P3 8:34Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  53. P3 8:40Shot by Wilson, saved by Enroth
  54. P3 10:12Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Hutton
  55. P3 11:31Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  56. P3 16:19Shot by Bourque, saved by Enroth
  57. P3 16:23Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Enroth
  58. P3 16:52Shot by Nystrom, saved by Enroth
  59. P3 17:17Shot by Josi, saved by Enroth
  60. P3 18:29Goal by Gaustad (Spaling, Fisher)6v5+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ehrhoff, Stafford, Hodgson, Ennis, Conacher, Ruhwedel · NSH Fisher, Gaustad, Weber, Spaling, Josi

  61. P3 18:56Shot by Smith, saved by Enroth
  62. P3 19:49Shot by Stafford, saved by Hutton
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final