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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 13, 2014·Tampa Bay Times Forum, Tampa

Florida Panthers 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 54% of the time.

TBL winsFLA wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:17Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 1:14Pyatt: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Pyatt, Purcell, Panik, Gudas · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Trocheck, Huberdeau

  4. P1 1:36Shot by Kulikov, saved by Bishop4v5
  5. P1 1:40Shot by Boyes, saved by Bishop4v5
  6. P1 1:44Goal by Fleischmann (Kulikov, Bjugstad)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Brewer, Thompson, Brown · FLA Boyes, Fleischmann, Upshall, Kulikov, Bjugstad

  7. P1 4:10Shot by Barch, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 4:32Shot by Bjugstad, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 4:52Shot by Kostka, saved by Ellis
  10. P1 4:52Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ellis
  11. P1 4:53Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ellis
  12. P1 5:38Goal by Salo (Filppula)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Filppula, Callahan, Hedman, Palat · FLA Hayes, Olsen, Pirri, Petrovic, Howden

  13. P1 5:50Goal by Howden (Hayes, Pirri)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Salo, Thompson, Hedman, Kucherov, Brown · FLA Hayes, Olsen, Pirri, Petrovic, Howden

  14. P1 6:52Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 8:18Goal by Kostka (Purcell)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Purcell, Kostka, Panik · FLA Jovanovski, Barch, Crabb, Kulikov, Pirri

  16. P1 14:41Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis
  17. P1 15:09Shot by Trocheck, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 17:00Shot by Thompson, saved by Ellis
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 18:58Shot by Hayes, saved by Bishop
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:23Shot by Upshall, saved by Bishop
  24. P2 0:43Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Callahan, Gudas, Palat · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Trocheck, Huberdeau

  25. P2 2:20Shot by Upshall, saved by Bishop4v5
  26. P2 4:08Shot by Gudas, saved by Ellis
  27. P2 4:51Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis
  28. P2 5:07Huberdeau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Brewer, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Gilbert, Trocheck, Huberdeau

  29. P2 5:37Shot by Salo, saved by Ellis5v4
  30. P2 6:53Shot by Johnson, saved by Ellis5v4
  31. P2 7:28Shot by Palat, saved by Ellis
  32. P2 8:38Shot by Johnson, saved by Ellis
  33. P2 8:46Shot by Pirri, saved by Bishop
  34. P2 9:19Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bishop
  35. P2 9:57Shot by Panik, saved by Ellis
  36. P2 10:48Shot by Upshall, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 12:04Goal by Callahan (Palat, Filppula)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Kostka, Palat · FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Kulikov, Trocheck, Huberdeau

  38. P2 12:41Howden: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Salo, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Hedman · FLA Campbell, Gilbert, Hayes, Pirri, Howden

  39. P2 13:20Shot by Filppula, saved by Ellis5v4
  40. P2 14:23Shot by Hedman, saved by Ellis5v4
  41. P2 16:04Shot by Kostka, saved by Ellis
  42. P2 18:39Shot by Killorn, saved by Ellis
  43. P2 18:53Goal by Johnson (Stamkos)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Killorn, Stamkos, Johnson, Gudas · FLA Jovanovski, Boyes, Upshall, Kulikov, Bjugstad

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 0:21Shot by Hedman, saved by Ellis
  47. P3 2:02Shot by Kostka, saved by Ellis
  48. P3 4:29Shot by Gilbert, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 4:39Shot by Campbell, saved by Bishop
  50. P3 5:02Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 6:49Shot by Brown, saved by Ellis
  52. P3 7:34Shot by Petrovic, saved by Bishop
  53. P3 9:41Shot by Howden, saved by Bishop
  54. P3 9:52Olsen: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Pyatt, Purcell, Kostka, Panik · FLA Hayes, Olsen, Pirri, Petrovic, Howden

  55. P3 10:38Shot by Hedman, saved by Ellis5v4
  56. P3 10:47Goal by Stamkos (Filppula, Hedman)5v4+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Hedman, Palat · FLA Jovanovski, Fleischmann, Kulikov, Trocheck

  57. P3 11:41Shot by Pirri, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 12:25Shot by Brewer, saved by Ellis
  59. P3 15:14Shot by Campbell, saved by Bishop
  60. P3 16:06Shot by Fleischmann, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 16:21Shot by Callahan, saved by Ellis
  62. P3 16:26Petrovic: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Kostka, Palat · FLA Gomez, Fleischmann, Olsen, Petrovic, Huberdeau

  63. P3 18:47Shot by Carle, saved by Ellis
  64. P3 18:55Goal by Upshall (Bjugstad, Boyes)0 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Thompson, Gudas, Kucherov, Brown · FLA Campbell, Boyes, Upshall, Olsen, Bjugstad

  65. P3 19:20Shot by Campbell, saved by Bishop5v6
  66. P3 19:33Goal by Pirri (Petrovic, Campbell)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Kostka, Palat · FLA Campbell, Fleischmann, Hayes, Pirri, Petrovic, Huberdeau

  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final