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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 18, 2014·Rexall Place, Edmonton

Nashville Predators 1, Edmonton Oilers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 53% of the time.

EDM winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:48Ellis: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ference, Eberle, Schultz, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Nystrom, Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis, Smith

  3. P1 2:11Shot by Sissons, saved by Fasth5v4
  4. P1 2:54Shot by Gordon, saved by Rinne
  5. P1 4:17Shot by Josi, saved by Fasth
  6. P1 4:25Shot by Smyth, saved by Rinne
  7. P1 4:26Cullen: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Smyth, Ference, Hendricks, Gordon, Schultz · NSH Fisher, Eaves, Spaling, Ekholm, Jones

  8. P1 4:33Shot by Josi, saved by Fasth5v4
  9. P1 5:20Shot by Weber, saved by Fasth5v4
  10. P1 6:09Shot by Schultz, saved by Rinne5v4
  11. P1 6:18Shot by Gazdic, saved by Rinne5v4
  12. P1 9:39Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fasth
  13. P1 10:19Shot by Ference, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 11:20Shot by Perron, saved by Rinne
  15. P1 11:45Shot by Cullen, saved by Fasth
  16. P1 11:46Fraser: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Fraser, Gagner, Perron, Hall, Klefbom · NSH Cullen, Eaves, Weber, Josi, Bourque

  17. P1 12:37Shot by Josi, saved by Fasth4v5
  18. P1 13:57Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rinne
  19. P1 14:10Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne
  20. P1 14:59Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Fasth
  21. P1 17:07Ference: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ference, Gagner, Eberle, Schultz, Hall · NSH Cullen, Weber, Hornqvist, Spaling, Josi

  22. P1 17:34Shot by Hendricks, saved by Rinne4v5
  23. P1 18:58Shot by Hendricks, saved by Rinne4v5
  24. P1 19:23Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 19:25Goal by Gagner (Marincin, Perron)+22 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Petry, Gagner, Perron, Marincin, Hall · NSH Gaustad, Ellis, Smith, Sissons, Jones

  26. P1 19:58Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fasth
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:33Shot by Eberle, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 1:02Shot by Perron, saved by Rinne
  31. P2 4:15Shot by Weber, saved by Fasth
  32. P2 4:30Shot by Eaves, saved by Fasth
  33. P2 6:00Shot by Sissons, saved by Fasth
  34. P2 6:39Nystrom: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Smyth, Ference, Eberle, Schultz, Hall, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Nystrom, Wilson, Ellis, Smith, Jones

  35. P2 8:07Shot by Eberle, saved by Rinne5v4
  36. P2 8:18Goal by Nugent-Hopkins (Eberle, Larsen)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Jones, Eberle, Larsen, Lander, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Gaustad, Eaves, Ekholm, Jones

  37. P2 8:29Gordon: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hendricks, Gordon, Fraser, Gazdic, Klefbom · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque

  38. P2 9:19Shot by Cullen, saved by Fasth4v5
  39. P2 9:21Shot by Spaling, saved by Fasth4v5
  40. P2 10:46Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Fasth
  41. P2 11:05Shot by Ellis, saved by Fasth
  42. P2 11:48Shot by Perron, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 13:11Shot by Marincin, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 13:56Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Fasth
  45. P2 14:48Goal by Hall (Gagner, Ference)+6 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Fraser, Gagner, Perron, Schultz, Hall · NSH Cullen, Clune, Spaling, Del Zotto, Ellis

  46. P2 14:48Fraser: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Fraser, Gagner, Perron, Schultz, Hall · NSH Cullen, Clune, Spaling, Del Zotto, Ellis

  47. P2 15:14Shot by Josi, saved by Fasth4v5
  48. P2 15:15Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Fasth4v5
  49. P2 17:04Shot by Gagner, saved by Rinne
  50. P2 17:22Shot by Smith, saved by Fasth
  51. P2 18:39Goal by Bourque (Hornqvist, Weber)+6 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ference, Gagner, Perron, Schultz, Hall · NSH Cullen, Weber, Hornqvist, Josi, Bourque

  52. P2 18:38Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Fasth
  53. P2 19:47Shot by Lander, saved by Rinne
  54. P2 0:00Period end
  55. P2 19:59Shot by Weber, saved by Fasth
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 1:28Shot by Jones, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 2:32Shot by Gaustad, saved by Fasth
  59. P3 2:50Shot by Eberle, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 3:16Petry: Hooking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: EDM Ference, Petry, Gagner, Perron, Hall · NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Smith, Bourque, Sissons

  61. P3 6:38Del Zotto: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: EDM Smyth, Gordon, Jones, Fraser, Schultz, Hall · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Del Zotto, Ellis, Bourque

  62. P3 8:03Shot by Nugent-Hopkins, saved by Rinne5v4
  63. P3 8:38Goal by Eberle (Lander, Nugent-Hopkins)+4 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Jones, Eberle, Larsen, Lander, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Eaves, Spaling, Ekholm, Jones

  64. P3 9:50Shot by Nystrom, saved by Fasth
  65. P3 10:01Goal by Eberle (Nugent-Hopkins)+1 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Eberle, Schultz, Larsen, Lander, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Fisher, Hornqvist, Wilson, Del Zotto, Ellis

  66. P3 12:33Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fasth
  67. P3 12:41Shot by Jones, saved by Hutton
  68. P3 13:32Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Fasth
  69. P3 14:17Shot by Hall, saved by Hutton
  70. P3 14:19Shot by Perron, saved by Hutton
  71. P3 14:59Shot by Jones, saved by Hutton
  72. P3 17:38Shot by Sissons, saved by Fasth
  73. P3 18:11Gazdic: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Gazdic, Eberle, Schultz, Larsen, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Gaustad, Clune, Ekholm, Sissons, Jones

  74. P3 18:11Clune: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: EDM Gazdic, Eberle, Schultz, Larsen, Nugent-Hopkins · NSH Gaustad, Clune, Ekholm, Sissons, Jones

  75. P3 18:27Shot by Ekholm, saved by Fasth4v4
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final