Tue, Apr 1, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Edmonton Oilers 4, San Jose Sharks 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 19 | 29 | 111 | 429 |
| SJS | 26 | 117 | 210 | 533 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:11SJSAndrew DesjardinsAssists: Tyler Kennedy, Jason Demers · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–1
- P1 12:34EDMTaylor HallPPAssists: Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, Jordan Eberle · Snap, 0.06 xG1–1
- P1 15:54SJSDan BoyleAssists: Joe Thornton · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–2
- P2 2:45SJSTommy WingelsAssists: Brad Stuart, Justin Braun · Wrist, 0.12 xG1–3
- P2 13:04EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsAssists: Anton Belov, Taylor Hall · Snap, 0.05 xG2–3
- P2 13:42EDMJordan EberleAssists: Oscar Klefbom, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.16 xG3–3
- P3 6:16EDMRyan Nugent-HopkinsAssists: Jordan Eberle, Taylor Hall · Wrist, 0.08 xG4–3
- P3 10:35SJSBrent BurnsAssists: Joe Thornton, Joe Pavelski · Wrist, 0.10 xG4–4
- P3 12:31SJSPatrick MarleauPPGWGAssists: Joe Pavelski, Brent Burns · Backhand, 0.09 xG4–5
Penalties (16)
- P1 3:38SJSJason Demers: Tripping2 min
- P1 7:59EDMDavid Perron: Tripping2 min
- P1 11:37SJSDan Boyle: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P1 14:50EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins: Slashing2 min
- P1 14:50SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min
- P1 18:44EDMAnton Lander: High sticking2 min
- P2 0:44EDMMark Fraser: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:42EDMMark Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:42EDMMark Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P2 3:42SJSBrent Burns: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:49EDMMark Fraser: Roughing2 min
- P2 14:49EDMMark Fraser: Fighting5 min
- P2 14:49SJSMike Brown: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:16SJSMike Brown: Hooking2 min
- P3 12:23EDMDavid Perron: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 16:06EDMDavid Perron: Hooking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Couture won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestEberle – Hall – Nugent-Hopkins12:33
xG 0.65–0.48 (57%)attempts 11–11goals 3–0
- Smyth – Gagner – Perron3:47
xG 0.13–0.03 (79%)attempts 3–3goals 0–0
- Gagner – Perron – Lander6:04
xG 0.06–0.01 (80%)attempts 6–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestFraser – Belov6:30
xG 0.25–0.05 (83%)attempts 8–1goals 1–0
- Petry – Klefbom2:43
xG 0.08–0.02 (79%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Schultz – Klefbom7:00
xG 0.32–0.39 (45%)attempts 6–10goals 2–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestKennedy – Brown – Desjardins3:43
xG 0.52–0.17 (76%)attempts 6–2goals 1–0
- Havlat – Sheppard – Wingels5:39
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 4–8goals 1–0
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels2:04
xG 0.02–0.15 (13%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Marleau – Couture – Nieto6:23
xG 0.14–0.28 (34%)attempts 3–7goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Demers6:58
xG 0.53–0.12 (82%)attempts 8–4goals 1–1
- Boyle – Irwin6:52
xG 0.01–0.15 (8%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Stuart – Braun8:54
xG 0.36–0.55 (39%)attempts 7–12goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 56% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).