Thu, Apr 3, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Los Angeles Kings 1, San Jose Sharks 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAK | 110 | 09 | 08 | 127 |
| SJS | 05 | 210 | 06 | 221 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 3:36LAKJordan NolanAssists: Jarret Stoll, Alec Martinez · Deflected, 0.22 xG1–0
- P2 7:15SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Brent Burns, Dan Boyle · Tip-in, 0.19 xG1–1
- P2 12:13SJSLogan CoutureGWGAssists: Patrick Marleau, Tommy Wingels · Wrap-around, 0.22 xG1–2
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:04SJSBrent Burns: Cross checking2 min
- P1 5:09LAKAnze Kopitar: Hooking2 min
- P1 18:21SJSJason Demers: Tripping2 min
- P2 3:26SJSDan Boyle: Holding2 min
- P2 7:11LAKDustin Brown: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 12:59SJSJoe Thornton: Cross checking2 min
- P2 12:59LAKSlava Voynov: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:44SJSTyler Kennedy: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:27SJSMatt Nieto: Hooking2 min
- P3 8:29SJSJason Demers: Roughing2 min
- P3 8:29LAKJarret Stoll: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestStoll – Brown – Nolan4:10
xG 0.38–0.00 (100%)attempts 6–0goals 1–0
- Richards – Lewis – Clifford4:53
xG 0.09–0.00 (97%)attempts 4–1goals 0–0
- Brown – Lewis – Nolan2:08
xG 0.05–0.00 (100%)attempts 3–2goals 0–0
- Carter – Toffoli – Pearson6:15
xG 0.03–0.02 (58%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Voynov8:52
xG 0.39–0.00 (100%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Regehr – Martinez4:30
xG 0.09–0.02 (82%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Greene – Muzzin5:43
xG 0.18–0.13 (58%)attempts 7–7goals 0–0
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestMarleau – Couture – Wingels9:23
xG 0.55–0.17 (76%)attempts 11–15goals 1–0
- Havlat – Brown – Desjardins6:51
xG 0.10–0.15 (41%)attempts 1–6goals 0–0
- Kennedy – Sheppard – Nieto7:31
xG 0.01–0.35 (3%)attempts 4–10goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestVlasic – Demers12:41
xG 0.55–0.11 (84%)attempts 11–18goals 1–0
- Stuart – Braun5:49
xG 0.23–0.35 (40%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Hannan – Boyle11:38
xG 0.28–0.48 (37%)attempts 8–15goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it LAK. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − LAK), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).