Tue, Apr 8, 2014·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Boston Bruins 3, Minnesota Wild 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 64% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 26 | 19 | 07 | 02 | 0 | 324 |
| MIN | 29 | 04 | 15 | 06 | 1 | 424 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:05MINJason PominvillePPAssists: Mikko Koivu, Zach Parise · Slap, 0.02 xG0–1
- P1 3:00BOSReilly SmithPPUnassisted · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P1 10:28BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.13 xG2–1
- P1 10:56MINJason PominvilleAssists: Matt Moulson, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
- P2 16:18BOSLoui ErikssonPPAssists: Gregory Campbell, Zdeno Chara · Tip-in, 0.08 xG3–2
- P3 18:55MINRyan SuterAssists: Jason Pominville, Mikko Koivu · Wrist, 0.05 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. MIN Zach Parise stopped
- 2. BOS Patrice Bergeron stopped
- 3. MIN Mikko Koivu scored
- 4. BOS Reilly Smith stopped
- 5. MIN Jason Pominville stopped
- 6. BOS Brad Marchand stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:41BOSMilan Lucic: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 2:07MINRyan Suter: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:18BOSShawn Thornton: Holding2 min
- P2 14:38MINJustin Fontaine: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 6:56MINErik Haula: Tripping2 min
- P3 7:34BOSLoui Eriksson: High sticking2 min
- P3 8:11MINMatt Moulson: Hooking2 min
- P3 14:28MINRyan Suter: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Brodziak
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith11:18
xG 0.23–0.28 (45%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
- Kelly – Paille – Caron7:18
xG 0.17–0.34 (34%)attempts 10–5goals 0–0
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Lucic14:08
xG 0.34–0.64 (34%)attempts 12–14goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBoychuk – Bartkowski12:32
xG 0.32–0.24 (57%)attempts 11–7goals 0–0
- Chara – Hamilton12:47
xG 0.28–0.34 (45%)attempts 12–9goals 0–0
- Potter – Meszaros8:43
xG 0.00–0.39 (0%)attempts 4–8goals 0–0
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestKoivu – Parise – Coyle13:56
xG 0.70–0.22 (76%)attempts 16–10goals 0–1
- Pominville – Moulson – Haula9:19
xG 0.49–0.22 (69%)attempts 6–8goals 1–0
- Veilleux – McCormick – Niederreiter7:34
xG 0.05–0.03 (63%)attempts 2–6goals 0–0
- Cooke – Brodziak – Fontaine11:14
xG 0.18–0.27 (41%)attempts 5–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestBlum – Scandella10:07
xG 0.45–0.15 (75%)attempts 6–13goals 0–0
- Suter – Spurgeon17:20
xG 0.52–0.23 (69%)attempts 12–10goals 1–1
- Suter – Brodin5:14
xG 0.04–0.02 (69%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 64% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).