Sat, Oct 11, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Edmonton Oilers 4, Vancouver Canucks 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 80% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EDM | 210 | 28 | 011 | 00 | 0 | 429 |
| VAN | 15 | 221 | 112 | 05 | 1 | 543 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:41EDMBrad HuntPPAssists: Teddy Purcell, David Perron · Slap, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 10:31EDMMark ArcobelloAssists: Teddy Purcell, David Perron · Backhand, 0.08 xG2–0
- P1 19:50VANHenrik SedinAssists: Daniel Sedin, Alexander Edler · Deflected, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 2:22EDMNail YakupovAssists: Benoit Pouliot · Backhand, 0.07 xG3–1
- P2 4:26VANNick BoninoAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Alexandre Burrows · Wrist, 0.08 xG3–2
- P2 8:36EDMJesse JoensuuSHAssists: Mark Arcobello, Mark Fayne · Backhand, 0.12 xG4–2
- P2 10:48VANRadim VrbataPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Henrik Sedin · Wrist, 0.20 xG4–3
- P3 7:06VANLinden VeyPPAssists: Daniel Sedin, Radim Vrbata · Wrist, 0.02 xG4–4
Shootout
- 1. VAN Nick Bonino stopped
- 2. EDM Jordan Eberle stopped
- 3. VAN Radim Vrbata stopped
- 4. EDM David Perron stopped
- 5. VAN Chris Higgins scored
- 6. EDM Benoit Pouliot stopped
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:26VANAlexandre Burrows: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 16:24VANLinden Vey: Holding2 min
- P2 4:48EDMJordan Eberle: High sticking2 min
- P2 7:38EDMTaylor Hall: High sticking double minor4 min · PPG
- P2 16:18EDMMatt Hendricks: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P3 0:54EDMMark Fayne: Hooking2 min
- P3 4:25EDMAndrew Ference: Holding2 min
- P3 6:20EDMBenoit Pouliot: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 6:20VANDan Hamhuis: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:20EDMRyan Nugent-Hopkins: Fighting5 min
- P3 16:44VANRadim Vrbata: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Sedin won the faceoff against Nugent-Hopkins
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Edmonton Oilers
Forward lines
- bestGordon – Eberle – Hall2:00
xG 0.22–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
- Hendricks – Gordon – Joensuu7:51
xG 0.23–0.25 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 0–0
- Purcell – Perron – Arcobello10:10
xG 0.42–0.59 (42%)attempts 7–10goals 1–2
- Pouliot – Yakupov – Draisaitl6:06
xG 0.12–0.30 (29%)attempts 4–5goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestNikitin – Fayne12:35
xG 0.59–0.33 (64%)attempts 13–11goals 0–0
- Schultz – Hunt11:08
xG 0.30–0.59 (34%)attempts 6–10goals 0–0
- Ference – Petry13:54
xG 0.39–0.92 (30%)attempts 12–18goals 2–2
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Bonino9:36
xG 0.91–0.41 (69%)attempts 17–9goals 1–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata11:05
xG 0.59–0.35 (63%)attempts 12–9goals 1–0
- Richardson – Dorsett – Vey3:27
xG 0.07–0.04 (66%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Hansen – Matthias – Kassian3:24
xG 0.03–0.06 (36%)attempts 2–3goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestEdler – Tanev11:52
xG 0.61–0.23 (72%)attempts 12–5goals 1–0
- Hamhuis – Sbisa10:30
xG 0.49–0.35 (59%)attempts 13–6goals 0–0
- Stanton – Tanev2:32
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it EDM. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 80% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − EDM), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).