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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 14, 2014·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Calgary Flames 3, Nashville Predators 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 59% of the time.

NSH winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:17Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Ramo
  3. P1 1:41Shot by Wilson, saved by Ramo
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Ramo
  5. P1 4:48Shot by Engelland, saved by Rinne
  6. P1 5:49Stajan: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Wilson, Jarnkrok, Jones · CGY Stajan, Giordano, Bouma, Brodie, Bollig

  7. P1 6:52Shot by Backlund, saved by Rinne5v4
  8. P1 8:46Goal by Forsberg (Roy, Smith)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Roy, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg · CGY Engelland, Raymond, Russell, Colborne, Gaudreau

  9. P1 10:01Goal by Brodie (Giordano, Bollig)+18 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Neal, Bourque, Jones · CGY Stajan, Giordano, Bouma, Brodie, Bollig

  10. P1 10:17Shot by Colborne, saved by Rinne
  11. P1 12:26Glencross: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Beck, Jones · CGY Wideman, Glencross, Smid, Byron, Backlund

  12. P1 12:48Shot by Neal, saved by Ramo5v4
  13. P1 16:49Shot by Bollig, saved by Rinne
  14. P1 17:01Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ramo
  15. P1 18:02Shot by Ellis, saved by Ramo
  16. P1 18:43Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne
  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 0:14Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  20. P2 2:29Shot by Bollig, saved by Rinne
  21. P2 3:55Shot by Byron, saved by Rinne
  22. P2 4:06Shot by Engelland, saved by Rinne
  23. P2 5:02Wilson: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Neal, Wilson, Ellis, Ekholm · CGY Engelland, Giordano, Raymond, Colborne, Gaudreau

  24. P2 5:19Goal by Giordano (Hudler, Brodie)4v5+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Setoguchi, Brodie, Monahan

  25. P2 6:02Shot by Weber, saved by Ramo
  26. P2 7:15Shot by Forsberg, saved by Ramo
  27. P2 8:15Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  28. P2 9:41Shot by Hudler, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 11:30Ellis: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jokinen, Ellis, Ekholm, Bourque, Jarnkrok · CGY Engelland, Raymond, Russell, Colborne, Gaudreau

  30. P2 12:06Shot by Giordano, saved by Rinne4v5
  31. P2 12:41Shot by Jokinen, saved by Ramo4v5
  32. P2 15:10Goal by Ribeiro (Wilson, Smith)+22 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Wilson, Smith, Jones · CGY Wideman, Smid, Setoguchi, Bollig, Monahan

  33. P2 16:25Shot by Giordano, saved by Rinne
  34. P2 16:36Shot by Russell, saved by Rinne
  35. P2 18:20Shot by Colborne, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 19:49Shot by Bourque, saved by Ramo
  37. P2 19:57Shot by Glencross, saved by Rinne
  38. P2 0:00Period end
  39. P3 0:00Period start
  40. P3 4:06Smith: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Roy, Ellis, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg · CGY Engelland, Raymond, Russell, Colborne, Gaudreau

  41. P3 5:47Shot by Wideman, saved by Rinne4v5
  42. P3 6:14Shot by Gaustad, saved by Ramo
  43. P3 6:48Shot by Giordano, saved by Rinne
  44. P3 6:49Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne
  45. P3 7:10Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  46. P3 7:47Shot by Raymond, saved by Rinne
  47. P3 9:53Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne
  48. P3 10:17Engelland: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Roy, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · CGY Engelland, Glencross, Russell, Byron, Backlund

  49. P3 10:17Forsberg: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NSH Roy, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · CGY Engelland, Glencross, Russell, Byron, Backlund

  50. P3 10:27Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo4v4
  51. P3 10:49Shot by Brodie, saved by Rinne4v4
  52. P3 12:24Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo
  53. P3 13:03Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne
  54. P3 16:43Shot by Weber, saved by Ramo
  55. P3 16:50Shot by Jokinen, saved by Ramo
  56. P3 17:30Shot by Stajan, saved by Rinne
  57. P3 18:39Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne
  58. P3 19:46Shot by Wilson, saved by Ramo
  59. P3 0:00Period end
  60. OT 0:00Period start
  61. OT 0:43Shot by Monahan, saved by Rinne4v4
  62. OT 1:35Shot by Smith, saved by Ramo4v4
  63. OT 3:03Shot by Raymond, saved by Rinne4v4
  64. OT 5:00Period end
  65. SO Period start
  66. SO Shot by Roy, saved by Ramoother
  67. SO Goal by Colborne, unassistedother
  68. SO Shot by Neal, saved by Ramoother
  69. SO Shot by Hudler, saved by Rinneother
  70. SO Shot by Jokinen, saved by Ramoother
  71. SO Period end
  72. SO Final