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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 18, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Philadelphia Flyers 6, Dallas Stars 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 59% of the time.

DAL winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Benn, saved by Mason
  3. P1 0:34Shot by Spezza, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:51Shot by Dillon, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:22Shot by Voracek, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 4:47Shot by Read, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 6:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  8. P1 6:42Seguin: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin · PHI Grossmann, Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Raffl

  9. P1 6:57Shot by Fiddler, saved by Mason4v5
  10. P1 7:45Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  11. P1 8:41Shot by Read, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  12. P1 8:53Shot by Roussel, saved by Mason
  13. P1 9:11Shot by Seguin, saved by Mason
  14. P1 10:23Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 10:51Jones: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon, Garbutt · PHI Streit, Voracek, Del Zotto, Schenn, Bellemare

  16. P1 11:32Goal by Daley (Seguin, Spezza)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin · PHI Grossmann, Schenn, Read, Couturier

  17. P1 12:47Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Lehtonen
  18. P1 13:16Goal by Couturier (Umberger, MacDonald)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Benn, Benn, Seguin · PHI Umberger, Grossmann, MacDonald, Read, Couturier

  19. P1 14:41Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Lehtonen
  20. P1 14:58Shot by Hemsky, saved by Mason
  21. P1 15:07Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen
  22. P1 15:09Goal by Schenn (Schenn, Mason)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hemsky, Fiddler, Benn, McKenzie, Dillon · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Bellemare

  23. P1 16:05Benn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Benn, Dillon, Seguin · PHI Streit, Grossmann, VandeVelde, Jones, Rinaldo

  24. P1 16:41Shot by Fiddler, saved by Mason4v5
  25. P1 18:23Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen
  26. P1 19:07Shot by Seguin, saved by Mason
  27. P1 19:33Shot by Raffl, saved by Lehtonen
  28. P1 19:59Shot by Couturier, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 2:46Goal by Cole (Horcoff, Eaves)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Horcoff, Eaves, Benn, Dillon · PHI Streit, VandeVelde, Jones, Schenn, Rinaldo

  32. P2 3:30Shot by Umberger, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 4:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  34. P2 4:06Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 4:12Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen
  36. P2 4:13Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen
  37. P2 5:11Shot by McKenzie, saved by Mason
  38. P2 6:47Shot by Streit, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P2 7:35Shot by Connauton, saved by Mason
  40. P2 7:58Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 9:19Shot by Streit, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 11:20Shot by Garbutt, saved by Mason
  43. P2 14:52Shot by Eakin, saved by Mason
  44. P2 15:06Shot by Seguin, saved by Mason
  45. P2 16:52Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  46. P2 17:56Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lehtonen
  47. P2 18:17Voracek: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hemsky, Fiddler, Benn, McKenzie, Dillon · PHI MacDonald, Simmonds, Del Zotto, Schenn, Bellemare

  48. P2 18:33Goal by Daley (Seguin, Spezza)5v4+23 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin · PHI Grossmann, MacDonald, Read, Couturier

  49. P2 19:29Goal by Benn (Seguin, Spezza)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 3:34Read: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Roussel, Eakin, Dillon, Garbutt · PHI Umberger, Grossmann, MacDonald, Read, Couturier

  53. P3 6:39Benn: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Horcoff, Eaves, Benn, Dillon · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Couturier

  54. P3 7:01Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  55. P3 7:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  56. P3 7:30Shot by Streit, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  57. P3 7:57Shot by Streit, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  58. P3 7:58Shot by Schenn, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  59. P3 8:32Goal by MacDonald (Del Zotto, Read)4v5+12 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Daley, Goligoski, Benn · PHI Umberger, MacDonald, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  60. P3 8:55Shot by Bellemare, saved by Lehtonen
  61. P3 9:42Shot by Seguin, saved by Emery
  62. P3 13:06Shot by Umberger, saved by Lehtonen
  63. P3 14:14Goal by Voracek (Schultz, Giroux)+38 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Horcoff, Daley, Eaves, Goligoski · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  64. P3 14:53Shot by Spezza, saved by Emery
  65. P3 14:54Goal by Spezza (Benn, Seguin)+39 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Benn, Benn, Connauton, Seguin · PHI Umberger, Grossmann, MacDonald, Read, Couturier

  66. P3 16:07Goal by Raffl (Voracek, Streit)+41 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Raffl

  67. P3 16:33Shot by Spezza, saved by Emery
  68. P3 16:32Shot by Benn, saved by Emery
  69. P3 18:01Shot by Giroux, saved by Lehtonen
  70. P3 19:56Benn: Closing hand on puck (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Eakin, Garbutt · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Couturier

  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. OT 0:00Period start
  73. OT 0:47Shot by Streit, saved by Lehtonen3v4
  74. OT 2:09Daley: Hooking (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Daley, Goligoski, Benn, Seguin · PHI Schultz, Grossmann, Schenn, Read

  75. OT 2:49Goal by Giroux (Streit, Voracek)3v4+53 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Eakin, Dillon · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds

  76. OT 2:49Period end
  77. OT 2:49Final