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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 6, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Calgary Flames 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsCGY wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Jooris, saved by Bishop
  3. P1 0:45Shot by Glencross, saved by Bishop
  4. P1 0:52Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 1:00Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 1:14Shot by Filppula, saved by Hiller
  7. P1 1:28Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 2:15Shot by Boyle, saved by Hiller
  9. P1 6:26Shot by Jones, saved by Bishop
  10. P1 6:56Shot by Granlund, saved by Bishop
  11. P1 9:44Shot by Stralman, saved by Hiller
  12. P1 9:55Goal by Paquette (Drouin)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Stralman, Namestnikov, Paquette, Drouin · CGY Engelland, Jones, Bouma, Bollig, Diaz

  13. P1 10:21Shot by Baertschi, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 10:23Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Bishop
  15. P1 10:24Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 14:33Shot by Palat, saved by Hiller
  17. P1 14:58Shot by Johnson, saved by Hiller
  18. P1 15:13Shot by Callahan, saved by Hiller
  19. P1 15:22Goal by Hudler (Brodie, Giordano)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Gudas · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Granlund

  20. P1 16:38Shot by Drouin, saved by Hiller
  21. P1 17:54Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop
  22. P1 19:44Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hiller
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:48Shot by Palat, saved by Hiller
  26. P2 0:52Shot by Gudas, saved by Hiller
  27. P2 1:01Goal by Paquette (Namestnikov, Garrison)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Gudas, Namestnikov, Paquette, Drouin · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Brodie, Gaudreau, Granlund

  28. P2 2:36Shot by Boyle, saved by Hiller
  29. P2 2:48Brewer: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Morrow, Boyle, Brown, Sustr · CGY Engelland, Jones, Bouma, Bollig, Diaz

  30. P2 3:05Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Bishop4v5
  31. P2 3:22Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop4v5
  32. P2 3:50Shot by Garrison, saved by Hiller4v5
  33. P2 4:00Shot by Boyle, saved by Hiller4v5
  34. P2 4:02Goal by Boyle, unassisted4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Garrison, Namestnikov, Sustr · CGY Wideman, Hudler, Glencross, Russell, Jooris

  35. P2 4:19Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop4v5
  36. P2 4:22Goal by Monahan (Gaudreau, Giordano)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Palat · CGY Giordano, Setoguchi, Brodie, Gaudreau, Monahan

  37. P2 5:39Glencross: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · CGY Giordano, Glencross, Brodie, Monahan, Jooris

  38. P2 5:39Johnson: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · CGY Giordano, Glencross, Brodie, Monahan, Jooris

  39. P2 5:58Granlund: Embellishment (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stralman, Stamkos · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Brodie, Granlund

  40. P2 5:58Stralman: Elbowing (2 min)4v3

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stralman, Stamkos · CGY Hudler, Giordano, Brodie, Granlund

  41. P2 6:32Shot by Monahan, saved by Bishop4v4
  42. P2 7:14Drouin: Tripping (2 min)4v4

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Callahan, Sustr, Drouin · CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Byron

  43. P2 7:27Shot by Giordano, saved by Bishop3v4
  44. P2 7:55Shot by Johnson, saved by Hiller4v5
  45. P2 10:35Shot by Callahan, saved by Hiller
  46. P2 10:41Shot by Setoguchi, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 10:42Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop
  48. P2 11:28Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 12:24Shot by Gudas, saved by Hiller
  50. P2 12:31Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Hiller
  51. P2 14:42Brodie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Gudas · CGY Setoguchi, Russell, Byron, Brodie, Baertschi

  52. P2 15:43Shot by Garrison, saved by Hiller5v4
  53. P2 16:59Shot by Boyle, saved by Hiller
  54. P2 17:49Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop
  55. P2 0:00Period end
  56. P3 0:00Period start
  57. P3 0:40Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Palat)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Gudas, Palat, Kucherov · CGY Wideman, Glencross, Russell, Monahan, Jooris

  58. P3 1:06Shot by Paquette, saved by Hiller
  59. P3 1:10Shot by Paquette, saved by Hiller
  60. P3 1:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hiller
  61. P3 3:39Shot by Diaz, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 4:11Shot by Brodie, saved by Bishop5v6
  63. P3 4:12Brewer: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Morrow, Boyle, Brown, Sustr · CGY Hudler, Glencross, Brodie, Diaz, Monahan, Jooris

  64. P3 4:23Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop4v5
  65. P3 5:33Shot by Hudler, saved by Bishop4v5
  66. P3 5:46Shot by Wideman, saved by Bishop4v5
  67. P3 6:38Shot by Filppula, saved by Hiller
  68. P3 7:00Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hiller
  69. P3 7:55Shot by Engelland, saved by Bishop
  70. P3 8:10Boyle: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Boyle, Johnson, Palat, Sustr · CGY Engelland, Bouma, Diaz, Granlund, Jooris

  71. P3 9:52Shot by Hudler, saved by Bishop4v5
  72. P3 11:25Shot by Callahan, saved by Hiller
  73. P3 12:50Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hiller
  74. P3 13:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hiller
  75. P3 15:02Shot by Jooris, saved by Bishop
  76. P3 16:55Shot by Gaudreau, saved by Bishop5v6
  77. P3 17:50Goal by Filppula, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stralman, Johnson, Kucherov · CGY Wideman, Hudler, Russell, Bouma, Gaudreau, Monahan

  78. P3 18:30Shot by Boyle, saved by Hiller
  79. P3 0:00Period end
  80. P3 0:00Final