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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 8, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Pittsburgh Penguins 6, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 84% of the time.

BUF winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:21Goal by Letang (Crosby, Hornqvist)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist

  3. P1 1:33Shot by Scuderi, saved by Enroth
  4. P1 2:45Shot by Bortuzzo, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 3:04Stafford: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Hodgson, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PIT Dupuis, Ehrhoff, Malkin, Comeau, Bortuzzo

  6. P1 3:31Goal by Hornqvist (Letang, Crosby)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Mitchell, Stewart, Myers · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist

  7. P1 5:21Shot by Comeau, saved by Enroth
  8. P1 8:11Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Enroth
  9. P1 8:42Shot by Adams, saved by Enroth
  10. P1 9:28Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Enroth
  11. P1 11:17Myers: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Mitchell, Stewart, Myers, Ennis · PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Despres

  12. P1 13:09Shot by Sutter, saved by Enroth4v5
  13. P1 13:24Shot by Myers, saved by Fleury
  14. P1 14:40Shot by Hodgson, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 15:04Goal by Letang (Martin, Crosby)+10 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Moulson, Myers, Girgensons · PIT Martin, Kunitz, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist

  16. P1 15:35Shot by Ennis, saved by Fleury
  17. P1 18:27Shot by Letang, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 19:27Malkin: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PIT Dupuis, Ehrhoff, Malkin, Comeau, Bortuzzo

  19. P1 19:56Shot by Gorges, saved by Fleury5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:46Shot by Stafford, saved by Fleury5v4
  23. P2 1:16Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury5v4
  24. P2 2:30Shot by Scuderi, saved by Enroth
  25. P2 2:39Shot by Scuderi, saved by Enroth
  26. P2 3:34Shot by Comeau, saved by Enroth
  27. P2 4:14Shot by Downie, saved by Enroth
  28. P2 4:27Stafford: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Hodgson, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PIT Ehrhoff, Downie, Sutter, Spaling, Bortuzzo

  29. P2 4:56Goal by Hornqvist (Kunitz, Crosby)4v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Gorges, Myers, Flynn · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist

  30. P2 5:50Shot by Malkin, saved by Enroth
  31. P2 6:43Shot by Sill, saved by Enroth
  32. P2 6:52Shot by Sill, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 7:07Shot by Kunitz, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 7:15Strachan: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Mitchell, Weber, Stewart, Ennis · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Bortuzzo, Despres

  35. P2 7:15Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Mitchell, Weber, Stewart, Ennis · PIT Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Bortuzzo, Despres

  36. P2 8:28Shot by Malkin, saved by Enroth4v4
  37. P2 9:34Shot by Girgensons, saved by Fleury
  38. P2 10:09Shot by Comeau, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 11:11Shot by Moulson, saved by Fleury
  40. P2 12:35Weber: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Stafford, Weber, Hodgson, Larsson · PIT Martin, Downie, Letang, Sutter, Spaling

  41. P2 12:35Downie: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Stafford, Weber, Hodgson, Larsson · PIT Martin, Downie, Letang, Sutter, Spaling

  42. P2 13:49Shot by Mitchell, saved by Fleury
  43. P2 14:01Goal by Bortuzzo (Crosby, Kunitz)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Mitchell, Stewart, Myers, Ennis · PIT Ehrhoff, Kunitz, Crosby, Hornqvist, Bortuzzo

  44. P2 14:31Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  45. P2 14:43Despres: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Strachan, Larsson, Flynn, Zadorov · PIT Dupuis, Scuderi, Malkin, Comeau, Despres

  46. P2 16:52Goal by Girgensons (Gorges, Gionta)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Gorges, Stewart, Myers, Girgensons · PIT Scuderi, Comeau, Spaling, Bortuzzo, Despres

  47. P2 18:00Shot by Ehrhoff, saved by Enroth
  48. P2 19:13Shot by Letang, saved by Enroth
  49. P2 19:15Goal by Malkin (Comeau, Letang)+1 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Mitchell, Stewart, Myers, Ennis · PIT Martin, Goc, Malkin, Comeau, Letang

  50. P2 19:33Shot by Girgensons, saved by Fleury
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:42Zadorov: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Gorges, Myers, Larsson, Flynn · PIT Dupuis, Martin, Ehrhoff, Malkin, Comeau

  54. P3 1:08Shot by Letang, saved by Enroth4v5
  55. P3 1:19Shot by Malkin, saved by Enroth4v5
  56. P3 2:00Weber: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Mitchell, Weber, Girgensons · PIT Dupuis, Martin, Ehrhoff, Comeau, Sutter

  57. P3 2:50Shot by Crosby, saved by Enroth4v5
  58. P3 3:02Shot by Crosby, saved by Enroth4v5
  59. P3 3:12Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury4v5
  60. P3 3:04Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Enroth4v5
  61. P3 3:05Shot by Malkin, saved by Enroth4v5
  62. P3 4:37Shot by Adams, saved by Enroth
  63. P3 6:45Comeau: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Larsson, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PIT Scuderi, Comeau, Sutter, Spaling, Despres

  64. P3 7:31Shot by Gionta, saved by Fleury5v4
  65. P3 8:23Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury5v4
  66. P3 12:10Shot by Sutter, saved by Enroth
  67. P3 13:01Shot by Sill, saved by Enroth
  68. P3 13:03Shot by Sill, saved by Enroth
  69. P3 13:18Shot by Sutter, saved by Enroth
  70. P3 14:15Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Fleury
  71. P3 14:33Shot by Gionta, saved by Fleury
  72. P3 15:52Shot by Goc, saved by Enroth
  73. P3 16:45Shot by McCormick, saved by Fleury
  74. P3 18:53Shot by Gorges, saved by Fleury
  75. P3 19:04Shot by Spaling, saved by Enroth
  76. P3 19:49Shot by Zadorov, saved by Fleury
  77. P3 19:56Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Fleury
  78. P3 0:00Period end
  79. P3 0:00Final