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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 8, 2014·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Colorado Avalanche 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 58% of the time.

PHI winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:31Shot by Read, saved by Berra
  3. P1 0:38Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason
  4. P1 1:09Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  5. P1 3:23Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason
  6. P1 3:53Shot by Schenn, saved by Berra
  7. P1 7:25Redmond: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Schenn, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL McGinn, Redmond, O'Reilly, Duchene, Barrie

  8. P1 7:34Shot by Schenn, saved by Berra5v4
  9. P1 8:39Shot by Voracek, saved by Berra5v4
  10. P1 8:49Shot by Voracek, saved by Berra5v4
  11. P1 9:00Shot by Voracek, saved by Berra5v4
  12. P1 9:18Shot by Schenn, saved by Berra5v4
  13. P1 9:36Shot by Simmonds, saved by Berra
  14. P1 10:16Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason
  15. P1 12:07Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason
  16. P1 13:03Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  17. P1 14:06Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Berra
  18. P1 14:41Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason
  19. P1 14:42Schultz: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Del Zotto · COL Hejda, Johnson, McGinn, O'Reilly, Duchene

  20. P1 16:07Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason4v5
  21. P1 16:48Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason
  22. P1 17:38Shot by Giroux, saved by Berra
  23. P1 19:07MacKinnon: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Schenn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL Iginla, Guenin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  24. P1 19:57Goal by Giroux (Simmonds, Voracek)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn · COL Talbot, Hejda, Cliche, Johnson

  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 2:15Shot by Giroux, saved by Berra5v4
  28. P2 2:48Goal by Simmonds (Giroux, Voracek)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn · COL Tanguay, Hejda, McLeod, Johnson

  29. P2 4:19Shot by Giroux, saved by Berra
  30. P2 5:00Shot by Coburn, saved by Berra
  31. P2 5:37Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Mason
  32. P2 7:42Shot by Duchene, saved by Mason
  33. P2 9:11Shot by Redmond, saved by Mason
  34. P2 9:34Shot by Holden, saved by Mason
  35. P2 11:22Shot by Read, saved by Berra
  36. P2 11:23Shot by Read, saved by Berra
  37. P2 11:24Goal by Schenn (Read, Schultz)+7 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Schultz, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL Iginla, Hejda, Johnson, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  38. P2 12:10Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason
  39. P2 14:02Shot by Voracek, saved by Berra
  40. P2 14:04Shot by Giroux, saved by Berra
  41. P2 14:06Iginla: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL Iginla, Guenin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  42. P2 14:06Schenn: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Del Zotto, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL Iginla, Guenin, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  43. P2 14:24Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  44. P2 14:40McLeod: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Del Zotto, Rinaldo, Read, Couturier · COL Talbot, Guenin, McLeod, Barrie, Everberg

  45. P2 15:05Guenin: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · COL Talbot, Guenin, Cliche, Holden

  46. P2 16:02Shot by Hejda, saved by Mason5v3
  47. P2 16:22Goal by Giroux (Lecavalier, Voracek)5v3+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Lecavalier, Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · COL Tanguay, Johnson, Holden

  48. P2 18:12Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason
  49. P2 18:59Shot by Redmond, saved by Mason
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P2 0:00Simmonds: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Streit, Grossmann, Voracek, Simmonds, Read · COL Tanguay, Hejda, Mitchell, Johnson, Everberg

  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 2:29Goal by Talbot, unassisted+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · COL Talbot, Hejda, McLeod, Cliche, Redmond

  54. P3 2:49Shot by Holden, saved by Mason
  55. P3 4:53Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  56. P3 6:16Shot by Talbot, saved by Mason
  57. P3 6:46Goal by Tanguay (Barrie, Everberg)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Streit, Schultz, VandeVelde, Rinaldo, Bellemare · COL Tanguay, Guenin, Mitchell, Barrie, Everberg

  58. P3 7:27Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  59. P3 7:41Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason
  60. P3 8:05Shot by Voracek, saved by Berra
  61. P3 8:27Shot by McLeod, saved by Mason
  62. P3 8:53Coburn: Holding the stick (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds · COL Tanguay, Mitchell, Redmond, Barrie, Everberg

  63. P3 9:06Shot by McGinn, saved by Mason4v5
  64. P3 9:31Shot by Barrie, saved by Mason4v5
  65. P3 9:33Shot by Holden, saved by Mason4v5
  66. P3 10:23Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Berra4v5
  67. P3 10:35Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Berra4v5
  68. P3 11:01Shot by Redmond, saved by Mason
  69. P3 11:38Goal by Redmond (Talbot, McLeod)+11 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Umberger, Coburn, Del Zotto, Rinaldo, Couturier · COL Talbot, Mitchell, McLeod, Redmond, Barrie

  70. P3 12:08Shot by Giroux, saved by Berra
  71. P3 12:38Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason
  72. P3 14:22Shot by Mitchell, saved by Mason
  73. P3 15:20Shot by Iginla, saved by Mason
  74. P3 15:43Shot by Simmonds, saved by Berra
  75. P3 16:37Shot by Umberger, saved by Berra
  76. P3 17:11Coburn: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Schenn, Read, Couturier · COL Tanguay, Talbot, Hejda, Cliche, Redmond

  77. P3 17:23Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason4v6
  78. P3 17:25Shot by Landeskog, saved by Mason4v6
  79. P3 18:35Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason4v6
  80. P3 19:26Shot by Johnson, saved by Mason5v6
  81. P3 19:54Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Mason5v6
  82. P3 0:00Period end
  83. P3 0:00Final