Sun, Nov 9, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
Vancouver Canucks 2, Anaheim Ducks 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 09 | 114 | 011 | 01 | 1 | 235 |
| ANA | 011 | 16 | 05 | 07 | 0 | 129 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P2 2:37ANASami VatanenPPAssists: Ryan Kesler · Snap, 0.08 xG0–1
- P2 11:49VANAlexandre BurrowsAssists: Dan Hamhuis, Nick Bonino · Tip-in, 0.18 xG1–1
Shootout
- 1. ANA Ryan Getzlaf stopped
- 2. VAN Nick Bonino scored
- 3. ANA Jakob Silfverberg stopped
- 4. VAN Chris Higgins stopped
- 5. ANA Ryan Kesler stopped
Penalties (10)
- P1 0:03ANAPatrick Maroon: Fighting5 min
- P1 0:03VANKevin Bieksa: Fighting5 min
- P1 11:11ANANate Thompson: High sticking2 min
- P2 2:34VANDan Hamhuis: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 3:47VANRyan Stanton: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:47ANAJosh Manson: Fighting5 min
- P2 3:47ANAJosh Manson: Interference2 min
- P2 14:29ANABryan Allen: Cross checking2 min
- P3 2:58VANYannick Weber: Roughing2 min
- P3 2:58ANAJosh Manson: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Getzlaf won the faceoff against Bonino
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against. Shift data for this game is incomplete, so treat these as rough.
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestHiggins – Burrows – Bonino9:07
xG 0.76–0.15 (84%)attempts 11–8goals 1–0
- Richardson – Hansen – Matthias2:02
xG 0.22–0.05 (81%)attempts 5–2goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Hansen5:57
xG 0.09–0.27 (24%)attempts 4–4goals 0–0
- Richardson – Matthias – Jensen7:12
xG 0.13–0.34 (27%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Weber8:09
xG 0.42–0.11 (79%)attempts 6–6goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev9:59
xG 0.24–0.13 (65%)attempts 10–7goals 0–0
- Bieksa – Stanton7:38
xG 0.15–0.65 (19%)attempts 4–13goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestKesler – Beleskey – Silfverberg8:49
xG 0.74–0.17 (81%)attempts 17–6goals 0–0
- Cogliano – Etem – Karlsson6:54
xG 0.33–0.45 (43%)attempts 7–9goals 0–1
- Heatley – Jackman – Thompson5:56
xG 0.06–0.20 (22%)attempts 4–6goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Maroon – Smith-Pelly7:16
xG 0.21–0.48 (30%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestManson – Lindholm12:25
xG 0.55–0.45 (55%)attempts 17–12goals 0–1
- Allen – Vatanen11:53
xG 0.74–0.75 (50%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
- Stoner – Clark8:51
xG 0.11–0.12 (47%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it VAN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 54% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − VAN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).