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Ice Lab

Thu, Nov 13, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

San Jose Sharks 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 57% of the time.

TBL winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:10Shot by Garrison, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 0:12Shot by Palat, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 0:59Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 2:10Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  6. P1 2:56Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  7. P1 3:08Shot by Vlasic, saved by Bishop
  8. P1 3:17Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  9. P1 9:10Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 9:18Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 10:48Shot by Drouin, saved by Niemi
  12. P1 11:06Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 11:46Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  14. P1 12:05Shot by Gudas, saved by Niemi
  15. P1 12:21Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop
  16. P1 12:42Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 12:54Shot by Mueller, saved by Bishop
  18. P1 14:37Shot by Namestnikov, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 14:52Gudas: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Stamkos, Gudas, Namestnikov, Drouin · SJS Burns, Sheppard, Wingels, Goodrow, Mueller

  20. P1 14:55Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop4v5
  21. P1 15:19Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop4v5
  22. P1 15:24Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop4v5
  23. P1 15:30Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop4v5
  24. P1 16:40Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop4v5
  25. P1 16:48Shot by Demers, saved by Bishop4v5
  26. P1 17:42Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  27. P1 17:46Shot by Sheppard, saved by Bishop
  28. P1 18:30Hertl: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Garrison, Sustr · SJS Marleau, Burns, Sheppard, Wingels, Mueller

  29. P1 19:21Shot by Garrison, saved by Niemi5v4
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 2:19Nieto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Sustr · SJS Marleau, Hannan, Couture, Demers, Nieto

  33. P2 4:26Shot by Gudas, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 4:49Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi
  35. P2 5:23Goal by Thornton, unassisted+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Morrow, Boyle, Gudas, Brown · SJS Thornton, Hannan, Pavelski, Demers, Hertl

  36. P2 5:46Shot by Kennedy, saved by Bishop
  37. P2 5:58Shot by Mueller, saved by Bishop
  38. P2 7:11Shot by Boyle, saved by Niemi
  39. P2 7:44Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 7:50Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  41. P2 8:35Shot by Kucherov, saved by Niemi
  42. P2 8:37Johnson: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Johnson, Gudas, Palat, Kucherov · SJS Marleau, Burns, Couture, Nieto, Mueller

  43. P2 8:53Shot by Vlasic, saved by Bishop4v5
  44. P2 9:55Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop4v5
  45. P2 10:37Goal by Kennedy (Burns, Niemi)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stamkos, Gudas · SJS Burns, Kennedy, Desjardins, Braun, McGinn

  46. P2 11:52Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop
  47. P2 13:46Shot by Stralman, saved by Niemi
  48. P2 14:03Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  49. P2 14:16Shot by Stralman, saved by Niemi
  50. P2 14:56Shot by Filppula, saved by Niemi
  51. P2 15:18Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop
  52. P2 17:49Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi
  53. P2 18:37Drouin: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Carle, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Braun, Couture, Nieto

  54. P2 18:49Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop4v5
  55. P2 19:05Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop4v5
  56. P2 18:58Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop4v5
  57. P2 0:00Period end
  58. P3 0:00Period start
  59. P3 0:33Shot by Couture, saved by Bishop4v5
  60. P3 0:58Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  61. P3 1:00Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 2:01Shot by Stralman, saved by Niemi
  63. P3 2:22Shot by Pavelski, saved by Bishop
  64. P3 2:39Vlasic: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Gudas · SJS Marleau, Vlasic, Braun, Couture, Nieto

  65. P3 3:29Wingels: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Garrison, Stamkos · SJS Hannan, Burns, Couture, Wingels

  66. P3 3:42Shot by Stamkos, saved by Niemi5v3
  67. P3 4:16Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi5v3
  68. P3 4:30Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi5v3
  69. P3 4:34Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi5v3
  70. P3 5:07Shot by Drouin, saved by Niemi5v4
  71. P3 5:05Shot by Drouin, saved by Niemi5v4
  72. P3 6:06Shot by Boyle, saved by Niemi
  73. P3 6:19Shot by Gudas, saved by Niemi
  74. P3 9:18Shot by Brown, saved by Niemi
  75. P3 9:35Goal by Stamkos (Sustr, Filppula)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Brewer, Filppula, Callahan, Stamkos, Sustr · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl, Mueller

  76. P3 10:00Shot by Burns, saved by Bishop
  77. P3 11:39Shot by Wingels, saved by Bishop
  78. P3 13:35Shot by Carle, saved by Niemi
  79. P3 13:45Shot by Johnson, saved by Niemi
  80. P3 14:01Shot by Desjardins, saved by Bishop
  81. P3 15:10Shot by Marleau, saved by Bishop
  82. P3 15:18Shot by Palat, saved by Niemi
  83. P3 17:18Shot by Callahan, saved by Niemi
  84. P3 17:32Shot by Carle, saved by Niemi
  85. P3 0:00Period end
  86. P3 0:00Final