Fri, Nov 14, 2014·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Arizona Coyotes 5, Vancouver Canucks 0
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 13 | 310 | 110 | 523 |
| VAN | 012 | 011 | 012 | 035 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 14:56ARIMartin HanzalGWGAssists: Keith Yandle, Connor Murphy · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–0
- P2 15:25ARIMartin HanzalAssists: Tobias Rieder, Martin Erat · Deflected, 0.12 xG2–0
- P2 15:34ARIMartin HanzalAssists: Martin Erat, Zbynek Michalek · Wrist, 0.10 xG3–0
- P2 19:57ARIShane DoanAssists: Sam Gagner, Keith Yandle · Snap, 0.11 xG4–0
- P3 17:37ARIKeith YandlePPAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Sam Gagner · Slap, 0.04 xG5–0
Penalties (11)
- P1 4:46ARIMichael Stone: Tripping2 min
- P1 9:53VANRyan Stanton: Hooking2 min
- P2 2:52VANDerek Dorsett: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:52ARIB.J. Crombeen: Roughing2 min
- P2 15:34VANNick Bonino: Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
- P3 0:18ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Tripping2 min
- P3 15:05ARIBrandon Gormley: Holding2 min
- P3 15:37VANLinden Vey: Holding2 min · PPG
- P3 17:12VANAlexandre Burrows: Slashing2 min
- P3 19:23VANDerek Dorsett: Fighting5 min
- P3 19:23ARIB.J. Crombeen: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Sedin
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrombeen – Vitale – McMillan7:03
xG 0.39–0.04 (90%)attempts 5–4goals 0–0
- Erat – Hanzal – Rieder10:09
xG 0.42–0.18 (70%)attempts 10–10goals 3–0
- Doan – Klinkhammer – Gagner9:13
xG 0.37–0.23 (62%)attempts 11–7goals 1–0
- Vermette – Korpikoski – Boedker12:35
xG 0.16–0.46 (25%)attempts 5–15goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Murphy12:48
xG 0.45–0.28 (62%)attempts 12–14goals 2–0
- Stone – Gormley13:09
xG 0.41–0.46 (47%)attempts 7–16goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson18:25
xG 0.40–0.51 (44%)attempts 8–19goals 2–0
Vancouver Canucks
Forward lines
- bestRichardson – Matthias – Jensen10:07
xG 0.39–0.08 (82%)attempts 12–5goals 0–0
- Sedin – Sedin – Vrbata10:18
xG 0.30–0.04 (89%)attempts 11–3goals 0–0
- Higgins – Burrows – Bonino9:48
xG 0.32–0.46 (41%)attempts 10–12goals 0–2
- Hansen – Dorsett – Vey8:56
xG 0.03–0.40 (7%)attempts 3–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHamhuis – Bieksa6:29
xG 0.18–0.03 (86%)attempts 8–2goals 0–0
- Edler – Tanev15:06
xG 0.44–0.35 (56%)attempts 17–9goals 0–1
- Hamhuis – Tanev2:38
xG 0.06–0.02 (75%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
VAN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line VAN is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 51% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (VAN − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).