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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 18, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

San Jose Sharks 1, Buffalo Sabres 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsSJS wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:14Shot by Marleau, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 6:25Shot by Irwin, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 8:25Shot by Couture, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 8:29Shot by Irwin, saved by Neuvirth
  6. P1 12:15Shot by Ennis, saved by Grosenick
  7. P1 12:29Ennis: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons, Zadorov · SJS Burns, Desjardins, Wingels, Goodrow, Mueller

  8. P1 13:19Shot by Pavelski, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  9. P1 13:38Shot by Marleau, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  10. P1 14:06Shot by Irwin, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  11. P1 16:06Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Grosenick6v5
  12. P1 16:07Burish: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stafford, Hodgson, Myers, Ennis, Ristolainen · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Braun, Goodrow, Mueller

  13. P1 16:27Shot by Myers, saved by Grosenick5v4
  14. P1 17:17Shot by Nieto, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  15. P1 17:18Shot by Braun, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  16. P1 18:37Mitchell: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Mitchell, Stewart, Myers, Deslauriers · SJS Thornton, Burns, Pavelski, Hertl, Mueller

  17. P1 19:47Shot by Pavelski, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:58Shot by Vlasic, saved by Enroth
  21. P2 1:41Shot by Moulson, saved by Grosenick
  22. P2 1:55Shot by Sheppard, saved by Enroth
  23. P2 2:20Irwin: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Mitchell, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · SJS Burish, Desjardins, Demers, Irwin, Goodrow

  24. P2 5:25Goal by Deslauriers (McCormick, Ristolainen)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF McCormick, Stafford, Weber, Deslauriers, Ristolainen · SJS Burns, Pavelski, Sheppard, Hertl, Mueller

  25. P2 5:45Shot by Zadorov, saved by Grosenick
  26. P2 6:20Zadorov: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Mitchell, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Demers, Wingels, Nieto

  27. P2 6:20Wingels: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Mitchell, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · SJS Vlasic, Couture, Demers, Wingels, Nieto

  28. P2 6:24Shot by Braun, saved by Enroth4v4
  29. P2 7:02Shot by Ennis, saved by Grosenick4v4
  30. P2 8:04Shot by Thornton, saved by Enroth4v4
  31. P2 9:28Stafford: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Meszaros, Weber, Deslauriers, Flynn · SJS Burish, Vlasic, Desjardins, Braun, Goodrow

  32. P2 10:23Shot by Pavelski, saved by Enroth4v5
  33. P2 10:29Goal by Burns (Thornton, Couture)4v5+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Mitchell, Myers, Girgensons · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Couture

  34. P2 11:31Shot by Gionta, saved by Grosenick
  35. P2 11:54Goal by Gionta (Flynn, Myers)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Strachan, Mitchell, Myers, Flynn · SJS Burns, Kennedy, Couture, Demers, Goodrow

  36. P2 13:05Shot by Thornton, saved by Enroth
  37. P2 16:31Shot by Demers, saved by Enroth
  38. P2 19:05Shot by Vlasic, saved by Enroth
  39. P2 19:13Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth
  40. P2 19:20Shot by Pavelski, saved by Enroth
  41. P2 19:21Shot by Hertl, saved by Enroth
  42. P2 19:48Goal by Flynn (Gionta, Weber)+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Mitchell, Weber, Flynn, Ristolainen · SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Demers, Irwin, Hertl

  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 0:14Shot by Mitchell, saved by Grosenick
  46. P3 1:00Shot by Marleau, saved by Enroth
  47. P3 4:25Shot by Kennedy, saved by Enroth
  48. P3 7:34Shot by Pavelski, saved by Enroth
  49. P3 7:35Shot by Thornton, saved by Enroth
  50. P3 10:03Shot by Mueller, saved by Enroth
  51. P3 12:23Shot by Stewart, saved by Grosenick
  52. P3 12:42Shot by Weber, saved by Grosenick
  53. P3 14:54Shot by Nieto, saved by Enroth
  54. P3 15:16Myers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Moulson, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons · SJS Marleau, Burns, Kennedy, Goodrow, Mueller

  55. P3 16:19Shot by Burns, saved by Enroth4v5
  56. P3 16:39Shot by Marleau, saved by Enroth4v5
  57. P3 19:18Goal by Gionta (Myers, Meszaros)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Meszaros, Mitchell, Myers, Girgensons · SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Vlasic, Wingels, Hertl

  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final