Sun, Nov 23, 2014·Madison Square Garden, New York
Montréal Canadiens 0, New York Rangers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTL | 011 | 05 | 05 | 021 |
| NYR | 112 | 214 | 28 | 534 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:44NYRDominic MooreGWGAssists: Tanner Glass, Jesper Fast · Wrist, 0.43 xG0–1
- P2 0:35NYRDerek StepanAssists: Martin St. Louis, Chris Kreider · Wrist, 0.04 xG0–2
- P2 15:33NYRMartin St. LouisAssists: Chris Kreider, John Moore · Wrist, 0.17 xG0–3
- P3 1:40NYRCarl HagelinAssists: Anthony Duclair, Kevin Hayes · Wrist, 0.19 xG0–4
- P3 15:24NYRRick NashAssists: Derick Brassard, Mats Zuccarello · Backhand, 0.05 xG0–5
Penalties (9)
- P1 0:48MTLAndrei Markov: Interference2 min
- P1 16:40NYRDan Girardi: Hooking2 min
- P2 3:38MTLManny Malhotra: Tripping2 min
- P2 17:31MTLTomas Plekanec: Cross checking2 min
- P2 17:31NYRRick Nash: Cross checking2 min
- P3 3:40MTLBrandon Prust: Fighting5 min
- P3 3:40NYRKevin Klein: Fighting5 min
- P3 6:29MTLP.K. Subban: Cross checking2 min
- P3 6:29NYRAnthony Duclair: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Moore won the faceoff against Eller
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Montréal Canadiens
Forward lines
- Eller – Weise – Sekac2:22
xG 0.03–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–1goals 0–0
- Parenteau – Desharnais – Pacioretty6:02
xG 0.14–0.18 (44%)attempts 2–6goals 0–2
- Desharnais – Pacioretty – Weise4:55
xG 0.00–0.27 (0%)attempts 2–4goals 0–1
- Prust – Eller – Sekac4:49
xG 0.01–0.36 (3%)attempts 1–7goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMarkov – Subban14:30
xG 0.51–0.40 (56%)attempts 15–8goals 0–2
- Weaver – Gilbert2:48
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–1goals 0–0
- Allen – Weaver4:14
xG 0.00–0.17 (0%)attempts 1–4goals 0–0
New York Rangers
Forward lines
- bestSt. Louis – Stepan – Kreider10:53
xG 0.86–0.14 (86%)attempts 15–8goals 2–0
- Hagelin – Hayes – Duclair9:09
xG 0.55–0.08 (88%)attempts 9–2goals 1–0
- Moore – Glass – Fast9:03
xG 0.65–0.22 (75%)attempts 7–6goals 1–0
- Nash – Brassard – Zuccarello10:43
xG 0.34–0.22 (60%)attempts 8–10goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestKlein – Hunwick10:15
xG 0.98–0.26 (79%)attempts 14–11goals 2–0
- Klein – Staal2:34
xG 0.63–0.00 (100%)attempts 5–0goals 1–0
- Girardi – Moore11:52
xG 0.44–0.09 (83%)attempts 11–6goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
NYR's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line NYR is favoured, below it MTL. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 86% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (NYR − MTL), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).