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Ice Lab

Wed, Nov 26, 2014·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Winnipeg Jets 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Away

Winnipeg Jets

2

Final

Home

Buffalo Sabres

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:34Shot by Little, saved by Enroth
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Strachan, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 1:54Shot by Trouba, saved by Enroth
  5. P1 3:02Shot by Wheeler, saved by Enroth5v6
  6. P1 3:05Shot by Lowry, saved by Enroth5v6
  7. P1 3:06Kaleta: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Kaleta, Weber, Stewart, Foligno · WPG Wheeler, Pardy, Frolik, Postma, Halischuk, Lowry

  8. P1 3:33Shot by Ladd, saved by Enroth4v5
  9. P1 3:41Goal by Little (Trouba, Ladd)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Meszaros, Mitchell, Girgensons · WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Trouba

  10. P1 5:54Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 7:07Shot by Kane, saved by Enroth
  12. P1 9:13Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Pavelec
  13. P1 9:30Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
  14. P1 11:00Shot by Thorburn, saved by Enroth
  15. P1 14:49Ladd: Cross checking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Stafford, Kaleta, Stewart, Hodgson, Ristolainen, Zadorov · WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Clitsome, Bogosian, Scheifele

  16. P1 15:19Shot by Slater, saved by Enroth5v4
  17. P1 18:54Shot by Lowry, saved by Enroth
  18. P1 19:13Bogosian: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stafford, Weber, Hodgson, Deslauriers · WPG Pardy, Frolik, Halischuk, Bogosian, Lowry

  19. P1 19:12Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec
  20. P1 19:34Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec5v4
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 1:12Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec5v4
  24. P2 3:23Foligno: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Weber, Ennis, Foligno, Girgensons · WPG Slater, Clitsome, Frolik, Halischuk, Bogosian

  25. P2 4:47Shot by Bogosian, saved by Enroth4v5
  26. P2 5:17Shot by Kane, saved by Enroth4v5
  27. P2 8:50Shot by Lowry, saved by Enroth
  28. P2 9:15Shot by Trouba, saved by Enroth
  29. P2 9:36Weber: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Peluso, Trouba

  30. P2 9:36Peluso: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Weber, Ennis, Girgensons · WPG Thorburn, Slater, Stuart, Peluso, Trouba

  31. P2 9:44Shot by Ladd, saved by Enroth
  32. P2 12:00Shot by Wheeler, saved by Enroth
  33. P2 12:30Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Enroth
  34. P2 13:07Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
  35. P2 14:06Lowry: Boarding (5 min)

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Kaleta, Stewart, Foligno, Ristolainen · WPG Thorburn, Pardy, Postma, Halischuk, Lowry

  36. P2 14:06Lowry: Game misconduct (10 min)5v3

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Kaleta, Stewart, Foligno, Ristolainen · WPG Thorburn, Pardy, Postma, Halischuk, Lowry

  37. P2 14:06Pardy: Roughing (2 min)5v3

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Kaleta, Stewart, Foligno, Ristolainen · WPG Thorburn, Pardy, Postma, Halischuk, Lowry

  38. P2 14:06Stewart: Roughing (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Meszaros, Kaleta, Stewart, Foligno, Ristolainen · WPG Thorburn, Pardy, Postma, Halischuk, Lowry

  39. P2 14:20Goal by Frolik, unassisted5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Moulson, Stafford, Meszaros, Ennis · WPG Slater, Stuart, Frolik, Trouba

  40. P2 17:33Shot by Kane, saved by Enroth5v4
  41. P2 19:10Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 19:17Shot by Moulson, saved by Pavelec
  43. P2 19:51Stuart: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Strachan, Moulson, Stafford, Weber, Girgensons · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Trouba

  44. P2 0:00Period end
  45. P3 0:00Period start
  46. P3 1:30Shot by Frolik, saved by Enroth5v4
  47. P3 2:27Shot by Little, saved by Enroth
  48. P3 3:13Shot by Gionta, saved by Pavelec
  49. P3 3:15Shot by Flynn, saved by Pavelec
  50. P3 4:21Shot by Stafford, saved by Pavelec
  51. P3 5:30Goal by Stewart (Foligno)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Meszaros, Kaleta, Stewart, Foligno · WPG Byfuglien, Pardy, Postma, Kane, Scheifele

  52. P3 6:36Shot by Little, saved by Enroth
  53. P3 6:55Shot by Wheeler, saved by Enroth
  54. P3 7:24Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Enroth
  55. P3 8:49Meszaros: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Stafford, Meszaros, Kaleta, Deslauriers · WPG Slater, Pardy, Frolik, Postma, Halischuk

  56. P3 9:41Shot by Little, saved by Enroth4v5
  57. P3 9:53Shot by Moulson, saved by Pavelec4v5
  58. P3 11:16Shot by Ennis, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 12:02Shot by Zadorov, saved by Pavelec
  60. P3 12:12Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 15:18Shot by Hodgson, saved by Pavelec
  62. P3 15:52Shot by Stuart, saved by Enroth
  63. P3 19:52Shot by Girgensons, saved by Pavelec6v5
  64. P3 0:00Period end
  65. P3 0:00Final