Fri, Nov 28, 2014·Honda Center, Anaheim
Chicago Blackhawks 4, Anaheim Ducks 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 89% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 211 | 113 | 114 | 438 |
| ANA | 16 | 07 | 011 | 124 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 7:58CHIBrad RichardsAssists: Brent Seabrook · Snap, 0.06 xG1–0
- P1 13:30CHIAndrew ShawGWGAssists: Duncan Keith, Daniel Carcillo · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–0
- P1 16:49ANAHampus LindholmAssists: Patrick Maroon, Ryan Kesler · Tip-in, 0.13 xG2–1
- P2 10:36CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Kris Versteeg, Brad Richards · Snap, 0.18 xG3–1
- P3 19:00CHIPatrick KaneENAssists: Kris Versteeg, Andrew Shaw · Snap, 0.61 xG4–1
Penalties (9)
- P1 17:38ANAMatt Beleskey: Tripping2 min
- P2 6:02ANAMatt Beleskey: Interference2 min
- P2 14:56ANARene Bourque: Boarding2 min
- P2 19:50ANAKyle Palmieri: Boarding5 min
- P2 19:50ANAKyle Palmieri: Game misconduct10 min
- P2 19:50CHIKris Versteeg: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 4:31CHIKris Versteeg: Too many men on the ice2 min
- P3 12:48ANACorey Perry: Interference goalkeeper2 min
- P3 19:53CHIDaniel Carcillo: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Toews won the faceoff against Thompson
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestRichards – Versteeg – Kane8:26
xG 0.84–0.16 (84%)attempts 14–6goals 2–0
- Smith – Kruger – Nordstrom10:35
xG 0.63–0.24 (73%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
- Carcillo – Bickell – Shaw8:39
xG 0.52–0.17 (75%)attempts 11–4goals 1–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad9:46
xG 0.23–0.42 (35%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestOduya – Hjalmarsson15:23
xG 1.19–0.56 (68%)attempts 17–12goals 0–1
- Keith – Seabrook15:37
xG 0.75–0.29 (72%)attempts 14–8goals 3–0
- Rozsival – Rundblad9:58
xG 0.28–0.18 (60%)attempts 9–6goals 0–0
Anaheim Ducks
Forward lines
- bestCogliano – Silfverberg – Rakell2:27
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Getzlaf – Perry – Beleskey9:18
xG 0.17–0.18 (49%)attempts 4–7goals 0–0
- Thompson – Cogliano – Silfverberg6:45
xG 0.07–0.26 (21%)attempts 3–6goals 0–1
- Kesler – Maroon – Palmieri7:48
xG 0.14–0.33 (30%)attempts 5–5goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- Manson – Lindholm5:45
xG 0.10–0.07 (58%)attempts 3–1goals 0–0
- Vatanen – Fowler4:55
xG 0.21–0.19 (53%)attempts 5–4goals 0–1
- Fowler – Manson8:37
xG 0.14–0.20 (40%)attempts 7–3goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ANA's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ANA is favoured, below it CHI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 89% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ANA − CHI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).