Thu, Dec 4, 2014·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose
Boston Bruins 4, San Jose Sharks 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 91% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 210 | 27 | 07 | 424 |
| SJS | 010 | 424 | 310 | 744 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 0:29BOSReilly SmithAssists: Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand · Wrist, 0.21 xG1–0
- P1 2:35BOSGregory CampbellAssists: Daniel Paille, Dennis Seidenberg · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–0
- P2 0:27SJSTommy WingelsAssists: Marc-Edouard Vlasic, Patrick Marleau · Tip-in, 0.08 xG2–1
- P2 3:00SJSTyler KennedyAssists: James Sheppard, Andrew Desjardins · Backhand, 0.02 xG2–2
- P2 7:30SJSTommy WingelsPPAssists: Matt Irwin, Tomas Hertl · Tip-in, 0.12 xG2–3
- P2 8:13BOSReilly SmithAssists: Carl Soderberg, Milan Lucic · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–3
- P2 12:33BOSTorey KrugAssists: Brad Marchand, Patrice Bergeron · Wrist, 0.04 xG4–3
- P2 14:21SJSJoe PavelskiPPAssists: Patrick Marleau, Brent Burns · Wrist, 0.55 xG4–4
- P3 3:02SJSTyler KennedyGWGAssists: Matt Irwin, James Sheppard · Tip-in, 0.11 xG4–5
- P3 11:13SJSJoe PavelskiAssists: Brent Burns, Brenden Dillon · Wrist, 0.21 xG4–6
- P3 15:44SJSTomas HertlAssists: Joe Pavelski, Joe Thornton · Backhand, 0.36 xG4–7
Penalties (8)
- P1 12:21SJSMatt Nieto: Hooking2 min
- P1 17:52BOSDennis Seidenberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 0:40BOSCarl Soderberg: Hooking2 min
- P2 5:51BOSGregory Campbell: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 13:36BOSDennis Seidenberg: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P2 19:28SJSJoe Pavelski: Hooking2 min
- P3 10:59BOSBrad Marchand: Roughing2 min
- P3 10:59SJSTommy Wingels: Roughing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Couture
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestGagne – Campbell – Paille8:50
xG 0.32–0.01 (98%)attempts 6–6goals 1–0
- Kelly – Fraser – Pastrnak9:10
xG 0.27–0.17 (60%)attempts 13–7goals 0–0
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith10:09
xG 0.49–0.85 (36%)attempts 9–13goals 2–1
- Eriksson – Soderberg – Lucic11:06
xG 0.12–1.40 (8%)attempts 5–20goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Hamilton8:38
xG 0.47–0.27 (63%)attempts 10–8goals 1–1
- Bartkowski – Miller6:53
xG 0.29–0.38 (43%)attempts 4–6goals 1–1
- Trotman – Krug14:14
xG 0.51–0.68 (43%)attempts 17–16goals 2–1
San Jose Sharks
Forward lines
- bestThornton – Pavelski – Hertl10:17
xG 1.45–0.28 (84%)attempts 17–4goals 1–1
- Marleau – Couture – Wingels10:36
xG 0.79–0.37 (68%)attempts 13–8goals 1–2
- Kennedy – Sheppard – Nieto11:02
xG 0.45–0.28 (61%)attempts 14–10goals 1–0
- Brown – Desjardins – Scott6:35
xG 0.01–0.32 (2%)attempts 4–9goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestBurns – Dillon17:08
xG 1.52–0.38 (80%)attempts 28–12goals 1–1
- Hannan – Irwin12:37
xG 1.18–0.26 (82%)attempts 14–12goals 1–0
- Vlasic – Braun13:10
xG 0.37–0.73 (34%)attempts 14–12goals 1–3
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
SJS's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line SJS is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, San Jose Sharks win this game 91% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (SJS − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).