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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 13, 2014·Air Canada Centre, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Away

Detroit Red Wings

1

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 69% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bernier
  3. P1 1:28Shot by Winnik, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 2:51Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  5. P1 4:22Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 4:37Shot by Winnik, saved by Mrazek
  7. P1 5:10Kronwall: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Lupul, Clarkson, Holland, Rielly · DET Cleary, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Sheahan

  8. P1 6:28Shot by Lupul, saved by Mrazek5v4
  9. P1 7:14Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  10. P1 7:21Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bernier
  11. P1 8:00Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
  12. P1 9:09Shot by Ouellet, saved by Bernier
  13. P1 9:44Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek
  14. P1 10:44Shot by Rielly, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 11:37Shot by Helm, saved by Bernier
  16. P1 11:35Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier
  17. P1 14:46van Riemsdyk: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Gardiner, Bozak · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar

  18. P1 15:27Goal by Kronwall (Franzen, Nyquist)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Winnik, Franson, Holland · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Franzen, Helm, Nyquist

  19. P1 15:42Shot by Miller, saved by Bernier
  20. P1 16:06Andersson: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Booth, Smith, Gardiner, Panik, Rielly · DET Datsyuk, Miller, Andersson, Lashoff, Ouellet

  21. P1 16:27Goal by van Riemsdyk (Kessel, Phaneuf)5v4+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Glendening

  22. P1 16:51Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier
  23. P1 17:01Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier
  24. P1 17:24Shot by Lupul, saved by Mrazek
  25. P1 18:01Shot by Robidas, saved by Mrazek
  26. P1 18:13Shot by Winnik, saved by Mrazek
  27. P1 18:42Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bernier
  28. P1 19:42Panik: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Booth, Smith, Panik, Rielly · DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Miller, Helm, Smith

  29. P1 19:45Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier4v5
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:48Shot by Holland, saved by Mrazek4v5
  33. P2 4:42Shot by Holland, saved by Mrazek
  34. P2 4:57Shot by Helm, saved by Bernier
  35. P2 5:17Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  36. P2 5:44Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier
  37. P2 6:21Shot by Booth, saved by Mrazek
  38. P2 7:15Shot by Booth, saved by Mrazek
  39. P2 8:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  40. P2 9:10Ericsson: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Santorelli, Winnik, Bozak, Kadri, Rielly · DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Tatar

  41. P2 10:22Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek5v4
  42. P2 10:25Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  43. P2 11:14Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  44. P2 11:17Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek
  45. P2 12:43Shot by Ouellet, saved by Bernier
  46. P2 13:46Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek
  47. P2 14:17Shot by Panik, saved by Mrazek
  48. P2 14:29Shot by Booth, saved by Mrazek
  49. P2 14:29Smith: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Booth, Smith, Panik, Rielly · DET Quincey, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Glendening

  50. P2 15:07Shot by Andersson, saved by Bernier5v4
  51. P2 15:34Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek5v4
  52. P2 15:50Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Mrazek5v4
  53. P2 16:30Shot by Lupul, saved by Mrazek
  54. P2 16:46Shot by Robidas, saved by Mrazek
  55. P2 16:47Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek
  56. P2 17:50Goal by Panik (Holzer)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Holzer, van Riemsdyk, Bozak, Panik · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Smith, Tatar, Sheahan

  57. P2 18:17Shot by Phaneuf, saved by Mrazek
  58. P2 18:49Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bernier
  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:37Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bernier
  62. P3 1:42Goal by Rielly (Winnik)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Lupul, Santorelli, Holzer, Holland, Rielly · DET Cleary, Quincey, Franzen, Smith, Sheahan

  63. P3 2:42Shot by Andersson, saved by Bernier
  64. P3 2:51Shot by Andersson, saved by Bernier
  65. P3 4:02Shot by Jurco, saved by Bernier
  66. P3 4:19Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bernier
  67. P3 6:15Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bernier
  68. P3 6:50Shot by Tatar, saved by Bernier
  69. P3 6:55Shot by Ericsson, saved by Bernier
  70. P3 10:30Kessel: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, Franzen, Smith

  71. P3 10:30Franzen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Franson, Kessel, van Riemsdyk, Bozak · DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Quincey, Franzen, Smith

  72. P3 10:40Shot by Ouellet, saved by Bernier4v4
  73. P3 11:08Shot by Holzer, saved by Mrazek4v4
  74. P3 11:09Shot by Bozak, saved by Mrazek4v4
  75. P3 12:13Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bernier4v4
  76. P3 12:18Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bernier4v4
  77. P3 16:46Goal by Kadri (Winnik, Santorelli)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Phaneuf, Santorelli, Winnik, Franson, Kadri · DET Datsyuk, Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Franzen, Sheahan

  78. P3 17:09Smith: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Booth, Smith, Panik, Rielly · DET Quincey, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Glendening

  79. P3 17:09Smith: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Booth, Smith, Panik, Rielly · DET Quincey, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Glendening

  80. P3 17:09Panik: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR Robidas, Booth, Smith, Panik, Rielly · DET Quincey, Miller, Smith, Andersson, Glendening

  81. P3 17:44Shot by Gardiner, saved by Mrazek5v4
  82. P3 18:09Shot by Clarkson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  83. P3 18:11Shot by Kadri, saved by Mrazek5v4
  84. P3 18:23Shot by Clarkson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  85. P3 19:26Shot by Franson, saved by Mrazek
  86. P3 0:00Period end
  87. P3 0:00Final