Sat, Dec 13, 2014·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Minnesota Wild 4, Arizona Coyotes 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 52% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | SO | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 110 | 111 | 111 | 03 | 2 | 435 |
| ARI | 17 | 213 | 08 | 02 | 1 | 330 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 2:48MINNino NiederreiterPPAssists: Ryan Suter, Thomas Vanek · Tip-in, 0.15 xG1–0
- P1 3:52ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPAssists: Mikkel Boedker, Antoine Vermette · Slap, 0.05 xG1–1
- P2 1:40ARIAntoine VermetteAssists: Oliver Ekman-Larsson, Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–2
- P2 13:25MINJason ZuckerAssists: Jason Pominville, Mikko Koivu · Backhand, 0.12 xG2–2
- P2 19:32ARILauri KorpikoskiAssists: Kyle Chipchura · Wrist, 0.18 xG2–3
- P3 14:07MINZach ParisePPAssists: Jason Pominville, Ryan Suter · Wrist, 0.21 xG3–3
Shootout
- 1. ARI Mikkel Boedker stopped
- 2. MIN Zach Parise scored
- 3. ARI Antoine Vermette scored
- 4. MIN Mikko Koivu scored
- 5. ARI Tobias Rieder stopped
Penalties (8)
- P1 1:51ARIJoe Vitale: Holding2 min · PPG
- P1 3:27MINMikko Koivu: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 8:31MINRyan Suter: High sticking2 min
- P2 8:31ARIMartin Hanzal: Slashing2 min
- P2 14:30MINNate Prosser: Slashing2 min
- P3 1:58ARIJoe Vitale: Holding2 min
- P3 11:31MINCharlie Coyle: Holding2 min
- P3 13:04ARIMartin Hanzal: Interference goalkeeper2 min · PPG
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Hanzal won the faceoff against Koivu
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Niederreiter – Fontaine8:12
xG 0.25–0.19 (56%)attempts 11–9goals 0–0
- Vanek – Parise – Granlund12:37
xG 0.49–0.47 (51%)attempts 14–14goals 0–2
- Brodziak – Haula – Niederreiter2:13
xG 0.00–0.11 (0%)attempts 0–6goals 0–0
- Koivu – Pominville – Zucker12:58
xG 0.36–0.51 (42%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestFalk – Folin8:15
xG 0.48–0.16 (76%)attempts 13–11goals 1–0
- Prosser – Brodin3:17
xG 0.08–0.03 (72%)attempts 4–3goals 0–0
- Falk – Prosser2:52
xG 0.23–0.24 (48%)attempts 5–5goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestMoss – Chipchura – Korpikoski9:03
xG 0.47–0.26 (65%)attempts 16–10goals 1–0
- Doan – Vermette – Boedker12:34
xG 0.52–0.51 (50%)attempts 16–9goals 1–0
- Crombeen – Vitale – McMillan2:17
xG 0.00–0.02 (0%)attempts 0–2goals 0–0
- Erat – Hanzal – Rieder13:15
xG 0.42–0.56 (43%)attempts 12–16goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko16:26
xG 0.67–0.42 (62%)attempts 20–15goals 0–1
- Summers – Stone12:34
xG 0.45–0.37 (55%)attempts 17–14goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson16:20
xG 0.41–0.71 (37%)attempts 17–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it MIN. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 52% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − MIN), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).