Wed, Dec 17, 2014·Xcel Energy Center, St. Paul
Boston Bruins 3, Minnesota Wild 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 78% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | OT | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 29 | 05 | 07 | 14 | 325 |
| MIN | 18 | 020 | 19 | 00 | 237 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 5:06BOSCarl SoderbergAssists: Loui Eriksson, Chris Kelly · Wrist, 0.03 xG1–0
- P1 5:33MINKyle BrodziakAssists: Brett Sutter, Erik Haula · Wrist, 0.10 xG1–1
- P1 17:55BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Brad Marchand, Zach Trotman · Wrist, 0.01 xG2–1
- P3 11:39MINJason PominvilleAssists: Ryan Suter · Wrist, 0.02 xG2–2
- OT 1:30BOSLoui ErikssonGWGAssists: Carl Soderberg, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.14 xG3–2
Penalties (6)
- P1 17:24BOSGregory Campbell: Fighting5 min
- P1 17:24MINJustin Falk: Fighting5 min
- P2 7:36BOSPatrice Bergeron: Hooking2 min
- P2 8:24BOSKevan Miller: Tripping2 min
- P3 6:09MINZach Parise: Tripping2 min
- P3 17:32MINBrett Sutter: Interference2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- Press play, or drag along the timeline.
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- Bergeron – Marchand – Smith12:28
xG 0.28–0.28 (51%)attempts 7–10goals 1–0
- Campbell – Paille – Cunningham4:46
xG 0.00–0.15 (0%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg13:23
xG 0.19–0.63 (23%)attempts 12–15goals 1–0
- Krejci – Lucic – Griffith13:26
xG 0.24–1.26 (16%)attempts 7–21goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Miller2:13
xG 0.11–0.02 (85%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Krug2:20
xG 0.03–0.05 (41%)attempts 2–1goals 0–0
- Seidenberg – Trotman12:17
xG 0.31–0.56 (36%)attempts 9–13goals 2–2
Minnesota Wild
Forward lines
- bestCoyle – Niederreiter – Fontaine9:37
xG 1.19–0.05 (96%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Koivu – Pominville – Zucker13:33
xG 0.46–0.20 (70%)attempts 20–4goals 1–0
- Vanek – Parise – Granlund14:41
xG 0.41–0.21 (66%)attempts 12–8goals 0–0
- Brodziak – Sutter – Haula6:44
xG 0.21–0.05 (80%)attempts 5–4goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestSuter – Brodin22:21
xG 0.98–0.21 (82%)attempts 18–14goals 2–1
- Scandella – Spurgeon17:36
xG 0.94–0.36 (72%)attempts 22–8goals 0–0
- Falk – Prosser5:56
xG 0.37–0.06 (87%)attempts 9–5goals 0–1
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
MIN's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line MIN is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 78% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (MIN − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).