Sat, Dec 20, 2014·STAPLES Center, Los Angeles
Arizona Coyotes 2, Los Angeles Kings 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 76% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 08 | 26 | 03 | 217 |
| LAK | 114 | 115 | 26 | 435 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 17:22LAKJeff CarterAssists: Anze Kopitar · Slap, 0.05 xG0–1
- P2 0:44ARIMartin HanzalUnassisted · Backhand, 0.04 xG1–1
- P2 5:42ARIKyle ChipchuraAssists: Shane Doan, Keith Yandle · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–1
- P2 17:40LAKMarian GaborikPPAssists: Anze Kopitar, Jamie McBain · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–2
- P3 1:34LAKJeff CarterPPGWGAssists: Alec Martinez, Anze Kopitar · Tip-in, 0.25 xG2–3
- P3 16:22LAKTrevor LewisAssists: Tyler Toffoli, Marian Gaborik · Tip-in, 0.15 xG2–4
Penalties (8)
- P1 0:15ARIMartin Hanzal: Holding2 min
- P1 10:15ARIMartin Erat: Interference2 min
- P1 17:59LAKJake Muzzin: Holding the stick2 min
- P2 2:46ARIKeith Yandle: Delaying game puck over glass2 min
- P2 14:44LAKKyle Clifford: Boarding2 min
- P2 15:55ARIShane Doan: Interference2 min · PPG
- P3 1:24ARIMartin Hanzal: Closing hand on puck2 min · PPG
- P3 11:58LAKJarret Stoll: High sticking2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Kopitar won the faceoff against Hanzal
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Erat – Moss – Chipchura7:24
xG 0.36–0.36 (50%)attempts 11–9goals 0–1
- Crombeen – Vitale – McMillan3:51
xG 0.00–0.00attempts 0–0goals 0–0
- Erat – Hanzal – Gagner3:24
xG 0.11–0.15 (42%)attempts 5–2goals 0–1
- Hanzal – Gagner – Rieder8:13
xG 0.22–0.72 (23%)attempts 4–13goals 1–0
Defence pairs
- bestYandle – Schlemko18:16
xG 1.10–0.96 (54%)attempts 23–20goals 1–1
- Summers – Murphy10:58
xG 0.22–0.51 (30%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
- Michalek – Ekman-Larsson14:47
xG 0.20–0.94 (17%)attempts 7–16goals 0–1
Los Angeles Kings
Forward lines
- bestGaborik – Carter – Kopitar11:52
xG 0.94–0.42 (69%)attempts 16–9goals 1–1
- Lewis – Toffoli – Pearson10:16
xG 0.31–0.16 (66%)attempts 9–8goals 0–0
- Richards – King – Clifford8:00
xG 0.48–0.35 (58%)attempts 9–4goals 0–1
- Williams – Stoll – Brown9:11
xG 0.40–0.29 (58%)attempts 10–12goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestMuzzin – Doughty16:15
xG 1.27–0.50 (72%)attempts 19–11goals 0–1
- Greene – Martinez13:12
xG 0.63–0.42 (60%)attempts 15–15goals 1–0
- McBain – McNabb9:06
xG 0.25–0.30 (46%)attempts 8–8goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
LAK's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line LAK is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Los Angeles Kings win this game 76% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (LAK − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).