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Ice Lab

Tue, Dec 23, 2014·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Pittsburgh Penguins

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 0:52Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 0:53Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:11Shot by Barberio, saved by Fleury
  6. P1 5:52Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:54Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Palat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · PIT Chorney, Letang, Ebbett, Uher, Harrington

  8. P1 8:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury
  9. P1 9:04Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:57Dumoulin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Gudas, Palat, Kucherov · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Klinkhammer, Despres, Dumoulin

  11. P1 11:15Connolly: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Killorn, Stamkos, Hedman, Connolly · PIT Scuderi, Goc, Spaling, Despres

  12. P1 13:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 14:45Shot by Ebbett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 15:57Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury
  15. P1 16:05Shot by Kucherov, saved by Fleury
  16. P1 16:06Hornqvist: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Stralman, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Klinkhammer, Harrington

  17. P1 17:21Shot by Palat, saved by Fleury5v4
  18. P1 17:55Shot by Stamkos, saved by Fleury5v4
  19. P1 19:56Goal by Johnson (Palat, Hedman)+13 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Rust, Pouliot

  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 0:17Shot by Stralman, saved by Fleury
  23. P2 0:39Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 0:52Goal by Kucherov (Carle, Filppula)+7 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Carle, Stralman, Killorn, Kucherov · PIT Goc, Letang, Spaling, Harrington, Farnham

  25. P2 0:53Farnham: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Morrow, Boyle, Barberio, Gudas, Paquette · PIT Scuderi, Goc, Spaling, Farnham, Pouliot

  26. P2 0:53Morrow: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Morrow, Boyle, Barberio, Gudas, Paquette · PIT Scuderi, Goc, Spaling, Farnham, Pouliot

  27. P2 2:12Shot by Palat, saved by Zatkoff
  28. P2 2:37Goal by Johnson (Kucherov, Palat)+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Johnson, Hedman, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · PIT Malkin, Hornqvist, Klinkhammer, Despres, Dumoulin

  29. P2 3:42Shot by Drouin, saved by Zatkoff
  30. P2 4:14Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 5:08Shot by Kunitz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 5:26Shot by Stralman, saved by Zatkoff
  33. P2 5:52Shot by Ebbett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 7:12Shot by Palat, saved by Zatkoff
  35. P2 7:59Shot by Kunitz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 8:23Shot by Letang, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 10:15Goal by Hornqvist (Klinkhammer)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Connolly, Sustr, Drouin · PIT Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Klinkhammer, Dumoulin

  38. P2 10:38Shot by Filppula, saved by Zatkoff
  39. P2 11:29Shot by Palat, saved by Zatkoff
  40. P2 13:11Shot by Killorn, saved by Zatkoff
  41. P2 14:37Shot by Boyle, saved by Zatkoff
  42. P2 16:44Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 18:09Shot by Spaling, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 18:35Shot by Boyle, saved by Zatkoff
  45. P2 19:26Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 19:49Shot by Harrington, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  47. P2 19:57Shot by Harrington, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  48. P2 0:00Johnson: Interference (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Gudas, Palat, Kucherov · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist, Klinkhammer, Harrington

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:31Hornqvist: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Hedman, Paquette · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist

  52. P3 1:07Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  53. P3 1:34Shot by Rust, saved by Vasilevskiy4v4
  54. P3 1:59Shot by Gudas, saved by Zatkoff4v4
  55. P3 3:41Shot by Klinkhammer, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 4:46Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 5:19Shot by Callahan, saved by Zatkoff
  58. P3 5:26Shot by Stralman, saved by Zatkoff
  59. P3 5:43Shot by Paquette, saved by Zatkoff
  60. P3 7:46Kunitz: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Barberio, Gudas, Drouin · PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Crosby, Rust, Pouliot

  61. P3 9:34Shot by Stamkos, saved by Zatkoff5v4
  62. P3 9:55Goal by Kunitz (Malkin)+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Stralman, Stamkos, Hedman, Drouin · PIT Scuderi, Kunitz, Malkin, Letang, Hornqvist

  63. P3 11:24Shot by Crosby, saved by Vasilevskiy
  64. P3 13:13Shot by Malkin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 14:43Shot by Callahan, saved by Zatkoff
  66. P3 15:45Shot by Ebbett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 17:19Shot by Johnson, saved by Zatkoff
  68. P3 18:29Goal by Letang (Hornqvist, Malkin)5v6+4 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Killorn, Hedman, Gudas · PIT Kunitz, Malkin, Crosby, Letang, Hornqvist, Pouliot

  69. P3 19:26Shot by Hornqvist, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  70. P3 0:00Period end
  71. P3 0:00Final