Sat, Dec 27, 2014·Nationwide Arena, Columbus
Boston Bruins 2, Columbus Blue Jackets 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS | 17 | 112 | 09 | 228 |
| CBJ | 111 | 411 | 18 | 630 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 8:11CBJScott HartnellAssists: Kevin Connauton · Wrist, 0.27 xG0–1
- P1 8:31BOSPatrice BergeronAssists: Reilly Smith, Zdeno Chara · Wrist, 0.06 xG1–1
- P2 0:51CBJScott HartnellAssists: James Wisniewski, Kevin Connauton · Tip-in, 0.16 xG1–2
- P2 6:32CBJKevin ConnautonGWGAssists: Matt Calvert, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.01 xG1–3
- P2 9:26CBJNick FolignoPPAssists: Jack Johnson, Ryan Johansen · Wrist, 0.15 xG1–4
- P2 16:28BOSCraig CunninghamAssists: Gregory Campbell, Daniel Paille · Tip-in, 0.14 xG2–4
- P2 19:09CBJMatt CalvertUnassisted · Wrist, 0.08 xG2–5
- P3 7:35CBJJeremy MorinAssists: Jack Johnson, Brandon Dubinsky · Wrist, 0.11 xG2–6
Penalties (9)
- P1 8:43BOSZdeno Chara: Boarding2 min
- P1 10:52BOSMilan Lucic: Roughing2 min
- P1 10:52CBJDalton Prout: Roughing2 min
- P2 2:59CBJDalton Prout: Fighting5 min
- P2 2:59BOSMilan Lucic: Fighting5 min
- P2 8:04BOSBrad Marchand: Slashing2 min · PPG
- P2 10:44CBJDavid Savard: Interference2 min
- P2 14:02CBJFedor Tyutin: Slashing2 min
- P3 12:11CBJMichael Chaput: Tripping2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Bergeron won the faceoff against Dubinsky
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Boston Bruins
Forward lines
- bestBergeron – Marchand – Smith8:34
xG 0.59–0.24 (71%)attempts 13–7goals 1–0
- Krejci – Lucic – Cunningham11:37
xG 0.60–0.47 (56%)attempts 13–8goals 0–1
- Paille – Krejci – Cunningham2:06
xG 0.04–0.05 (44%)attempts 1–2goals 0–1
- Kelly – Eriksson – Soderberg13:08
xG 0.35–0.43 (45%)attempts 11–6goals 0–1
Defence pairs
- bestSeidenberg – Bartkowski10:17
xG 0.73–0.44 (62%)attempts 12–7goals 1–1
- Chara – Hamilton11:47
xG 0.52–0.41 (56%)attempts 17–9goals 1–1
- Seidenberg – Krug3:29
xG 0.08–0.02 (83%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
Columbus Blue Jackets
Forward lines
- bestDubinsky – Calvert – Morin6:25
xG 0.17–0.02 (90%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Foligno – Tropp – Wennberg2:03
xG 0.07–0.04 (64%)attempts 2–2goals 0–0
- Hartnell – Morin – Johansen4:09
xG 0.25–0.24 (52%)attempts 4–3goals 1–1
- Boll – Tropp – Chaput3:22
xG 0.00–0.03 (0%)attempts 0–1goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestJohnson – Savard15:29
xG 0.79–0.43 (65%)attempts 17–10goals 2–1
- Tyutin – Prout11:52
xG 0.15–0.38 (29%)attempts 3–10goals 0–1
- Wisniewski – Connauton12:57
xG 0.41–0.71 (36%)attempts 8–17goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CBJ's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CBJ is favoured, below it BOS. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 53% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CBJ − BOS), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).