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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 29, 2014·American Airlines Center, Dallas

New York Rangers 2, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 85% of the time.

DAL winsNYR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:30Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  3. P1 2:08Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  4. P1 3:21Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  5. P1 3:45Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  6. P1 4:11Shot by Zuccarello, saved by Lehtonen
  7. P1 4:48Demers: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Cole, Spezza, Hemsky, Demers, Benn · NYR St. Louis, Klein, Stepan, Kreider, Moore

  8. P1 5:38Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  9. P1 5:57Goal by Miller (Zuccarello, McDonagh)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Eakin, Garbutt, Jokipakka · NYR Girardi, McDonagh, Kreider, Zuccarello, Miller

  10. P1 7:44Shot by Girardi, saved by Lehtonen
  11. P1 8:09Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  12. P1 8:24Glass: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Sceviour, Demers, Benn, Seguin · NYR Moore, Klein, Glass, Staal, Miller

  13. P1 8:55Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  14. P1 9:02Goal by Klingberg (Cole, Sceviour)5v4+16 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Horcoff, Hemsky, Sceviour, Klingberg · NYR Moore, Klein, Staal, Stepan

  15. P1 13:37Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen
  16. P1 15:34Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  17. P1 15:46Goal by Hemsky (Demers)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Spezza, Hemsky, Demers, Benn · NYR Klein, Glass, Staal, Hayes, Miller

  18. P1 16:46Goal by Hayes (Staal, Boyle)+19 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Benn, Sceviour, Seguin, Jokipakka · NYR Boyle, Stempniak, Staal, Hagelin, Hayes

  19. P1 17:04Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist
  20. P1 19:21Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist
  21. P1 19:34Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:13Shot by McDonagh, saved by Lehtonen
  25. P2 0:53Shot by Garbutt, saved by Lundqvist
  26. P2 0:54Goal by Roussel (Garbutt, Eakin)+20 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Daley, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt, Jokipakka · NYR Nash, Girardi, Brassard, McDonagh, Zuccarello

  27. P2 2:43Shot by Horcoff, saved by Lundqvist
  28. P2 2:53Shot by Klein, saved by Lehtonen
  29. P2 2:58Shot by Miller, saved by Lehtonen
  30. P2 4:12Shot by Sceviour, saved by Lundqvist
  31. P2 4:14Shot by Sceviour, saved by Lundqvist
  32. P2 4:46Shot by Kreider, saved by Lehtonen
  33. P2 8:28Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  34. P2 9:22Glass: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Moen, Fiddler, Daley, Jokipakka · NYR Moore, Klein, Glass, Moore, Miller

  35. P2 10:10Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  36. P2 11:18Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  37. P2 13:03Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  38. P2 14:00Shot by Spezza, saved by Lundqvist
  39. P2 14:49Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  40. P2 16:11Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  41. P2 16:30Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen
  42. P2 18:04Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen
  43. P2 18:40Seguin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Roussel, Seguin, Klingberg, Garbutt, Jokipakka · NYR St. Louis, Girardi, McDonagh, Stepan, Kreider

  44. P2 18:43Shot by St. Louis, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  45. P2 0:00Kreider: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel · NYR St. Louis, Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Stepan

  46. P2 0:00Demers: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Daley, Goligoski, Roussel · NYR St. Louis, Boyle, Nash, Brassard, Stepan

  47. P2 19:52Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  48. P2 0:00Period end
  49. P3 0:00Period start
  50. P3 0:35Shot by Brassard, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  51. P3 2:00Zuccarello: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Benn, Sceviour, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · NYR McDonagh, Moore, Zuccarello, Hayes, Miller

  52. P3 3:09Shot by Goligoski, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  53. P3 3:41Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  54. P3 3:51Shot by Stepan, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  55. P3 4:48Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen
  56. P3 6:29Shot by Moore, saved by Lehtonen
  57. P3 8:05Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  58. P3 9:00Shot by Stempniak, saved by Lehtonen
  59. P3 9:20Brassard: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Horcoff, Moen, Fiddler, Goligoski, Klingberg · NYR Boyle, Stempniak, Staal, Brassard, Hagelin

  60. P3 9:33Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  61. P3 9:47Shot by Daley, saved by Lundqvist5v4
  62. P3 10:01Shot by Hagelin, saved by Lehtonen5v4
  63. P3 11:44Shot by Boyle, saved by Lehtonen
  64. P3 12:25Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen
  65. P3 13:14Shot by Eakin, saved by Lundqvist
  66. P3 14:48Shot by Staal, saved by Lehtonen
  67. P3 15:02Shot by Seguin, saved by Lundqvist
  68. P3 16:15Shot by Sceviour, saved by Lundqvist
  69. P3 16:17Shot by Benn, saved by Lundqvist
  70. P3 19:06Shot by Nash, saved by Lehtonen5v6
  71. P3 0:00Period end
  72. P3 0:00Final