Thu, Jan 8, 2015·Gila River Arena, Glendale
Winnipeg Jets 1, Arizona Coyotes 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 73% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WPG | 011 | 012 | 112 | 135 |
| ARI | 213 | 111 | 16 | 430 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 1:10ARIMikkel BoedkerPPAssists: Antoine Vermette, Shane Doan · Wrist, 0.16 xG0–1
- P1 3:18ARIOliver Ekman-LarssonPPGWGAssists: Shane Doan, Mikkel Boedker · Wrist, 0.12 xG0–2
- P2 15:35ARIShane DoanPPAssists: Michael Stone, Tobias Rieder · Wrist, 0.42 xG0–3
- P3 6:49WPGMathieu PerreaultAssists: Andrew Ladd, Mark Scheifele · Wrist, 0.09 xG1–3
- P3 8:55ARIMikkel BoedkerAssists: Chris Summers, Antoine Vermette · Wrist, 0.14 xG1–4
Penalties (11)
- P1 0:23WPGBryan Little: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 3:09WPGBen Chiarot: Hooking2 min · PPG
- P1 16:29ARIAntoine Vermette: Interference2 min
- P1 17:23ARIChris Summers: Roughing2 min
- P1 18:46ARIMichael Stone: Closing hand on puck2 min
- P2 6:42ARIKeith Yandle: Interference2 min
- P2 13:35WPGAnthony Peluso: Roughing2 min · PPG
- P2 13:58WPGJim Slater: Tripping2 min
- P2 16:41WPGAdam Lowry: Boarding2 min
- P3 10:59ARIShane Doan: High sticking double minor4 min
- P3 18:06ARIOliver Ekman-Larsson: Slashing2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Chipchura won the faceoff against Little
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Winnipeg Jets
Forward lines
- bestWheeler – Perreault – Scheifele6:00
xG 0.37–0.04 (91%)attempts 10–1goals 0–0
- Frolik – Perreault – Scheifele6:59
xG 0.30–0.09 (76%)attempts 10–3goals 0–0
- Galiardi – Halischuk – Lowry6:22
xG 0.28–0.16 (64%)attempts 8–4goals 0–0
- Thorburn – Halischuk – Lowry2:12
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 4–0goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestHarrison – Bogosian13:04
xG 0.98–0.26 (79%)attempts 24–7goals 0–0
- Harrison – Byfuglien2:07
xG 0.11–0.18 (38%)attempts 1–4goals 0–1
- Byfuglien – Chiarot13:30
xG 0.25–0.33 (43%)attempts 14–9goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestGagner – Boedker – Lessio8:52
xG 0.45–0.20 (69%)attempts 6–12goals 1–0
- Doan – Erat – Vermette8:34
xG 0.23–0.16 (58%)attempts 7–5goals 0–0
- Chipchura – Korpikoski – Rieder8:45
xG 0.20–0.39 (34%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Moss – Vitale – McMillan6:57
xG 0.13–0.39 (25%)attempts 3–9goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- Yandle – Summers12:36
xG 0.45–0.40 (52%)attempts 8–15goals 0–0
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson12:57
xG 0.50–0.50 (50%)attempts 9–18goals 1–0
- Gormley – Murphy12:37
xG 0.46–0.46 (50%)attempts 9–13goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it WPG. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Arizona Coyotes win this game 73% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − WPG), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).