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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 17, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 4, Buffalo Sabres 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 56% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:58Shot by Ellis, saved by Zepp
  3. P1 4:16Shot by Strachan, saved by Zepp
  4. P1 6:14Shot by Simmonds, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 6:48Shot by Hodgson, saved by Zepp
  6. P1 8:49Shot by Stewart, saved by Zepp
  7. P1 8:54Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zepp
  8. P1 9:50Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 10:18Raffl: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Benoit, Strachan, Kaleta, Deslauriers · PHI Colaiacovo, MacDonald, Simmonds, Rinaldo, Raffl

  10. P1 10:47Shot by Schultz, saved by Neuvirth5v4
  11. P1 12:51Shot by Rinaldo, saved by Neuvirth
  12. P1 14:31Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zepp
  13. P1 16:41Shot by Schultz, saved by Neuvirth
  14. P1 17:33Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Neuvirth
  15. P1 18:45Shot by Flynn, saved by Zepp
  16. P1 18:51Goal by Girgensons (Stewart, Flynn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Stewart, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn

  17. P1 19:32Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Neuvirth
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 2:04Girgensons: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Stewart, Flynn, Girgensons, Zadorov · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn

  21. P2 3:07Shot by Simmonds, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  22. P2 3:51Goal by Umberger (Read, Del Zotto)4v5+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Strachan, Deslauriers, Zadorov · PHI Lecavalier, Umberger, Del Zotto, Read, Couturier

  23. P2 5:14Shot by Simmonds, saved by Neuvirth
  24. P2 6:30Stewart: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, Read, Couturier

  25. P2 6:30Stewart: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, Read, Couturier

  26. P2 6:30Couturier: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Myers, Flynn, Girgensons · PHI Streit, Schultz, Umberger, Read, Couturier

  27. P2 7:16Shot by Voracek, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  28. P2 7:36Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  29. P2 7:49Goal by Streit (Giroux, Voracek)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Strachan, Kaleta, Flynn, Ristolainen · PHI Streit, Giroux, Voracek, Simmonds, Schenn

  30. P2 8:36Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Neuvirth
  31. P2 9:15Shot by Benoit, saved by Zepp
  32. P2 9:38Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  33. P2 10:50Shot by Myers, saved by Zepp
  34. P2 11:03Varone: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gorges, Moulson, Stafford, Myers, Varone · PHI Colaiacovo, Giroux, MacDonald, Voracek, Schenn

  35. P2 11:35Shot by Girgensons, saved by Zepp4v5
  36. P2 12:28Shot by Flynn, saved by Zepp4v5
  37. P2 14:10Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Zepp
  38. P2 14:34Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  39. P2 14:40Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  40. P2 15:11Shot by Couturier, saved by Neuvirth
  41. P2 15:14Shot by Read, saved by Neuvirth
  42. P2 15:33Rinaldo: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Benoit, Strachan, Kaleta, Deslauriers · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Rinaldo, Raffl

  43. P2 18:46Shot by Zadorov, saved by Zepp
  44. P2 19:05Goal by Ennis (Moulson, Ristolainen)+23 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Mitchell, Ennis, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn

  45. P2 19:29Shot by Myers, saved by Zepp
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:30Shot by Gorges, saved by Zepp
  49. P3 1:19Shot by MacDonald, saved by Neuvirth
  50. P3 2:06Shot by Mitchell, saved by Zepp
  51. P3 2:10Shot by Myers, saved by Zepp
  52. P3 2:23Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  53. P3 2:29Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Neuvirth
  54. P3 5:54Goal by VandeVelde (Lecavalier, Colaiacovo)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Kaleta, Deslauriers, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI Lecavalier, Colaiacovo, VandeVelde, MacDonald, Bellemare

  55. P3 6:25Shot by Girgensons, saved by Zepp
  56. P3 7:00Shot by Couturier, saved by Neuvirth
  57. P3 7:55Shot by Colaiacovo, saved by Neuvirth
  58. P3 8:36Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Neuvirth
  59. P3 8:39Goal by Raffl (Del Zotto, Schenn)+16 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stewart, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI Simmonds, Schenn, Del Zotto, Rinaldo, Raffl

  60. P3 9:23Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Neuvirth
  61. P3 10:27Shot by Flynn, saved by Zepp
  62. P3 10:49Shot by Couturier, saved by Neuvirth
  63. P3 12:02Shot by Simmonds, saved by Neuvirth
  64. P3 12:37Shot by Schultz, saved by Neuvirth
  65. P3 13:30Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  66. P3 14:06Shot by Mitchell, saved by Zepp
  67. P3 15:32Shot by Myers, saved by Zepp
  68. P3 15:36Shot by Gorges, saved by Zepp
  69. P3 17:34Lecavalier: Holding the stick (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Kaleta, Flynn, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI Lecavalier, VandeVelde, Schenn, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  70. P3 18:36Shot by Stewart, saved by Zepp6v4
  71. P3 18:51Goal by Girgensons (Moulson, Stewart)6v4+4 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Moulson, Stewart, Myers, Ennis, Girgensons, Zadorov · PHI Schultz, Del Zotto, Couturier, Bellemare

  72. P3 19:37Shot by Zadorov, saved by Zepp6v5
  73. P3 0:00Period end
  74. P3 0:00Final