Tue, Jan 20, 2015·United Center, Chicago
Arizona Coyotes 1, Chicago Blackhawks 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 88% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARI | 09 | 110 | 017 | 136 |
| CHI | 220 | 317 | 114 | 651 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 6:53CHIJonathan ToewsPPAssists: Patrick Kane, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.09 xG0–1
- P1 12:48CHIAndrew ShawGWGAssists: Teuvo Teravainen, Bryan Bickell · Wrist, 0.30 xG0–2
- P2 3:51CHIPatrick KaneAssists: Brad Richards, Patrick Sharp · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–3
- P2 9:42CHITeuvo TeravainenAssists: Bryan Bickell, Niklas Hjalmarsson · Wrist, 0.29 xG0–4
- P2 17:54ARILucas LessioAssists: Sam Gagner, Keith Yandle · Backhand, 0.09 xG1–4
- P2 19:19CHIAndrew ShawAssists: Duncan Keith · Wrist, 0.08 xG1–5
- P3 14:11CHIDavid RundbladAssists: Patrick Kane, Brad Richards · Slap, 0.02 xG1–6
Penalties (7)
- P1 5:47ARILucas Lessio: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P1 18:17ARIConnor Murphy: Charging2 min
- P2 1:09CHIMarcus Kruger: Hooking2 min
- P2 6:20ARIMartin Hanzal: Tripping2 min
- P2 13:53ARIKeith Yandle: Tripping2 min
- P3 2:36ARIKyle Chipchura: Hooking2 min
- P3 7:57CHIBrandon Saad: Holding2 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Vermette won the faceoff against Toews
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- bestCrombeen – Vitale – Lessio9:12
xG 0.67–0.40 (63%)attempts 8–14goals 0–0
- Doan – Vermette – Rieder12:03
xG 0.33–0.39 (46%)attempts 10–13goals 0–0
- Korpikoski – Hanzal – Gagner8:50
xG 0.07–0.73 (8%)attempts 6–11goals 0–0
- Moss – Chipchura – McMillan7:51
xG 0.05–1.07 (4%)attempts 2–12goals 0–3
Defence pairs
- Stone – Ekman-Larsson12:45
xG 0.36–0.39 (48%)attempts 9–9goals 0–1
- Samuelsson – Gormley13:30
xG 0.43–0.90 (32%)attempts 9–21goals 0–2
- Yandle – Murphy16:33
xG 0.67–1.93 (26%)attempts 14–29goals 1–2
Chicago Blackhawks
Forward lines
- bestBickell – Shaw – Teravainen9:28
xG 0.96–0.20 (83%)attempts 19–4goals 2–0
- Hossa – Toews – Saad8:30
xG 0.52–0.05 (92%)attempts 14–2goals 0–0
- Richards – Sharp – Kane10:36
xG 0.61–0.64 (49%)attempts 11–12goals 2–0
- Smith – Kruger – Nordstrom9:36
xG 0.18–0.25 (41%)attempts 7–10goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestKeith – Rundblad9:01
xG 1.10–0.34 (77%)attempts 18–4goals 2–0
- Rozsival – Oduya11:01
xG 0.50–0.23 (69%)attempts 13–6goals 0–1
- Seabrook – Hjalmarsson12:29
xG 0.29–0.32 (47%)attempts 9–10goals 0–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
CHI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line CHI is favoured, below it ARI. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Chicago Blackhawks win this game 88% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (CHI − ARI), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).