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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2015·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Detroit Red Wings 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:01Shot by Paquette, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 2:03Goal by Paquette (Killorn, Garrison)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Nesterov, Paquette, Drouin · DET Weiss, Smith, Sheahan, Ouellet, Glendening

  4. P1 3:48Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop
  5. P1 4:55Shot by Nesterov, saved by Mrazek
  6. P1 5:43Connolly: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Barberio, Connolly, Brown · DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Jurco, DeKeyser

  7. P1 5:43Quincey: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Barberio, Connolly, Brown · DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Jurco, DeKeyser

  8. P1 5:43Connolly: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Barberio, Connolly, Brown · DET Quincey, Miller, Andersson, Jurco, DeKeyser

  9. P1 6:29Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop4v5
  10. P1 7:14Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop4v5
  11. P1 10:14Shot by Ouellet, saved by Bishop
  12. P1 11:46Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop
  13. P1 11:59Goal by Helm (Ericsson, Datsyuk)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Nesterov · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar

  14. P1 13:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek
  15. P1 14:23Shot by Paquette, saved by Mrazek
  16. P1 14:33Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bishop
  17. P1 16:11Shot by Filppula, saved by Mrazek
  18. P1 16:30Shot by Stralman, saved by Mrazek
  19. P1 17:43Shot by Glendening, saved by Bishop
  20. P1 19:23Goal by Paquette (Drouin, Killorn)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Garrison, Hedman, Paquette, Drouin · DET Datsyuk, Helm, Smith, Tatar, Ouellet

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:08Shot by Palat, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 1:21Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop
  25. P2 1:42Shot by Drouin, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 1:52Shot by Glendening, saved by Bishop
  27. P2 3:30Andersson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Garrison, Barberio, Connolly, Brown · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Andersson, Jurco

  28. P2 4:18Goal by Stamkos (Stralman, Drouin)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Stralman, Stamkos, Drouin · DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Miller, Sheahan

  29. P2 6:44Shot by Stamkos, saved by Mrazek
  30. P2 8:31Abdelkader: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Barberio, Johnson · DET Datsyuk, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  31. P2 9:58Shot by Garrison, saved by Mrazek5v4
  32. P2 10:04Callahan: Boarding (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Filppula, Callahan, Garrison, Stamkos, Drouin · DET Quincey, Andersson, Sheahan, DeKeyser

  33. P2 10:46Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Bishop4v5
  34. P2 11:03Goal by Paquette, unassisted4v5+8 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Boyle, Stralman, Garrison, Paquette · DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist

  35. P2 12:08Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  36. P2 13:10Garrison: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist

  37. P2 13:10Abdelkader: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: TBL Garrison, Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov · DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist

  38. P2 14:23Shot by Sheahan, saved by Bishop
  39. P2 15:25Shot by Jurco, saved by Bishop
  40. P2 17:39Goal by Barberio (Sustr, Johnson)+2 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Barberio, Johnson, Palat, Kucherov, Sustr · DET Zetterberg, Smith, Nyquist, Jurco, Ouellet

  41. P2 18:48Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by McCollum
  45. P3 1:45Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Bishop
  46. P3 2:20Shot by Stralman, saved by McCollum
  47. P3 3:28Shot by Kucherov, saved by McCollum
  48. P3 3:53Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  49. P3 5:12Shot by Brown, saved by McCollum
  50. P3 7:05Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  51. P3 7:46Shot by Stralman, saved by McCollum
  52. P3 7:59Shot by Johnson, saved by McCollum
  53. P3 8:16Shot by Palat, saved by McCollum
  54. P3 9:11Shot by Drouin, saved by McCollum
  55. P3 9:25Shot by Connolly, saved by McCollum
  56. P3 9:26Shot by Connolly, saved by McCollum
  57. P3 11:06Shot by Tatar, saved by Bishop
  58. P3 12:06Shot by Kronwall, saved by Bishop
  59. P3 12:13Shot by Palat, saved by McCollum
  60. P3 12:28Shot by Barberio, saved by McCollum
  61. P3 13:22Shot by Andersson, saved by Bishop
  62. P3 13:55Shot by Quincey, saved by Bishop
  63. P3 14:14Shot by Stamkos, saved by McCollum
  64. P3 14:28Shot by Helm, saved by Bishop
  65. P3 14:56Shot by Nyquist, saved by Bishop
  66. P3 16:03Shot by DeKeyser, saved by Bishop
  67. P3 16:05Shot by Weiss, saved by Bishop
  68. P3 16:51Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Bishop
  69. P3 17:47Shot by Johnson, saved by McCollum
  70. P3 17:48Shot by Johnson, saved by McCollum
  71. P3 18:56Shot by Brown, saved by McCollum
  72. P3 19:08Shot by Brown, saved by McCollum
  73. P3 19:59Shot by Smith, saved by Bishop
  74. P3 0:00Period end
  75. P3 0:00Final