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Ice Lab

Thu, Jan 29, 2015·Scottrade Center, St. Louis

Nashville Predators 4, St. Louis Blues 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, St. Louis Blues win this game 70% of the time.

STL winsNSH wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:59Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton
  3. P1 3:00Shot by Reaves, saved by Hutton
  4. P1 6:16Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Elliott
  5. P1 7:43Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton
  6. P1 7:45Shot by Steen, saved by Hutton
  7. P1 7:51Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Hutton
  8. P1 8:23Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  9. P1 8:49Shot by Jackman, saved by Hutton
  10. P1 9:13Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott
  11. P1 11:29Shot by Jokinen, saved by Elliott
  12. P1 11:30Gaustad: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Cole, Lehtera · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm

  13. P1 11:30Nystrom: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Cole, Lehtera · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm

  14. P1 11:30Jackman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Cole, Lehtera · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm

  15. P1 11:30Reaves: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Cole, Lehtera · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm

  16. P1 11:30Cole: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Reaves, Cole, Lehtera · NSH Jokinen, Volchenkov, Gaustad, Nystrom, Ekholm

  17. P1 11:54Shot by Backes, saved by Hutton4v5
  18. P1 12:29Shot by Weber, saved by Elliott4v5
  19. P1 12:49Goal by Fisher (Josi, Weber)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Backes, Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Schwartz · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg

  20. P1 13:23Shot by Bartley, saved by Elliott
  21. P1 13:30Shot by Jones, saved by Elliott
  22. P1 14:01Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott
  23. P1 14:38Weber: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  24. P1 14:47Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton5v4
  25. P1 16:10Shot by Bouwmeester, saved by Hutton5v4
  26. P1 16:20Shot by Backes, saved by Hutton5v4
  27. P1 17:32Shot by Steen, saved by Hutton
  28. P1 17:45Weber: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  29. P1 19:55Shot by Goc, saved by Hutton
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 0:16Backes: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo · NSH Ribeiro, Weber, Josi, Smith, Forsberg

  33. P2 1:49Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott4v5
  34. P2 2:01Smith: High sticking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Goc, Shattenkirk · NSH Ribeiro, Wilson, Ekholm, Smith, Jones

  35. P2 3:15Shot by Steen, saved by Hutton5v4
  36. P2 3:22Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton5v4
  37. P2 4:22Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Hutton
  38. P2 4:29Shot by Nystrom, saved by Elliott
  39. P2 5:36Goal by Forsberg (Smith, Ribeiro)+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Pietrangelo, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Ekholm, Smith, Forsberg

  40. P2 8:20Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Hutton
  41. P2 8:22Goal by Schwartz (Tarasenko, Gunnarsson)+16 pts WP

    On ice: STL Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · NSH Fisher, Volchenkov, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm

  42. P2 8:38Shot by Bourque, saved by Elliott
  43. P2 8:58Shot by Stastny, saved by Hutton
  44. P2 10:30Nystrom: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Steen, Backes, Oshie, Pietrangelo, Tarasenko · NSH Jokinen, Ribeiro, Nystrom, Weber, Josi

  45. P2 11:29Shot by Schwartz, saved by Hutton5v4
  46. P2 12:12Shot by Oshie, saved by Hutton5v4
  47. P2 12:36Goal by Oshie (Stastny, Backes)+22 pts WP

    On ice: STL Bouwmeester, Backes, Stastny, Oshie, Pietrangelo · NSH Fisher, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok

  48. P2 13:02Goal by Ott (Shattenkirk, Berglund)+24 pts WP

    On ice: STL Ott, Goc, Berglund, Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson · NSH Ribeiro, Bartley, Smith, Forsberg, Jones

  49. P2 13:41Forsberg: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Stastny, Reaves, Cole, Jaskin · NSH Volchenkov, Neal, Wilson, Josi, Jarnkrok

  50. P2 15:28Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott5v4
  51. P2 15:32Goal by Fisher (Josi, Jarnkrok)5v4+25 pts WP

    On ice: STL Steen, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko, Schwartz · NSH Fisher, Weber, Josi, Jarnkrok

  52. P2 17:30Shot by Lehtera, saved by Hutton
  53. P2 17:41Shot by Gaustad, saved by Elliott
  54. P2 17:54Shot by Gaustad, saved by Elliott
  55. P2 18:15Goal by Reaves (Jaskin)+26 pts WP

    On ice: STL Jackman, Stastny, Reaves, Cole, Jaskin · NSH Cullen, Bartley, Bourque, Jarnkrok, Jones

  56. P2 18:49Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  57. P2 19:26Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton
  58. P2 19:33Ott: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: STL Ott, Bouwmeester, Shattenkirk, Lehtera, Tarasenko · NSH Fisher, Volchenkov, Neal, Wilson, Ekholm

  59. P2 0:00Period end
  60. P3 0:00Period start
  61. P3 0:31Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Elliott4v5
  62. P3 3:42Stastny: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Jackman, Ott, Stastny, Oshie, Cole · NSH Jokinen, Ribeiro, Nystrom, Bartley, Josi

  63. P3 4:03Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott4v5
  64. P3 4:14Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott4v5
  65. P3 5:17Shot by Weber, saved by Elliott4v5
  66. P3 6:26Shot by Ekholm, saved by Elliott
  67. P3 7:04Shot by Bourque, saved by Elliott
  68. P3 7:17Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton
  69. P3 7:56Bartley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: STL Steen, Backes, Oshie, Gunnarsson, Pietrangelo · NSH Fisher, Neal, Bartley, Wilson, Jones

  70. P3 8:05Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton5v4
  71. P3 8:58Shot by Lehtera, saved by Hutton5v4
  72. P3 8:59Shot by Lehtera, saved by Hutton5v4
  73. P3 9:50Shot by Jokinen, saved by Elliott5v4
  74. P3 10:00Shot by Backes, saved by Hutton
  75. P3 7:35Shot by Shattenkirk, saved by Hutton
  76. P3 11:31Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott
  77. P3 13:40Shot by Jokinen, saved by Elliott
  78. P3 14:20Shot by Wilson, saved by Elliott
  79. P3 15:10Shot by Josi, saved by Elliott
  80. P3 16:26Shot by Cullen, saved by Elliott
  81. P3 16:53Shot by Weber, saved by Elliott
  82. P3 17:22Goal by Neal (Fisher, Wilson)+43 pts WP

    On ice: STL Stastny, Shattenkirk, Gunnarsson, Tarasenko, Schwartz · NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Wilson, Josi

  83. P3 17:26Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott
  84. P3 0:00Period end
  85. OT 0:00Period start
  86. OT 0:32Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott4v4
  87. OT 0:33Shot by Smith, saved by Elliott4v4
  88. OT 0:54Shot by Backes, saved by Hutton4v4
  89. OT 1:37Shot by Schwartz, saved by Hutton4v4
  90. OT 2:01Shot by Stastny, saved by Hutton4v4
  91. OT 2:25Shot by Forsberg, saved by Elliott4v4
  92. OT 3:05Shot by Gunnarsson, saved by Hutton4v4
  93. OT 4:38Shot by Fisher, saved by Elliott4v4
  94. OT 5:00Period end
  95. SO Period start
  96. SO Goal by Oshie, unassistedother
  97. SO Shot by Cullen, saved by Elliottother
  98. SO Shot by Tarasenko, saved by Huttonother
  99. SO Shot by Smith, saved by Elliottother
  100. SO Shot by Steen, saved by Huttonother
  101. SO Goal by Josi, unassistedother
  102. SO Goal by Shattenkirk, unassistedother
  103. SO Shot by Neal, saved by Elliottother
  104. SO Period end
  105. SO Final