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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 31, 2015·Joe Louis Arena, Detroit

New York Islanders 1, Detroit Red Wings 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 53% of the time.

DET winsNYI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:48Shot by Bailey, saved by Mrazek
  3. P1 3:13Shot by Boychuk, saved by Mrazek
  4. P1 5:17Grabovski: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Nyquist · NYI Grabovski, Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, de Haan

  5. P1 5:29Goal by Tatar (Datsyuk, DeKeyser)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Helm, Tatar, Sheahan, DeKeyser · NYI Nielsen, Grabner, Hamonic, de Haan

  6. P1 9:00Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johnson
  7. P1 9:11Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  8. P1 9:27Shot by Kulemin, saved by Mrazek
  9. P1 12:20Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson
  10. P1 12:41Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mrazek
  11. P1 13:16Shot by Ericsson, saved by Johnson
  12. P1 14:05Shot by Lee, saved by Mrazek
  13. P1 14:19Shot by Glendening, saved by Johnson
  14. P1 14:50Shot by Weiss, saved by Johnson
  15. P1 17:36Shot by Andersson, saved by Johnson
  16. P1 17:46Glendening: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: DET Weiss, Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Glendening · NYI Grabner, Kulemin, Hamonic, de Haan, Nelson

  17. P1 0:00Period end
  18. P2 0:00Period start
  19. P2 2:33Shot by de Haan, saved by Mrazek
  20. P2 3:09Shot by Bailey, saved by Mrazek
  21. P2 3:51Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  22. P2 4:03Shot by Datsyuk, saved by Johnson
  23. P2 8:30Shot by Grabovski, saved by Mrazek
  24. P2 9:01Shot by Visnovsky, saved by Mrazek
  25. P2 12:41Shot by Bailey, saved by Mrazek
  26. P2 13:03Ericsson: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Ericsson, Helm, Tatar, DeKeyser · NYI Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, de Haan, Strome

  27. P2 13:54Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek4v5
  28. P2 15:10Abdelkader: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Quincey, Abdelkader, Sheahan, Marchenko · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas

  29. P2 15:21Shot by Boychuk, saved by Mrazek4v5
  30. P2 15:23Shot by Nelson, saved by Mrazek4v5
  31. P2 15:41Shot by Nielsen, saved by Mrazek4v5
  32. P2 16:51Shot by Miller, saved by Johnson4v5
  33. P2 19:13Goal by Smith (Jurco, Sheahan)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DET Weiss, Smith, Sheahan, Marchenko, Jurco · NYI Boychuk, Clutterbuck, Martin, Leddy, Cizikas

  34. P2 0:00Period end
  35. P3 0:00Period start
  36. P3 0:32Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  37. P3 0:50Shot by Grabner, saved by Mrazek
  38. P3 1:04Shot by Nelson, saved by Mrazek
  39. P3 3:39Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  40. P3 5:14Smith: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Miller, Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Jurco · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  41. P3 5:20Shot by Boychuk, saved by Mrazek4v5
  42. P3 5:24Goal by Visnovsky (Nielsen, Nelson)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Kronwall, Ericsson, Sheahan, Glendening · NYI Visnovsky, Nielsen, Boychuk, Tavares, Nelson

  43. P3 5:42Shot by Abdelkader, saved by Johnson
  44. P3 6:55Shot by Tavares, saved by Mrazek
  45. P3 7:14Shot by de Haan, saved by Mrazek
  46. P3 7:18de Haan: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Datsyuk, Quincey, Helm, Tatar, DeKeyser · NYI Kulemin, Bailey, Hamonic, Tavares, de Haan

  47. P3 8:47Shot by Sheahan, saved by Johnson5v4
  48. P3 9:21Goal by Ericsson, unassisted+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Ericsson, Quincey, Miller, Jurco, Glendening · NYI Visnovsky, Clutterbuck, Hickey, de Haan, Strome

  49. P3 10:01Nelson: Embellishment (2 min)

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · NYI Boychuk, Martin, Leddy, Lee, Nelson

  50. P3 10:01Nyquist: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Ericsson, Abdelkader, Smith, Nyquist · NYI Boychuk, Martin, Leddy, Lee, Nelson

  51. P3 11:21Hamonic: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Quincey, Abdelkader, Tatar, DeKeyser · NYI Grabner, Hamonic, Tavares, de Haan

  52. P3 12:57Shot by Zetterberg, saved by Johnson5v4
  53. P3 13:08Goal by Nyquist (Zetterberg, Kronwall)5v4+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Zetterberg, Kronwall, Weiss, Abdelkader, Nyquist · NYI Grabner, de Haan, Leddy, Cizikas

  54. P3 14:26Shot by Kulemin, saved by Mrazek
  55. P3 18:22Martin: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Weiss, Smith, Andersson, Marchenko, Glendening · NYI Clutterbuck, Hamonic, Martin, de Haan, Cizikas

  56. P3 19:16Shot by Glendening, saved by Johnson5v4
  57. P3 19:43Shot by Nelson, saved by Mrazek5v4
  58. P3 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Final