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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 3, 2015·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 2 (SO)

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Shootout

Home

Dallas Stars

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.

DAL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:08Shot by Goligoski, saved by Varlamov
  3. P1 1:35Shot by Hemsky, saved by Varlamov
  4. P1 3:46Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  5. P1 3:47Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  6. P1 3:57Shot by Demers, saved by Varlamov
  7. P1 6:27Mitchell: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Demers, Benn, Seguin · COL Stuart, Mitchell, McLeod, Holden, Everberg

  8. P1 6:47Goal by Eaves (Benn, Spezza)5v4+15 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Spezza, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Klingberg · COL Stuart, Guenin, O'Reilly, Landeskog

  9. P1 6:58Iginla: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg, Garbutt · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Hejda, Redmond, Duchene

  10. P1 6:58Roussel: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg, Garbutt · COL Iginla, Tanguay, Hejda, Redmond, Duchene

  11. P1 7:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lehtonen
  12. P1 9:51Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehtonen
  13. P1 10:04Shot by Stuart, saved by Lehtonen
  14. P1 11:19Shot by Talbot, saved by Lehtonen
  15. P1 11:35Shot by Fiddler, saved by Varlamov
  16. P1 12:03Redmond: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Fiddler, Eaves, Benn, Klingberg, Jokipakka · COL Hejda, Redmond, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  17. P1 12:33Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  18. P1 13:12Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamov5v4
  19. P1 17:46Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 1:11Shot by Holden, saved by Lehtonen
  23. P2 1:56Shot by Redmond, saved by Lehtonen
  24. P2 4:14Shot by Eaves, saved by Varlamov
  25. P2 4:16Benn: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Jokipakka · COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  26. P2 5:59Shot by Holden, saved by Lehtonen4v5
  27. P2 6:18Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  28. P2 10:05Shot by Roussel, saved by Varlamov
  29. P2 12:46Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamov
  30. P2 13:09Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  31. P2 13:40Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  32. P2 15:22Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  33. P2 17:21Shot by Garbutt, saved by Varlamov
  34. P2 17:51Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lehtonen
  35. P2 19:08Goal by Cole (Hemsky)+14 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Cole, Spezza, Hemsky, Goligoski, Klingberg · COL Guenin, Mitchell, McLeod, Barrie, Everberg

  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 1:00Shot by Landeskog, saved by Lehtonen
  39. P3 2:04Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  40. P3 2:57Daley: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Daley, Roussel, Eakin, Garbutt, Jokipakka · COL Iginla, Stuart, Tanguay, Holden, Duchene

  41. P3 3:06Shot by Goligoski, saved by Varlamov4v5
  42. P3 5:33Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  43. P3 6:12Goal by O'Reilly (Stuart, Holden)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Daley, Eaves, Benn, Seguin, Jokipakka · COL Stuart, Holden, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  44. P3 7:15Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamov
  45. P3 7:22Shot by Eakin, saved by Varlamov
  46. P3 7:35Shot by Garbutt, saved by Varlamov
  47. P3 8:16Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehtonen
  48. P3 9:11Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lehtonen
  49. P3 10:08Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Lehtonen
  50. P3 11:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehtonen
  51. P3 12:52Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  52. P3 13:28Shot by Garbutt, saved by Varlamov
  53. P3 14:14Redmond: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Eaves, Benn, Demers, Benn, Seguin · COL Hejda, Redmond, O'Reilly, Landeskog, MacKinnon

  54. P3 14:36Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov5v4
  55. P3 14:42Shot by Klingberg, saved by Varlamov5v4
  56. P3 15:39Shot by Demers, saved by Varlamov5v4
  57. P3 17:44Shot by Sceviour, saved by Varlamov
  58. P3 19:40Goal by Barrie (Landeskog, O'Reilly)5v6+48 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Goligoski, Sceviour, Roussel, Eakin, Klingberg · COL Holden, O'Reilly, Barrie, Landeskog, MacKinnon, Everberg

  59. P3 19:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehtonen5v6
  60. P3 0:00Period end
  61. OT 0:00Period start
  62. OT 1:00Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  63. OT 1:53Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  64. OT 3:16Shot by Seguin, saved by Varlamov4v4
  65. OT 3:58Shot by Holden, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  66. OT 4:25Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  67. OT 4:48Shot by Redmond, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  68. OT 4:47Shot by Redmond, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  69. OT 4:54Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  70. OT 4:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehtonen4v4
  71. OT 5:00Period end
  72. SO Period start
  73. SO Shot by Spezza, saved by Varlamovother
  74. SO Goal by MacKinnon, unassistedother
  75. SO Goal by Seguin, unassistedother
  76. SO Shot by Duchene, saved by Lehtonenother
  77. SO Shot by Benn, saved by Varlamovother
  78. SO Shot by Tanguay, saved by Lehtonenother
  79. SO Shot by Fiddler, saved by Varlamovother
  80. SO Shot by Iginla, saved by Lehtonenother
  81. SO Shot by Barrie, saved by Lehtonenother
  82. SO Shot by Horcoff, saved by Varlamovother
  83. SO Shot by Mitchell, saved by Lehtonenother
  84. SO Goal by Roussel, unassistedother
  85. SO Goal by Brière, unassistedother
  86. SO Goal by Sceviour, unassistedother
  87. SO Goal by Landeskog, unassistedother
  88. SO Shot by Cole, saved by Varlamovother
  89. SO Shot by Hemsky, saved by Varlamovother
  90. SO Goal by Talbot, unassistedother
  91. SO Period end
  92. SO Final