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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 3, 2015·Honda Center, Anaheim

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Anaheim Ducks 5 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 66% of the time.

ANA winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:36Shot by Perry, saved by Khudobin
  3. P1 2:52Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  4. P1 3:38Shot by Lovejoy, saved by Khudobin
  5. P1 4:25Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin
  6. P1 8:21Shot by Tlusty, saved by Andersen
  7. P1 10:21Shot by Beleskey, saved by Khudobin
  8. P1 12:32Shot by Kesler, saved by Khudobin
  9. P1 13:29Shot by Murphy, saved by Andersen
  10. P1 15:37Shot by Jackman, saved by Khudobin
  11. P1 15:58Shot by Thompson, saved by Khudobin
  12. P1 16:06Shot by Perry, saved by Khudobin
  13. P1 16:11Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Khudobin
  14. P1 17:31Shot by Maroon, saved by Khudobin
  15. P1 18:02Murphy: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Kesler, Maroon, Palmieri, Vatanen · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Dwyer, Malone, Murphy

  16. P1 18:07Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Khudobin5v4
  17. P1 18:39Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin5v4
  18. P1 19:58Shot by Beauchemin, saved by Khudobin5v4
  19. P1 0:00Period end
  20. P2 0:00Period start
  21. P2 0:36Shot by Perry, saved by Khudobin
  22. P2 0:37Goal by Perry (Getzlaf)+20 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Getzlaf, Perry, Beleskey, Vatanen · CAR Staal, Sekera, Staal, Faulk, Lindholm

  23. P2 4:01Shot by Sekera, saved by Andersen
  24. P2 4:40Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen
  25. P2 5:13Shot by Dwyer, saved by Andersen
  26. P2 7:18Shot by Skinner, saved by Andersen
  27. P2 7:55Shot by Beleskey, saved by Khudobin
  28. P2 8:31Shot by Malone, saved by Andersen
  29. P2 9:24Goal by Semin (Rask, Liles)+22 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Kesler, Maroon, Palmieri, Vatanen · CAR Liles, Gleason, Semin, Tlusty, Rask

  30. P2 11:41Goal by McClement (Lindholm, Sekera)+21 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Getzlaf, Perry, Beleskey, Fowler · CAR McClement, Sekera, Malone, Faulk, Lindholm

  31. P2 12:54Tlusty: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Kesler, Maroon, Palmieri, Vatanen · CAR Semin, Sekera, Tlusty, Faulk, Rask

  32. P2 12:53Shot by Maroon, saved by Khudobin
  33. P2 14:21Goal by Kesler (Lindholm, Palmieri)5v4+21 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Kesler, Palmieri, Rakell, Lindholm · CAR McClement, Dwyer, Sekera, Faulk

  34. P2 14:34Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  35. P2 14:47Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  36. P2 15:03Shot by Murphy, saved by Andersen
  37. P2 16:10Tlusty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Getzlaf, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Vatanen · CAR Semin, Sekera, Tlusty, Faulk, Rask

  38. P2 16:49Shot by Gerbe, saved by Andersen5v4
  39. P2 17:23Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin5v4
  40. P2 17:28Shot by Perry, saved by Khudobin5v4
  41. P2 17:35Shot by Maroon, saved by Khudobin5v4
  42. P2 17:46Shot by Getzlaf, saved by Khudobin5v4
  43. P2 17:57Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin5v4
  44. P2 18:43Shot by Thompson, saved by Khudobin
  45. P2 19:32Shot by Liles, saved by Andersen
  46. P2 0:00Period end
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:17Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  49. P3 0:17Getzlaf: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Beleskey, Lindholm · CAR Staal, Sekera, Staal, Faulk, Lindholm

  50. P3 0:17Beleskey: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Getzlaf, Perry, Beleskey, Lindholm · CAR Staal, Sekera, Staal, Faulk, Lindholm

  51. P3 0:50Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen3v5
  52. P3 1:20Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen3v5
  53. P3 1:26Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen3v5
  54. P3 1:54Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen3v5
  55. P3 3:05Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin
  56. P3 4:00Shot by Malone, saved by Andersen
  57. P3 4:01Fowler: Penalty shot hooking on breakaway (0 min)

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Fowler, Rakell · CAR Hainsey, Nash, Malone, Faulk, Skinner

  58. P3 4:01Goal by Malone, unassistedother+26 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Cogliano, Silfverberg, Fowler, Rakell · CAR Hainsey, Nash, Malone, Faulk, Skinner

  59. P3 5:07Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  60. P3 5:10Goal by Staal (Staal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Kesler, Maroon, Palmieri, Vatanen · CAR Liles, Gleason, Staal, Staal, Lindholm

  61. P3 5:38Shot by Faulk, saved by Andersen
  62. P3 7:46Shot by Gleason, saved by Andersen
  63. P3 9:31Goal by Smith-Pelly (Silfverberg, Lovejoy)+15 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Lovejoy, Silfverberg, Vatanen, Smith-Pelly, Rakell · CAR Hainsey, Gerbe, Nash, Skinner, Murphy

  64. P3 12:42Shot by Malone, saved by Andersen
  65. P3 12:43Lovejoy: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: ANA Lovejoy, Silfverberg, Smith-Pelly, Fowler, Rakell · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Dwyer, Malone, Murphy

  66. P3 13:00Shot by Murphy, saved by Andersen4v5
  67. P3 13:00Brewer: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Kesler, Thompson, Vatanen · CAR Semin, Tlusty, Nash, Skinner, Murphy

  68. P3 13:27Skinner: Tripping (2 min)3v5

    On ice: ANA Beauchemin, Kesler, Lindholm · CAR Semin, Tlusty, Nash, Skinner, Murphy

  69. P3 13:53Shot by Lindholm, saved by Andersen3v4
  70. P3 15:06Shot by Murphy, saved by Andersen5v4
  71. P3 15:52Goal by Perry (Kesler, Vatanen)+36 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Getzlaf, Kesler, Perry, Vatanen, Fowler · CAR Hainsey, Dwyer, Gerbe, Skinner, Murphy

  72. P3 15:39Shot by Vatanen, saved by Khudobin
  73. P3 17:25Shot by Staal, saved by Andersen
  74. P3 18:51Shot by Cogliano, saved by Khudobin
  75. P3 19:40Shot by Sekera, saved by Andersen
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. OT 0:00Period start
  78. OT 0:24Shot by Perry, saved by Khudobin4v4
  79. OT 0:45Goal by Getzlaf (Perry, Beauchemin)4v4+47 pts WP

    On ice: ANA Brewer, Getzlaf, Perry, Lindholm · CAR Gleason, Semin, Sekera, Rask

  80. OT 0:45Period end
  81. OT 0:45Final