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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 7, 2015·SAP Center at San Jose, San Jose

Carolina Hurricanes 5, San Jose Sharks 4

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

5

Final

Home

San Jose Sharks

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 80% of the time.

SJS winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:30Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi
  3. P1 0:35Shot by Tlusty, saved by Niemi
  4. P1 1:01Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi
  5. P1 2:27Hainsey: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Sheppard, Irwin, Goodrow, Tennyson · CAR Hainsey, Semin, Gerbe, Bellemore, Nestrasil

  6. P1 4:06Shot by Irwin, saved by Ward5v4
  7. P1 4:24Shot by Desjardins, saved by Ward5v4
  8. P1 5:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  9. P1 5:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  10. P1 6:08Shot by Tlusty, saved by Niemi
  11. P1 6:31Tennyson: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Sheppard, Irwin, Goodrow, Tennyson, Hertl · CAR Liles, Gleason, Semin, Gerbe, Nestrasil

  12. P1 7:26Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi4v5
  13. P1 7:33Shot by Nieto, saved by Ward4v5
  14. P1 8:53Shot by Thornton, saved by Ward
  15. P1 11:05Shot by Nieto, saved by Ward
  16. P1 12:37Shot by Tarasov, saved by Ward
  17. P1 14:55Shot by Pavelski, saved by Ward
  18. P1 15:54Shot by Hainsey, saved by Niemi
  19. P1 15:49Shot by Tlusty, saved by Niemi
  20. P1 17:31Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward
  21. P1 18:06Shot by McClement, saved by Niemi
  22. P1 18:33Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward
  23. P1 19:02Goal by Staal (Tlusty, Staal)+19 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Dillon, Tennyson, Karlsson · CAR Staal, Sekera, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  24. P1 19:29Shot by Gerbe, saved by Niemi
  25. P1 19:52Shot by Skinner, saved by Niemi
  26. P1 19:58Shot by Hainsey, saved by Niemi
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 0:27Shot by Hannan, saved by Ward
  30. P2 1:02Shot by Mueller, saved by Ward
  31. P2 2:34Shot by Hainsey, saved by Niemi
  32. P2 3:47Shot by Karlsson, saved by Ward
  33. P2 4:14Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi
  34. P2 5:33Goal by Nestrasil (Semin, Sekera)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Burns, Sheppard, Goodrow, Hertl · CAR Hainsey, Semin, Gerbe, Bellemore, Nestrasil

  35. P2 7:35Shot by Gleason, saved by Niemi
  36. P2 8:26Goal by Hertl (Tierney, Desjardins)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Burns, Goodrow, Hertl, Tierney · CAR Liles, Gleason, McClement, Tlusty, Malone

  37. P2 8:40Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi
  38. P2 9:03Shot by Hannan, saved by Ward
  39. P2 9:39Nieto: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Couture, Dillon, Nieto, Mueller · CAR Sekera, Faulk, Skinner, Rask, Lindholm

  40. P2 10:13Goal by Lindholm (Faulk)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Dillon, Mueller · CAR Staal, Tlusty, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm

  41. P2 12:53Hertl: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Pavelski, Irwin, Mueller, Karlsson · CAR Sekera, Tlusty, Bellemore, Skinner, Rask

  42. P2 14:16Shot by Faulk, saved by Niemi4v5
  43. P2 15:32Goodrow: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: SJS Sheppard, Irwin, Goodrow, Tennyson, Tierney · CAR Hainsey, McClement, Dwyer, Malone, Bellemore

  44. P2 15:42Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi4v5
  45. P2 17:30Shot by Rask, saved by Niemi4v5
  46. P2 19:10Shot by Hertl, saved by Ward
  47. P2 19:13Shot by Dillon, saved by Ward
  48. P2 19:20Shot by Sheppard, saved by Ward
  49. P2 19:36Shot by Gerbe, saved by Niemi
  50. P2 0:00Period end
  51. P3 0:00Period start
  52. P3 2:27Shot by Hannan, saved by Ward
  53. P3 2:27Goal by Hertl (Hannan, Tierney)+16 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Hannan, Burns, Sheppard, Hertl, Tierney · CAR Hainsey, Semin, Gerbe, Bellemore, Nestrasil

  54. P3 3:17Shot by Staal, saved by Niemi
  55. P3 3:32Shot by Hannan, saved by Ward
  56. P3 3:49Goal by Couture (Tennyson, Marleau)+26 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Marleau, Couture, Irwin, Nieto, Tennyson · CAR Staal, Sekera, Tlusty, Staal, Faulk

  57. P3 8:39Shot by Malone, saved by Niemi
  58. P3 9:33Shot by Hainsey, saved by Niemi
  59. P3 9:56Shot by Marleau, saved by Ward
  60. P3 11:02Shot by Dwyer, saved by Niemi
  61. P3 15:09Goal by Sekera (McClement, Faulk)+38 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Pavelski, Dillon, Irwin · CAR Dwyer, Sekera, Staal, Malone, Faulk

  62. P3 16:08Shot by Hannan, saved by Ward
  63. P3 16:18Shot by Tierney, saved by Ward
  64. P3 16:28Shot by Tennyson, saved by Ward
  65. P3 16:33Shot by Irwin, saved by Ward
  66. P3 18:50Goal by Rask (Lindholm, Faulk)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Hertl · CAR McClement, Sekera, Faulk, Rask, Lindholm

  67. P3 19:05Goal by Marleau (Thornton, Hertl)6v5+3 pts WP

    On ice: SJS Thornton, Marleau, Burns, Pavelski, Couture, Hertl · CAR Liles, Gleason, McClement, Dwyer, Malone

  68. P3 0:00Period end
  69. P3 0:00Final