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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 12, 2015·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Winnipeg Jets 1, Nashville Predators 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

NSH winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:29Shot by Little, saved by Rinne
  3. P1 2:46Shot by Nystrom, saved by Pavelec
  4. P1 2:48Chiarot: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi, Beck · WPG Byfuglien, Little, Galiardi, Peluso, Chiarot

  5. P1 3:50Shot by Wilson, saved by Pavelec5v4
  6. P1 4:32Shot by Neal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  7. P1 4:47Goal by Weber (Josi, Forsberg)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · WPG Slater, Stuart, Galiardi, Trouba

  8. P1 5:05Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Pavelec
  9. P1 5:14Shot by Frolik, saved by Rinne
  10. P1 9:08Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
  11. P1 9:51Shot by Lowry, saved by Rinne
  12. P1 9:52Shot by Thorburn, saved by Rinne
  13. P1 9:54Bartley: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Bartley, Smith, Bitetto, Forsberg · WPG Thorburn, Stuart, Frolik, Lowry, Trouba

  14. P1 11:42Goal by Frolik (Byfuglien, Scheifele)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Weber, Josi, Bourque · WPG Byfuglien, Stafford, Frolik, Scheifele, Trouba

  15. P1 11:58Shot by Little, saved by Rinne
  16. P1 12:54Peluso: Interference (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Neal, Bartley, Bourque · WPG Stuart, Galiardi, Peluso, Lowry, Trouba

  17. P1 13:10Shot by Forsberg, saved by Pavelec5v4
  18. P1 13:42Shot by Neal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  19. P1 13:51Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec5v4
  20. P1 14:22Shot by Jones, saved by Pavelec5v4
  21. P1 15:53Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne
  22. P1 17:04Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  23. P1 19:03Shot by Smith, saved by Pavelec
  24. P1 19:41Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 0:16Shot by Gaustad, saved by Pavelec
  28. P2 1:11Shot by Enstrom, saved by Rinne
  29. P2 2:31Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  30. P2 2:49Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec
  31. P2 3:22Peluso: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Bartley, Smith, Bitetto, Forsberg · WPG Slater, Byfuglien, Galiardi, Peluso, Chiarot

  32. P2 3:38Goal by Forsberg (Josi, Weber)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · WPG Stuart, Ladd, Little, Trouba

  33. P2 4:20Smith: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Smith, Forsberg, Jones · WPG Stafford, Perreault, Myers, Scheifele, Trouba

  34. P2 6:20Shot by Myers, saved by Rinne4v5
  35. P2 6:31Shot by Trouba, saved by Rinne
  36. P2 7:33Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne
  37. P2 8:06Shot by Fisher, saved by Pavelec
  38. P2 10:59Shot by Frolik, saved by Rinne
  39. P2 11:49Shot by Chiarot, saved by Rinne
  40. P2 12:35Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne
  41. P2 13:56Shot by Neal, saved by Pavelec
  42. P2 14:50Shot by Peluso, saved by Rinne
  43. P2 15:57Shot by Stafford, saved by Rinne
  44. P2 16:16Stafford: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Ribeiro, Volchenkov, Josi, Smith, Forsberg · WPG Byfuglien, Stafford, Perreault, Chiarot, Scheifele

  45. P2 16:22Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec5v4
  46. P2 17:02Shot by Josi, saved by Pavelec5v4
  47. P2 18:35Shot by Wilson, saved by Pavelec
  48. P2 18:43Shot by Ribeiro, saved by Pavelec
  49. P2 19:07Cullen: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Volchenkov, Bourque, Jarnkrok, Jones · WPG Enstrom, Stafford, Perreault, Scheifele, Trouba

  50. P2 19:42Shot by Scheifele, saved by Rinne4v5
  51. P2 0:00Period end
  52. P3 0:00Period start
  53. P3 0:36Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne4v5
  54. P3 0:48Shot by Perreault, saved by Rinne4v5
  55. P3 0:48Shot by Little, saved by Rinne4v5
  56. P3 2:22Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec
  57. P3 3:11Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Pavelec
  58. P3 3:29Shot by Volchenkov, saved by Pavelec
  59. P3 4:59Shot by Stuart, saved by Rinne
  60. P3 6:01Shot by Weber, saved by Pavelec
  61. P3 8:01Shot by Trouba, saved by Rinne
  62. P3 8:28Shot by Stafford, saved by Rinne
  63. P3 8:33Bartley: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Bartley, Beck, Bitetto · WPG Enstrom, Stafford, Perreault, Scheifele, Trouba

  64. P3 9:02Weber: Cross checking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NSH Gaustad, Nystrom, Weber, Josi · WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Perreault

  65. P3 9:27Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne3v5
  66. P3 10:34Shot by Ladd, saved by Rinne4v5
  67. P3 11:10Shot by Scheifele, saved by Rinne
  68. P3 11:58Shot by Byfuglien, saved by Rinne
  69. P3 14:04Byfuglien: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Cullen, Ribeiro, Bourque, Bitetto, Jones · WPG Thorburn, Byfuglien, Frolik, Lowry, Trouba

  70. P3 16:10Goal by Neal (Fisher, Weber)+8 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Weber, Neal, Josi, Forsberg · WPG Slater, Enstrom, Byfuglien, Galiardi, Myers

  71. P3 16:44Shot by Little, saved by Rinne
  72. P3 17:43Shot by Little, saved by Rinne5v6
  73. P3 17:48Shot by Wheeler, saved by Rinne5v6
  74. P3 18:49Perreault: Holding (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Fisher, Volchenkov, Bourque, Jarnkrok, Jones · WPG Byfuglien, Ladd, Wheeler, Little, Perreault, Scheifele

  75. P3 19:39Shot by Neal, saved by Pavelec5v4
  76. P3 0:00Period end
  77. P3 0:00Final