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Ice Lab

Sun, Feb 15, 2015·First Niagara Center, Buffalo

Philadelphia Flyers 2, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 58% of the time.

BUF winsPHI wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:32Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  3. P1 2:00Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  4. P1 2:13Shot by White, saved by Neuvirth
  5. P1 2:25Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  6. P1 3:19Goal by Read (Simmonds, Schultz)+17 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Stewart, Ennis, Girgensons, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI Streit, Schultz, Simmonds, Read, Couturier

  7. P1 5:26Shot by Schultz, saved by Neuvirth
  8. P1 6:32Shot by Grossmann, saved by Neuvirth
  9. P1 7:30Shot by Couturier, saved by Neuvirth
  10. P1 8:15Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Neuvirth
  11. P1 8:29Mitchell: Tripping (2 min)5v6

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Moulson, Meszaros, Mitchell, Weber · PHI Lecavalier, VandeVelde, Giroux, Schenn, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  12. P1 8:44Shot by Schenn, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  13. P1 9:09Shot by Gionta, saved by Emery4v5
  14. P1 9:39Shot by Streit, saved by Neuvirth4v5
  15. P1 11:05Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Neuvirth
  16. P1 11:45Shot by Couturier, saved by Neuvirth
  17. P1 12:58Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  18. P1 13:13Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Neuvirth
  19. P1 14:16Shot by Read, saved by Neuvirth
  20. P1 17:03Shot by Girgensons, saved by Emery
  21. P1 17:46Shot by Gionta, saved by Emery
  22. P1 18:58Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Neuvirth
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 3:09Shot by Larsson, saved by Emery
  26. P2 3:24Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  27. P2 4:56Shot by Meszaros, saved by Emery
  28. P2 5:13Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery
  29. P2 6:00Shot by Gionta, saved by Emery
  30. P2 6:18Giroux: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · PHI Streit, Schultz, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn

  31. P2 6:51Shot by Moulson, saved by Emery5v4
  32. P2 8:43Shot by Hodgson, saved by Emery
  33. P2 8:54Shot by Larsson, saved by Emery
  34. P2 9:56Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Emery
  35. P2 11:50Shot by Raffl, saved by Neuvirth
  36. P2 11:56Shot by Umberger, saved by Neuvirth
  37. P2 12:16Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  38. P2 12:25Giroux: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn

  39. P2 12:25Coburn: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Benoit, Stewart, Bogosian, Ennis, Girgensons · PHI Coburn, Grossmann, Giroux, Voracek, Schenn

  40. P2 12:55Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery5v3
  41. P2 13:16Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Neuvirth5v3
  42. P2 13:35Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Emery5v3
  43. P2 13:57Goal by Zadorov (Ristolainen, Foligno)5v3+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Foligno, Flynn, Ristolainen, Zadorov · PHI VandeVelde, Del Zotto, Bellemare

  44. P2 14:44Shot by Streit, saved by Neuvirth
  45. P2 16:04Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Neuvirth
  46. P2 17:35Shot by VandeVelde, saved by Neuvirth
  47. P2 17:42Shot by Del Zotto, saved by Neuvirth
  48. P2 19:35Benoit: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Gionta, Benoit, Moulson, Mitchell, Bogosian · PHI Streit, Coburn, Giroux, Voracek, Read

  49. P2 0:00Period end
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 2:28Shot by Raffl, saved by Neuvirth
  52. P3 2:49Shot by Stewart, saved by Emery
  53. P3 4:35Shot by Foligno, saved by Emery
  54. P3 7:56Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  55. P3 8:23Shot by Lecavalier, saved by Neuvirth
  56. P3 9:03Shot by Voracek, saved by Neuvirth
  57. P3 12:45Goal by Raffl (White, Del Zotto)+34 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Ellis, Meszaros, Weber, Hodgson, Larsson · PHI Umberger, White, Schenn, Del Zotto, Raffl

  58. P3 14:14Shot by Girgensons, saved by Emery
  59. P3 14:33Shot by Giroux, saved by Neuvirth
  60. P3 16:05Shot by Ennis, saved by Emery
  61. P3 17:52Shot by Moulson, saved by Emery
  62. P3 18:18Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Emery
  63. P3 0:00Period end
  64. P3 0:00Final